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 Fundsupermart.com v7, DIY unit trust investing

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wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 10:19 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 2 2014, 10:16 AM)
In my opinion Value Averaging is superior to Dollar Cost Averaging
thumbup.gif
*
Dude - not just yr opinion - statistical fact given long term data testing by some white paper folks tongue.gif
er.. i'd have to dig it out if U guys want to read it - shared way earlier in PM or FSM or Mutual Fund thread (can't recall which - getting older & senile-er) sweat.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 2 2014, 10:24 AM)
Hello Mr DA™ brows.gif
Found some new places brows.gif  brows.gif
Last nite... brows.gif  brows.gif  brows.gif
*
That one "Trading" lar, not mutual fund investing tongue.gif
Anyhow, some folks (or 1) trade mutual funds too - so.. not out-of-topic laugh.gif

found a new place too - 24hrs trading neh brows.gif
offline offline b4 mods nuke us
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ Sep 2 2014, 02:42 PM)
Value Investing
Found this link smile.gif
*
Dude - i have a tingling feeling U will be very rich by 35-40 (you're still college/teens now right?),
even by just being an employee but managing yr assets well.

Resourceful AND specifically, correct idea U found.
Even the book is the "bible" for VA - the only book i found which incorporates "expected returns through time" (ie. expectedCAGR) into a VA methodology.

When done into a spreadsheet - U can use it for 1 fund/ETF OR entire portfolio.
thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 2 2014, 02:51 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 03:14 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ Sep 2 2014, 02:54 PM)
HAHA drool.gif  drool.gif 
If i can get rich by then.. 35 years old is 16 years from now.. tongue.gif  notworthy.gif  notworthy.gif
Lai go eat buffet~
*
ahem ahem - build first, THEN spend within 3%pa
NOT spend first, then build yar doh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 2 2014, 02:50 PM)
Simplified example...

U started with 2 funds, ABC and XYZ with RM1K each

DCA:
Every month u blindly top up RM100 on each fund

DVA:
Month 1
ABC: RM1.1K
XYZ: RM900
U top up RM200 on XYZ. Nothing on ABC

Month 2
ABC RM1.2K
XYZ: RM1.1K
U top up XYZ RM100. Nothing on ABC

Get it?
*
That's one of, at least 3 ways, to do it smile.gif
hint hint that's entire portfolio-style WITHOUT CAGR expectations and cost expectations
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 2 2014, 03:28 PM)
tunjuk ajar ku seefoo notworthy.gif
*
real sifu = author of the book
go buy tongue.gif

see-food (eat food) only converted it to Excel heheh.
Wait - snapshot for sharing later in this post.
Attached Image

If i share the Excel - i worry most folks wont know how to use unless i write a "mini manual".
i too dang lazy. sweat.gif
Ok ok - XLSX here in ZIP format BUT pls go analyze yrself them formulas ar
Simple concept = YELLOW CELLS are for U to type in your variables
Pls dont expect mini bible manual - go understand them formulas AND make the sheets your own

Provided 2 worksheets as eg

1 for ETF CIMBC25: buy/sell cost about 1%+, expected 8%pa CAGR, expected sell trigger 20%, per period = 4 mths, minimum transaction RM2,850
VS
1 for mutual funds via FSM (hey, we are on FSM thread right): buy cost about 2%, Sell cost 0%, the rest is the same for easier comparison and easier example for me tongue.gif
Lazy...
Attached File  Value_Averaging.zip ( 243.23k ) Number of downloads: 74


This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 2 2014, 04:36 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 04:37 PM

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Value Cost Averaging or Value Averaging:
Screenshot & Excel samples
https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?act=ST&f...=3334901&st=89#
wongmunkeong
post Sep 2 2014, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(wodenus @ Sep 2 2014, 09:40 PM)
Only applies if you are trading stocks directly.. funds are all over the place. If a fund manager is good, the value of the fund goes up. So what you are saying is, with VCA the better he gets, the less you are going to invest? smile.gif
*
Please do have a read first - your Q was already answered in other's posts was well as the example Excel + screenshot
wongmunkeong
post Sep 3 2014, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(wodenus @ Sep 3 2014, 07:14 AM)
Okay now assume two fund managers, one which is good, and one which is not so good. Fund manager A loses money in a bull run, fund manager B makes money. So it would follow that fund A's value drops in a bull run, and fund B's value goes up.

So now following VCA, you will be throwing more money at fund A and less money at fund B. If everyone does that, the funds which perform the worst, will have the most funding. Does that make sense to you?

