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 Fundsupermart.com v7, DIY unit trust investing

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wodenus
post Aug 29 2014, 11:48 PM

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Is this the big one? FDI will hear about the Selangor issue now, is that catalyst enough to trigger a correction?

wodenus
post Aug 30 2014, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(cappuccino vs latte @ Aug 29 2014, 11:48 PM)
AmAsia Pacific Equity Income is the feeder fund for BlackRock Global Funds - Asia Pacific Equity Income A2 USD.
NAV change on 28/8/14 for AmAsia Pacific Equity Income was -0.41% while comparative NAV change for BlackRock Global Funds - Asia Pacific Equity Income A2 USD was -0.36%.

sometime feeder fund's performance just relatively poor than target fund.
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What do you mean sometimes, feeder funds are like MLM.. they buy the funds from the target fund company, the target fund company wants to make money, the feeder fund company also wants to make money, in the end same performance but one has more expenses smile.gif


This post has been edited by wodenus: Aug 30 2014, 12:01 AM
wodenus
post Aug 30 2014, 12:40 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Aug 30 2014, 07:35 AM)
Difference in return could be induced from foreign exchange.
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I think both will be USD right, otherwise what will the other fund be denominated in.

This post has been edited by wodenus: Aug 30 2014, 12:41 PM
wodenus
post Aug 30 2014, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Aug 30 2014, 02:04 PM)
It has been a suckish month for equities. Only my money market give me the most return this month of Aug-14.

So it is another new month, time to consult my crytal ball aka my algo. Since FSM website is down, I will do it after I come back from Merdeka holiday.

Happy birthday 58th birthday Malaysia...

Xuzen
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Crystal ball is dependent on whether site is up? Hmm, I have a new crystal ball.. testing now, it seems to say we are in for a bit of downtime, but not sure as to the accuracy yet.


wodenus
post Sep 1 2014, 04:39 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Sep 1 2014, 04:14 PM)
Public holiday... morning go eat breakfast and relax outside paling syiok la..  tongue.gif
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Quite boring.. preparing for tomorrow.. smile.gif

wodenus
post Sep 2 2014, 04:13 AM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Sep 1 2014, 10:15 PM)
Triple pay la.. smile.gif
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Yea lucky people smile.gif
wodenus
post Sep 2 2014, 09:40 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Sep 2 2014, 10:19 AM)
Dude - not just yr opinion - statistical fact given long term data testing by some white paper folks tongue.gif
er.. i'd have to dig it out if U guys want to read it - shared way earlier in PM or FSM or Mutual Fund thread (can't recall which - getting older & senile-er)  sweat.gif
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Only applies if you are trading stocks directly.. funds are all over the place. If a fund manager is good, the value of the fund goes up. So what you are saying is, with VCA the better he gets, the less you are going to invest? smile.gif


wodenus
post Sep 3 2014, 07:14 AM

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QUOTE(j.passing.by @ Sep 3 2014, 04:42 AM)
in a way, yes... invest less in a bull rally. In a market rally, fund manager no good, fund can also go up.  smile.gif

But need to clarify that we're taking into account the value of the investment, not directly looking into the price level of the share or mutual fund, to determine the amount of additional re-investment. Thus, it can apply to both share and UT.

Say, investing 1k each month over 10 months.

DCA (Regardless of the total value of the investment, objective is to spend 10k.):
1st month 1k
2nd month 2k (cumulative total), 3rd month 3k, 4th month 4k,.... 10th month 10k.
VA (Objective is to have an investment valued at 10k.):
1st month 1k
2nd month, top up to 2k.
3rd month, top up to 3k,.... 10th month, top up to 10k.
So in market rally, need to invest less amount of $$$ to reach the desired investment value of $10k.
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Okay now assume two fund managers, one which is good, and one which is not so good. Fund manager A loses money in a bull run, fund manager B makes money. So it would follow that fund A's value drops in a bull run, and fund B's value goes up.

So now following VCA, you will be throwing more money at fund A and less money at fund B. If everyone does that, the funds which perform the worst, will have the most funding. Does that make sense to you?

Now assume that there's a market downturn, and fund A loses even more money, while fund B, because of superior stock-picking skills, manage to make even more money. The result of this is.. fund B is again punished for being really good, while loser fund B gets even more money. Again, this makes no sense.

The reason va works for individual stocks is that stocks can be overvalued. There's only one counter, and if it becomes overvalued, it becomes overvalued. It is not a fund. A fund has a cash component. Unless it is a passive index fund, it needs more money to chase more prospects.

Suppose I told you this, that I want to make 10k profit only this month. So if you are my sales person, the more money you make for me, the less I am going to pay you. The day you make 10k, I am going to totally stop paying you. And somehow you think this is a good idea.

This post has been edited by wodenus: Sep 3 2014, 08:32 AM
wodenus
post Sep 3 2014, 01:16 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Sep 3 2014, 09:44 AM)
Your method above hinges only on alpha generated by THE fund manager.


