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 Property Bubble Burst or Deflate ? V14 (发), Cherroy Most Forwarded Thread

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Jliew168
post Nov 24 2014, 10:02 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 24 2014, 09:40 PM)
there are cut off period in investment, where in cost cut even with profit.. every property has a price to begin with..

cant be holding and cost incurring, how long you willing to hold Midfields 2?  before selling?

say you have hold 1 year, no rental, and cant sell, and infront of you you see superinflation, OPR increase, GST coming in... at X +200k you cant sell hold 1 year, the next year can sell X +200k ++
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My main source of income from business although property give me pretty good return..

As long I don't have problem to pay installment I don't see any problem holding a property even I keep it vacant...

Just like I don't hae time to arrange for renovation or pass the key to agent for my unit in cyberjaya as I intend to keep vacant after Chinese new year ..even my company unit in z residence is vacant for 4 months as person In charge is resign n only recently I have time to view the unit..so don't assume all empty unit is cannot sell.

I only having a humble lifestyle and not driving a fancy car...u may surprise my investment property actually is better than the one that I own stay. I always live below what I can afford so I don't have much pressure on monthly payment.
As same as what I always advise people if u can afford camry no harm u buy vios for better cash flow,
Jliew168
post Nov 24 2014, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 24 2014, 09:53 PM)
we are still waiting the strom to come...

so 1 year vp, no rental, how to go about? I have never invested, but aside from what i see and calculated, how long investors will bare the loan service before disposing... now we all know Midfields 2 cannnot go up to 1 million in the next 5 years.. 5 years from vp.neither 800k be daring
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U wait for storm because u aiming high..u hope for camry to go down altis or vios price..

But u can straight away buy second hand myvi without loan so why wait for storm to come..get a car at least no need to take bus...u understand what I trying to advise u ?

When your financial position is get better then u can upgrade anytime , or while u driving myvi ,camry price drop to vios u can straight away buy...why need to take bus while wait for camry price drop to vios..don't take bet on something is uncertain , always have plan B

U never know how much holding power investor have. As u say those low holding power always can rent to negro..
Midfield minimum can rent 1300, top up little bit can pay installment liao la..do u see how many fancy car In road anot...
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 25 2014, 04:06 PM)
bearbear, never never never swipe credit card to buy house....You die very fast like that. The interest is 18% vs 4%+ for house loan.

If you have to swipe credit card to get the 10%, then you should not buy. You are not financially ready yet.

Buy something you can afford without credit card. I start to worry about your way to buy property. A bad example
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I also swipe card buy property leh..just for the sake of cc point n I will pay full amount on the next day..
Too bad most developer only accept card for first 10% tongue.gif

I hope Bearbear swipe cc only for sake of cc point la not for cash advance or for installment

Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 05:59 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 05:41 PM)
they are many above those... they are heavy debts... cars x2, house or investment... maybe deposit problem?

if we believe these group are out there, and they are not moving the subsales, what it means? property price are not based on merely demands/wish to have one..

maybe most of these bracket choose to invest in someplace they do not want it as home, but hoping after sales they will move to the ones they like..

Like Midfields 2, Jliew wanna sell only.. or like Semenyih group, they say how good how great is semenyih township, how green, how near in minutes , how gated & guarded and etc so fake, on top all these goodies, they got a price to it, you offer that price they sell.. so much for good township..

those buyers are mostly from Pj, Kl areas, bought ulu for investment , not wonstay... maybe the group you meant already invested in properties they never intended to stay.. you wanna track now whether there are more ppl investing rather than looking for ownstay?

of course looking for own stay is more... are they buying , or are they capable? no problem with property price going up but not that dumb X+200k minimum, that is flipping..

now back to you, if you intend to invest and invested, and it happens you cant offload the unit 1 year post vp( service many loans and etc), and incoming GST, OPR increase, 6 months down the line, still wanna add up cost to selling price and sell?

there are reason why the price 1 year ago failed to attract buyers, having extra X+200k and ++ extra cost will sell better? tell us your confident and what are your act after you hold more than 1 year? and counting? and of course due to mass units, rental proceeds also negative.. that also you can get tenants..
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When I say I wanna sell midfield 2 ? Wild assumption again hahahha

I won't stay there but I will rent out or keep until I wanna upgrade something only I will sell..every time I sell I usually transfer the money to better investment or other property

Anyway I will make an exception for u if u still homeless after 4 years I will sell u cheaper...even jolokia offer 30k higher I still will give u this priority ah hahah tongue.gif


I sell u cheaper based on market price ahh don't mistake cheaper than developer price lol
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 05:43 PM)
dun follow showtime bad habits, make up price... X- (10 to 20%)

waht will you do, if you hold OUG more than 1 year with zero tenant? and counting? factor all cost in?  and push up the selling price?
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yes if I am investor I will push up selling price..if cannot sell then keep vacant no hurry at all..