Now assume that there's a market downturn, and fund A loses even more money, while fund B, because of superior stock-picking skills, manage to make even more money. The result of this is.. fund B is again punished for being really good, while loser fund B gets even more money. Again, this makes no sense.

The reason va works for individual stocks is that stocks can be overvalued. There's only one counter, and if it becomes overvalued, it becomes overvalued. It is not a fund. A fund has a cash component. Unless it is a passive index fund, it needs more money to chase more prospects.

Suppose I told you this, that I want to make 10k profit only this month. So if you are my sales person, the more money you make for me, the less I am going to pay you. The day you make 10k, I am going to totally stop paying you. And somehow you think this is a good idea.
*
Your method above hinges only on alpha generated by THE fund manager.

VCA, DCA & other mechanical "no fear / no greed" method is not hinging on THE fund manager but on the logic of buying more (whether units or value) when low, and not buying too much (or even selling/rebalancing) when high.

If U choose to compare that way, might as well compare your method VS asset and sub-asset allocation right?
Different roads to the same goals - gains.

BTW, in reality - looking for THE fund manager(s) to generate superb alphas, how many is there + how much "one is willing to bet on that horse"
VS
using mechanical "no fear / no greed", one just plods along.

Of course, why not marry them both?
eg. 60% mechanical, 40% picking?
just like some folks doing ETF / mutual funds AND stock picking (and/or trading).
Reason: when trading or stock picking - usually one doesn't "sai lang" and go whole hog in. Position sizing is used to control exposure and pontential blow-ups VS potential returns).

Just a thought notworthy.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 3 2014, 10:46 AM

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Buy high, sell higher OR Buy low, sell high? brows.gif
OR totally main tikam / random?

Attached Image
from:
http://mystocksinvesting.com/stock-market-...ce-2-sept-2014/

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 3 2014, 10:47 AM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 3 2014, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ Sep 3 2014, 05:11 PM)
blush.gif  Den Did u buy MAS when it's around 16 cent per share?
brows.gif  brows.gif  brows.gif 
Haha.. Not all is applicable to that
*
i think that is TRADING, not investing.
ie based on pure timing + price & volume movements
VS
buying value & zzz (monitor but zzz mostly)
wongmunkeong
post Sep 4 2014, 08:19 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Sep 4 2014, 07:59 AM)
Algo algo full of vigor,
Let this seeker ask for guidance proper,
What shall you reveal o'algo?
So that this seeker shall benefit and prosper.

small cap increase by forty (%) seems proper,
US equity double and you will prosper,
Local large cap reduce
for it is not an asset in favor,

Listen to O'algo ye seeker,
And may ye shine and prosper.

Xuzen
*
The arrows turn
The swords rebel
Let nothing pierce
This portfolio shell
tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 4 2014, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 4 2014, 02:00 PM)
Lazy to entertain u...u should get what I mean
*
similar to entertaining the "chasing higher returns" alpha-generating fund managers' fund
VS
buy more low, buy less high (VCA, DCA, other methodologies based on value mechanical & "return to mean")
?
tongue.gif

wongmunkeong
post Sep 7 2014, 08:06 AM

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QUOTE(echoesian @ Sep 7 2014, 12:09 AM)
PM can transfer into FSM ?
*
Technically cannot - there are no PM funds carried by FSM.

However...
U can check with FSM whether they still allow:
1. Sell PM funds - get proof say $100K
2. Show proof to FSM then buy $100K of similar funds (eg. PM equity to FSM equity funds) at 0% service charge

That's what i did 2+/- years back when gave up on PM laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 7 2014, 07:53 PM

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QUOTE(TakoC @ Sep 7 2014, 02:56 PM)
WAH... Master sifu Wong high roller..

Are you into share investment? Can't really remember..
*
bro - eg only lar $100K sweat.gif
small potatoes me mana ada swing so hard neh

yup - do stocks too but very little nowadays in MY except for CIMBA40 +CIMBC25.
ssup?
wongmunkeong
post Sep 8 2014, 08:05 AM

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QUOTE(aoisky @ Sep 7 2014, 11:07 PM)
In-term of benefit PM Gold, in-term of low sc FSM, that is why PM still got its market and demand.
*
In my humble opinion, i prefer FSM's gold benefits as an investor (cost goes lower)

VS

PM' Mut Gold freebies like
Good but one-off only
+ Free Will/Wasiat Writing Services, Free Trust Nominations (Nice one off)

So-so
* free insurance coverage (not bad but amount dismal)
* Mutual Gold Seminars (FSM pun ada)

Dangerous
- no fees credit card from PB (encourages spending + i've cards that are free with much better cash back)

Below are like them Priority banking fluff to me
- Complimentary Magazine, Quarterly Statement of Accounts, Repurchase Cheques Within Two Business Days
- Special Rates on Insurance Products From LonPac Insurance
- Exclusive Mutual Gold Centre
- Dedicated Mutual Gold Hotline

Just opining notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 8 2014, 08:06 AM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 8 2014, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(polkiuj @ Sep 8 2014, 02:27 PM)
Most FD is capital guaranteed and PIDM insured. So therefore it's "secured" and returns are "guaranteed".
Return as of now is about a max of 4% annually
UT on the other hand is not capital guaranteed.