All funds (unless they are passive) hinge on the performance of the fund manager, which is why good fund managers rock (and are the exception btw.)

QUOTE
VCA, DCA & other mechanical "no fear / no greed" method is not hinging on THE fund manager but on the logic of buying more (whether units or value) when low, and not buying too much (or even selling/rebalancing) when high.


The problem with this is that with companies (ones with huge moats) you can VCA it because at one point, it becomes too expensive. Funds never become "too expensive". You can't calculate the EBITDA or PER or whatever of a fund and say, this is too high smile.gif so this means that the price of a fund is nothing but an indicator of how much it is worth now, a numerical representation of the performance of the fund manager.

If the fund manager is perfect, the price pretty much always goes up regardless of the index. Unfortunately no one is perfect, that's why it doesn't smile.gif if we were to consider this possibility though, wouldn't it happen that if everyone is doing VCA, a perfect fund manager will eventually run out of fresh funds? smile.gif the reward for being perfect is no fresh funds, but the reward for being really crappy is more money lol.

QUOTE
BTW, in reality - looking for THE fund manager(s) to generate superb alphas, how many is there + how much "one is willing to bet on that horse"
VS
using mechanical "no fear / no greed", one just plods along.


Not against DCA, I just think VCA is not applicable to actively-managed funds.

QUOTE
Of course, why not marry them both?
eg. 60% mechanical, 40% picking?
just like some folks doing ETF / mutual funds AND stock picking (and/or trading).
Reason: when trading or stock picking - usually one doesn't "sai lang" and go whole hog in. Position sizing is used to control exposure and pontential blow-ups VS potential returns).
Thinking of that, but have to consider opportunity cost. The thing about equities is brokerage cost. The minimum cost applied by most brokerages means that commissions can be really high for low amounts. Commission on the standard 1K in mutual funds is 2%, so Rm20. After that it is still 2%, so a Rm100 top up is just Rm2.

Now suppose the same scenario in stocks. First 1K is 0.1%, which is RM1, but then minimum charge Rm8, so Rm8.

After that, Rm100 top-up is also Rm8.

If you DCA long enough, you will realize that brokerage on equities > commission on mutual funds for low amounts smile.gif



This post has been edited by wodenus: Sep 3 2014, 02:33 PM
wodenus
post Sep 3 2014, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Sep 3 2014, 01:22 PM)
Decided to sell of my Public Far East Select Fund.

With that, I have no more holdings with Public Mutual. Yahoo!
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Yea, it's only logical that we should reward good fund managers, it benefits us all smile.gif

wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 12:49 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 3 2014, 11:13 PM)
My biggest holding rclxms.gif
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Which BRIC fund?

This post has been edited by wodenus: Sep 4 2014, 01:21 PM
wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Sep 4 2014, 12:53 PM)
CIMB AP Dynamic Income Fund is a steady slow grower.

[attachmentid=4120626]

The graph is almost a straight line.
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Quite impressive.. but not a lot of history behind it.
wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 01:16 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Sep 4 2014, 12:57 PM)
The fund aim is to achieve an 8% p.a. It has no benchmark against any index like MCSI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan
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Seems strange to have an upside target but then that's just me smile.gif
wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 01:46 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 4 2014, 01:36 PM)
It's an absolute return fund, i.e. aims a certain % return regardless of benchmark/index performance.
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Doesn't every actively-managed fund aim to make money every year regardless of index performance? 8% average is a kind of low target smile.gif

This post has been edited by wodenus: Sep 4 2014, 01:56 PM
wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 4 2014, 01:53 PM)
NO.

Most other funds can consider themselves "achieved goal/target" IF they managed to outperform index/benchmark,

E.g.
2012 benchmark -40%, fund -38%
2013 benchmark +1%, fund +1.5%

fund manager can PROUDLY declare they met its goal
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But with this fund:

2014 benchmark +30% fund +8%

QUOTE
fund manager can PROUDLY declare they met its goal


Right? smile.gif

wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 4 2014, 02:00 PM)
Lazy to entertain u...u should get what I mean
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That's why I think having an upside target is strange smile.gif


wodenus
post Sep 4 2014, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Sep 4 2014, 02:36 PM)
similar to entertaining the "chasing higher returns" alpha-generating fund managers' fund
VS
buy more low, buy less high (VCA, DCA, other methodologies based on value mechanical & "return to mean")
?
tongue.gif
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Works for me smile.gif
wodenus
post Sep 5 2014, 06:40 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 4 2014, 05:37 PM)
But...ain't property LAGI overvalued? tongue.gif
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Not globally speaking smile.gif
wodenus
post Sep 6 2014, 06:28 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ Sep 4 2014, 10:09 PM)
but i heard they give a stable 10-15% ROI each year?
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So do a lot of funds that don't charge 5.5% smile.gif

wodenus
post Sep 17 2014, 01:25 PM

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KLCI confirmed long-term downtrend smile.gif

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