Hi Bear, lets go into specific on Bukit Beruntung.
TBH, I am an old man, already pushing 45, so I was old enough to know about Bukit Beruntung and could have even bought into Bukit Beruntung.
Today, we look at why Property prices are depressed in Bukit Beruntung.
The Answer is simple - cos there is ready supply in terms of completed and abandoned homes but there is NO demand. Hence, Prices are Low.
Now why there is No demand, cos the Centre of Gravity is towards the Southern Corridor.
Brief History Lesson.
In the early to mid 90s, in the times of TDM,the talk in town was that the Centre of Gravity would be in the Northern Corridor, Linking Selangor to the Silver State (Perak)
Land & General wanted to be the front runner and bought huge parcels of Land and decided to sell and many people were enticed to buy. I was in my 20s and amohst our friends, we talked about buying a unit there but at the end, we did not.
Then, two things happened, the first being the Asian Financial Crisis and TDM announcing that the Airport will be in KLIA and togeter, the development of the Southern Corridor now known as Putrajaya and Cyberjaya and Bukit Beruntung, Rawang was abandoned. L&G wend under and the situation has changed little for past 20++ years.
Today, we look at your comparison of Setia Alam and Semenyih vs Bukit Beruntung.
The Analogy is not comparable.
When Bukit Beruntung was abandoned, there was hardly any infrastructure there.
No 3-Lane Highways
No Public Transportation
No Malls of any kind.
The country went through a Financial Crisis / Recession.
Even if a Developer were to revive the Projects, it would not be viable without the necessary infrastructure.
In fact, only with LATAR, etc, is Rawang becoming viable and some Developers like Mah Sing starting to build there again.
Now we look at Setia Alam. It has a highway.
It has a Mall - filled with outsiders as u may claim.
But the houses are completed. Yes, it may be vacant but its not abandoned.
.
If SP Setia decides to give up on Setia Alam, there will be ready takers in form of other developers, the issue being only pricing
We look at Semenyih.
It has PLUS Highway to Kajang. MRT also stops at Kajang.
It has SILK Highway
It has LEKAS Highway.
Kajang is almost fully developed with only small parcels of Land, so the natural progression is either Bangi or Semenyih.
Problem with Bangi is most Land are Bumi Land so, there won't be huge developments there.
Of course, Southville, etc is there but that's about it for the time being.
The issue with Semenyih is only on pricing.
Is it overpriced - the answer is YES, cos they are selling at Kajang prices already
But will it end up Abandoned like Bukit Beruntung - the answer is NO.
Subsequent phases might be delayed until the right time but it WILL NOT be Abandoned like Bukit Beruntung.
It does not matter if there are many Vacant Units. To Developers, sales has been done and its up to the Secondary Market to find the equilibrium price.
Now on the population part.
Pricing is always a function of Demand and Supply.
If you are the Supply Side, u also will not Supply 1,000 units if there is anticipated 1,000 Demand.
To build momentum, future profitibility, you will build at most 50% to 60% of anticipated demand.
This is cos
1) Not all of anticipated demand will translate into real sales
2) Company must always be a going concern - if u build 100% today, tomorrow u will go bust
Now the real issue of this anticipated demand, how much is
1) Genuine own stay
2) BBGC - Buy Bu Give Children / Long Term Investment
3) Buy to Flip
The above is based on desirability of demand to the overall industry
A bit of speculation is good
Excesive speculation is bad
Demand in SG has dropped cos the Govt has imposed additional stamp duty on foreign purchasers
HK also imposed additional stamp duty to deter excessive speculation
China has a huge risk of property bubble popping anytime
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I've learn something thank you.
We need more of these informative posts instead of some rubbish comment.