The average return of UT (that is available on FSM) is about
1 yr: 11.3% annually
2 yr: 9.69% annually
3 yr: 8.79% annually
5 yr: 8.09% annually
10 yr: 7.98% annually

Out of 219 funds that are available (that has more than 3 yrs of data), looking at 3 yrs performance
9 (4%) had -ve returns
35 (16%) has less than 4% return annually
the rest, 175 funds or 80% had above (and mostly way above) 4% return

So in conclusion (in FSM, taking into account only funds that is longer than 3 yrs old), 80% of UT has better or WAY better returns compared to FD. And that's taking today's FD rate (it was lower previously).
*
Additional thoughts:
Best to use the 10yrs+ returns as expectations management
The 1-5 years we had is higher due to:
a. 2008-2009 1st qtr "crashed" level
b. 2009+5 years = 2014
c. Thus most funds if measured from 2009 are super performers (ie. not the norm)...
just like some "super investors or traders" thinking it's skill these past 5 years VS return to mean (me included sweat.gif )

Just a thought notworthy.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 20 2014, 04:53 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Sep 20 2014, 03:14 PM)
Nope.. need to pay wan... dun wan lar!

My algo sendiri tulis punya (proprietary product - patent pending  cool2.gif ).. pakai excel punya makro learned during college/uni days. Those days used to pakai Windows 3.11 wan leh.... now you know how ancient I am liao hor...

Xuzen
*
Talk to me about DOS and LOTUS 1-2-3, then only ancient laugh.gif
eh - upload to Google Sheet and share share lar brows.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 24 2014, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(j.passing.by @ Sep 24 2014, 01:17 PM)
On this issue of income distributions and unit splits, and the NAV price per unit, there are some sites which give the info on the min and max NAV prices.

I think they are misleading, as they lend unwanted credence and importance to NAV price.

Maybe they were copied from sites on market indices, and maybe from the stock market, without much thoughts.

Unit splits as in Apple, I'd understand... as they lower the entry price per share/lot for people to get in.

But in UT, the units are not sold in fixed amounts.

You paid RM1, you get RM1 worth of units. You pay RM100, 1k, 10k, 50k, whatever, you get the equivalent amount worth of units (minus of course, the service charges if any).

If the fund grows 10%, 15%, 20%, whatever, you still get 10%, 15%, 20%, whatever growth in your invested amount.

AND THIS IS DISREGARD, whether the nav price is 0.2500, 0.5000, 1.0000, or whatever.
*
bro - some thoughts:
a. some fund houses forces us kulis to redeem or switch "at least" x,xxx.00 units per transaction.

b. thus, due to this self-imposed SOP, these fund houses may be forced to split as the "minimum units/switch or redeem" above becomes too "ridiculous".
maybe lar

for sure (a.) exist - there that old fuddy duddy fund house tongue.gif

wongmunkeong
post Sep 24 2014, 05:13 PM

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QUOTE(j.passing.by @ Sep 24 2014, 04:10 PM)
That minimum of 1000 units to switch? In a way, yes, unit splits will lower the price/unit and creates more units.
And the fund house can keep the nav price within a certain price range, and allow investors to have the switch or redemption amount consistently within a certain range.

When the nav price goes too far above its price range (because of growth), without the unit splits, the investor will be forced to switch in a larger amount if he is switching at the minimum number of units.

It is an advantage to an investor with a matured portfolio. But to a younger investor who is beginning to accumulate and invest into UT, it might not be any advantage.

==============

BTW The post was to show that any investor into UT should disregard the NAV price when comparing and making a shortlist of funds. Just sharing a common knowledge that any UT investor would already knew, except to those just starting their research...

And to support my opinion that it is a marketing myth... that fund managers were trying to trick people into selecting their funds because they have cheaper nav prices.

Or maybe not, as some still insists that it is better to buy after distribution with lower nav prices!
*
heheh - that marketing BS is a given lar.
look - it works (see some forumers swear by NAV movement as though stock's price) tongue.gif
if it can con geniuses like those, aunties & uncles where can stand against such "attraction" laugh.gif

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