Better still if my unit is ff , once a while I can organise a bachelor party... tongue.gif

Too bad , my wife don't mind I keep unfurnish unit vacant but will always ask agent to rent out our furnish unit cry.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 08:45 PM)
can stop making up stories like showtime? I only ask for 10-20% discount... from asking price, dun get mixed with Tigerr mentality ok, 10-20% from original purchase price..
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Ok list me the condo u wan let me find for u..10-20% asking price should not hard...
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 09:16 PM)
can you dun be a big kid... the whole Midfields 2 still got.. you tell me that you beratur song song long long buy for vacant? and keep?  notworthy.gif

550k bought, flip 750k (standard 200k)

550k loan, not taking ur example, you pay 30% other pay 10%.. that is around 2,350 per month, maintenance for Midfields around 27 cents?  maybe around RM300 per month

total damage = 2350 + 300 = 2650 per month ( not including other miscellaneous)

say upon vp you service loan around 2650 X 12 = 31.8k , from 750k , you need at least add up 781k..

if plus yearly increment, the bull run theory(aka known as yearly inflation) of 10% ( you are more daring you mention in the past), that would another 75k

the new price after 1 year vp = 75k + 781k= 856k

the new price after 2 year vp = 85.6k + (781k + 31.8k) = 973k..

the new price after 3 year vp = 97.3k + ( 973k + 38.1k) =1.108 million

that is assuming the OPR stagnant for the next 3 years.. if not the cost can easily hit 50k per year... plus the expected bull run/inflation..

now you say doable or not? I think the 1st year also got problem..
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Hahhaha what the problem I song song buy n keep vacant? Many others did the same somemore midfield 2 consider quite cheap. I got my income from my business why I want to flip so fast..I don't mind keep long long and leave it vacant or rent out. I not full time property investor

Latuk manutdgiggs n zuiko even keep few landed in DPC..

Where u learn your math ? Din I told u before if the price does not fall below the price I bought and possible yearly 4-6% increment And about 4% rental yield I am quite satisfied already meh...why die die must earn 200k n above..if like that everyone no need work just buy property enough lo...

Every project can flip minimum 200k just your assumption. No free lunch in this world n no way one step to heaven..

Many here main source of income is from employment n business not from flip property...if u think flip property can make u rich I can tell u may be provided u have very sharp foresight n big water pipe from behind like your PAMA is super rich supporting u .




Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 09:46 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 09:39 PM)
FD around 4%... plus... there is a difference, one is confirmed, the other is not and based on many factors, even the factors is right there are many units/competation and you need to be lucky ur units is choosen
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What so hard when u just need to buy 1 property and you do research like a university thesis paper?

Think East think west..find East find west find North South East west still no conclusion , still no target, still no direction...

If ask u make decisions on business direction then can die lo ...hence the best choice is u find a goverment job ba doh.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 10:27 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 09:49 PM)
others, bro has given indication of 500k tags properties

I recall you said your inflation very fierce one, 10%

can we dont start with all buying song song for vacant? it is investment... buy song song no need wait lor.. later wait subsales also can keep what, extra 200k not very expensive what..
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I song song keep vacant I also don't mind because property is asset for me...if boh song then rent out

I keep vacant price also won't drop below developer price...so far I never see this phenomena for good property in klang valley ..since not drop below what I purchase why I worry ..still asset for me ..
I just not maximise the return but does not mean that is a liability for me
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(bcpbeancounter @ Nov 25 2014, 10:30 PM)
You win liao lo.
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No wonder he can't get any property yet..he looking for something that can give him this type of return lol tongue.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 10:39 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 10:15 PM)
troll sampai 3 times... of course you are making an investment... the price are determine by demands isn't? stand alone sendiri naik? owner call price?

if price drop 20% means no demand, owner needs cash and off burden and move on to other newer properties cannot one? property so great, it affect economy, other source no use one...

a very good owner and a careful investors will think not emotional like , know will make a lost and price push cant work still wanna do it, like that can sell one?

later price not realisation then keep for children, holiday house and etc defeating investment purpose isn't , you invest for more money, now money cant get, lock down, god know when only can get, same time need to incur cost , price got limitation vs years...
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Wrong again loh

Very good investors will not affected by temporary market up or down and certainly will not affected by emotion..

For me if cannot sell or cannot reach my target I will just keep..I will not sudden offload my investment because of sudden recession news or BLR increase etc

As I always advise u real estate is long term investment ..u won't go wrong In long term ..key word is margin of safety,cash flow, holding power

But someone In this forum does and become a very expensive lesson to him
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 11:34 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 11:31 PM)
half day talking still ask buyers to accept the inflated price... u tink buyers cannot reason one, all buy new launch, see these bunch of 'alleged strong investor" will do what..
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Then buy new launch lo nobody ask u buy subsale..I wonder u can get something decent at 400k for a normal apartment now
price won't drop back pre 2008 , wake up ba
Jliew168
post Nov 25 2014, 11:47 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 11:35 PM)
OUG is decent? low cost apartment larr..

500k can get high end condo like Clould tree

see how the youngster will choose, Clould tree vs Oug, no brainer
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Don't say parklane buyer no brainer...most of them bough below 300k only..

Even now at current price 400k still acceptable for a decent condo with partly furnish , freehold n good location ..

Why u wanna look down on parklane? I feel better than Connaught avenue

If u think cloud tree better then buy cloud tree why wait? U tHink will sell below developer price? Or next year developer will sell cheaper?wha is the logic there
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 11:54 PM)
this one you kaki kong kaki song enought dun involve me... zalam good developers

I never say Oug buyers are no brainer, I say to choose between Oug vs Clould tree, it does not require much brain to figure out..especially young ppl

and I agree, it was launched so low at a price, not buying it is impossible.. mana tau Akisama house rules sapu all in shock launch few more towers making it 4300 units

400k, u check with tnang first, he selling 500k i think.. because high density, u will get all sort of creatures, here all the grandmother story about how cheap, how good, all BS, negroes are definitely coming in , few investors like this, whole units /floors/level affected immediately drop price, like Puncak Bayan, Connaught avenue, veniche hill (knn pent house 2000plus sq baru selling 350k also lelong bo lang buy) why? like going africa...

say me racist maa, you investors/owners renting to them one..
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Last week only u say wanna consider buy Connaught avenue now u say is negro place hahahaha

U more flip flop than our goverment notworthy.gif rclxms.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 08:07 AM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 26 2014, 07:53 AM)
see there are difference vision between you and me, you hope a bubble to come and snap props at price of 2008,  doh.gif , no wonder you say dreaming, me only hope correction on 10-20%, sorry we are not in the same..

you guys make up a lot of facts, 2008 price, GF, mother in law, goodview drop 730k to 400k doh.gif , party joker 90% crash  doh.gif , tiger drop from original purchase price  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif , car loan doh.gif

really  mega_shok.gif
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So u expecting green terrain drop 10-20 %?

I heard now transacted at 600k dy wo...not drop but Increase 10% in less than few month wo
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(bcpbeancounter @ Nov 26 2014, 01:57 PM)
Why you always like to act old one? Confirm you less than 30 right?
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He always look down on those late 20 , I think he in mid 30 la...but if he late 30 I reAlly doh.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(tnang @ Nov 26 2014, 10:58 AM)
Bro Bear :

1. Parklane - Low Cost Apartment - purchaser no brainer.
2. Rubbish Area- Semenyih - purchaser are purchase rubbish,

Cloud Tree - High class area - perfect choice for BearBear. 

I still bet BearBear no biji to buy Cloud tree
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He want clould tree quality but low cost price...I hope he don't buy something lower than parklane if not I will laugh kau him kau kau not because I dog eye him but he always look down on people and I wanna tease kau him abit tongue.gif
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 06:52 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 26 2014, 06:48 PM)
this is the 2nd loan for rich ppl in tmn connaught refinancing their own bunglows... what had happen? rich ppl dont play around with their property under loan and refinanced it for cash..
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Why not ? Property loan much more cheaper than business loan..longer tenure some more..

Can cash out invest in machinery n business expansion.

This is another advantage holding property.. U always can refinance n cash out and invest in your business rather than take business loan for expansion.


U learn new things today
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 06:54 PM

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QUOTE(zuiko407 @ Nov 26 2014, 06:33 PM)
Bear bear, got good news for u
New launch @ Semenyih, service apartment price from 3xx k. Soho price from 2xx k
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How can u expect our honourable Bearbear stay in semenyih..
Jliew168
post Nov 26 2014, 07:03 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 26 2014, 06:56 PM)
will you do it or not with your bunglows you are currentlystaying, in fact 3, another one in Tmn segar, knn 3 layer guards... still refinance and cut legal fees...

I look at the rich ppl alos feel sad for them, they are so "sui yee" & water fish dunno got a big time wallop from loan officer..
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I will do if my business expansion plan that will have much much more greater profit and give a positive return after deduct the interest.

No need feel sad for them, the house still belong to them and might be earning back few more folds later


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