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 USA Stock Discussion v5, Investment,Trader,Financial Ratios,HUAT?

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yok70
post Jan 10 2014, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 10 2014, 06:09 AM)
I expect bad news... (as in less than expected). 
I think the market is due for a short term correction.

I'm seeing buying are slowing.  Very tight range now for SP500. 

Are u ready with some cash at sidelines?
*
oh ya, always has some cash waiting for the bears. icon_rolleyes.gif
yok70
post Jan 10 2014, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 10 2014, 10:15 PM)
The UE number is 6.7% now (getting closer to 6.5%) but the growth number is only 67k (that's really weak).
The economists now blame the weather and saying now this number is not reliable.   laugh.gif
*
now bad news is good news or bad news? i blur oledy... rclxub.gif whistling.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 10 2014, 10:29 PM
yok70
post Jan 10 2014, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jan 10 2014, 10:44 PM)
purely by stats, UE drops below the 7.0 benchmark for over 5 years -good news.

This signals slower economic growth for the US and could help to delay the QE2, or reduces its quantum - good news.

The increase in non-farm payroll is the slowest since 2011 - Bad news.

If we all win before the cny, then - goos news. lol
*
rclxms.gif
yok70
post Jan 10 2014, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 10 2014, 10:59 PM)
Before CNY?  laugh.gif    anyway, I'm looking at the China market now, maybe some good opportunity there
after the big sell off early this week.
*
I've been buying China/HK stocks last few days too. thumbup.gif
yok70
post Jan 11 2014, 04:23 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 11 2014, 03:55 AM)
Disappointed at AAPL.. going no where but dipped below 50ma.  doh.gif
Will sell more covered calls next week.
*
I think it's pretty much only following the broad market trend. When (if) market starts to recover, it will follow. Just a feel.
Do you think broad market correction is on its way? I'm just seeing sidelines now (with perhaps a rather moderate +/- 3% range), neither up or down trend.

This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 11 2014, 04:24 AM
yok70
post Jan 11 2014, 07:19 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 11 2014, 10:20 AM)
I have a feeling that something is brewing.. and maybe not good for the bulls for this quarter.
It looks like a sell off is coming, maybe just waiting for an excuse. Market not rallying due to dismay job numbers and some blame the weather but the participation rate is telling us, something is not right. Wait till end of Jan, still and if it is dismay after more seasonal layoffs, then the market may have a steep correction.

Also, Earnings this week, AA and some brick and mortar retail stocks aren't not doing good this holiday season.
But, we need to hear more from the online stores like AMZN, Ebay, etc..

AAPL earnings on Jan 27th after market close. Mark your calendar.  Let see if the blow out number can happen or not.
If doesn't happen, AAPL will suffer severe punishment for several months.

Either it will run up $600 or back below $500.  brows.gif
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thanks for the feedback. thumbup.gif
always up and down doubts around, and this is stock market all about. biggrin.gif
a 10% correction will put apple back to 480 area. brows.gif
17 jan, china mobile will start selling iphones. unsure.gif
yok70
post Jan 12 2014, 04:00 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 11 2014, 11:31 PM)
You know, I wonder.. how many people in China can afford an iPhone or willing to buy one ? Furthermore, they don't have subsidies. For those who have access to the high-speed area (China Mobile mostly are 3G only), they ALREADY got a smartphone (droid ones). There are plenty of smartphones running droid and they're dirt cheap.  hmm.gif
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I fully agree that it's not a short term catalyst, but a long term one. The positive on Apple links with China Mobile is to ride along China's growth story, which is very much intact so far. If China able to continue growing at 5%-7% GDP for the next 10 years, we can imagine the buying power from steady growth of middle class, that would be huge. China people "want face", as long as Apple able to maintain its prestigious brand icon and not going cheap, I see middle class (in fact, especially middle class since half-bottle-water people "want face" much stronger than upper class/successful people. I see youngsters using iphone in KL, lots of them. While some big boss choose Note 3 because their eyes no good already and need a big screen, they don't care brand-name). So buying Apple today is target at holding it for 5 years or above. Those who buy for the hope of short term gain might be disappointed. But not related to you lah, you are swing player, more swing more gain type. biggrin.gif

btw, I'm thinking this correction of QE tapering may not be as aggressive as many hope. The bottom line is world economy is improving. In this case, QE immediately becomes less priority to the market. I watched a talk show just now by China experts regarding QE tapering effect to China economy. From there, I can see the bears were getting out of word after some debates, the bulls seem to have much stronger sayings regarding issues (ie. money tightening, bond yield raising etc.). I almost saw a KO on the bears in the show.
yok70
post Jan 14 2014, 04:34 AM

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danmooncake, you wish comes true. deep red today. wish to see Apple back to 500 best. brows.gif
yok70
post Jan 14 2014, 05:53 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 14 2014, 05:46 AM)
Well, the bears fired the shots across the bows last week and they conducted first raid tonight. Didn't say we didn't see this coming, right?  Let see how it goes by end of this week 'coz I got AAPL expiration by Friday. I sold the 550 and 555 calls. Lots of room for me to stand aside and watch the bear raid.  laugh.gif
*
a longer pullback is good for me too, cause i wanna continue accumulate at low. icon_rolleyes.gif
yok70
post Jan 15 2014, 02:21 AM

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damn the bull is so strong cannot tired.
yok70
post Jan 15 2014, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jan 15 2014, 08:45 AM)
As long as QE is still continue and with record near-zero interest rate, there is a probability of
re-run repeat of year 2013.. Even without the QE, the USA economy is in
better shape compared to last 4-5 years, and it will grow by itself without any life oxygen(No OE).
IMHO, Holding Power is one of the key tools in investment..
*
icon_rolleyes.gif
yok70
post Jan 16 2014, 04:16 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 15 2014, 10:57 PM)
Oh wow... AAPL is making its run now.
Darn.. looks like my shares will be taken away by Friday if it closes at above 555.
Pretty strong bid for TSLA too.. play a little calls here for scalping.  laugh.gif
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sigh! now Apple really heading towards to breakout 570 recent high. No chance to pick up my 4th batch....yet, unless 27th report shows disappointing earnings. laugh.gif
yok70
post Jan 18 2014, 06:22 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 17 2014, 11:09 PM)
AAPL China Mobile launched... looks like they're selling into the news. 
I may get to keep my shares if AAPL can stay below 550 by closing.  biggrin.gif
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as you (and I ) wish, 540. icon_rolleyes.gif
give me 520. brows.gif
yok70
post Jan 22 2014, 04:06 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 22 2014, 01:03 AM)
Time to sell into the pop...  brows.gif
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HK market only rebounded less than 1%, already time to sell? tongue.gif
yok70
post Jan 22 2014, 06:05 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 22 2014, 05:53 AM)
By the way, have you look at FTSE 25 Xinhua? Something is not right with it now..
China says they going to loosen up but market still not moving for them.  I think they wanted to revisit the lows again like last year.
*
Yes, it's my regular monitoring ETF. One in Bursa too, the cimbc25 which is a xinhua 25 etf.
if it wants to revisit the low, that would be another 10-15% decline. My average buying price is at about current level.
it's now on the first support line....very hard to see if it would move up or down....but if looking at mid term graph, it seems more likely on the bearish trend.... hmm.gif
however, fundamentally speaking, i'll just continue buying if it moves downwards considering that's a steal. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 22 2014, 01:02 PM
yok70
post Jan 24 2014, 01:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 23 2014, 11:01 PM)
It is still a buying opportunity, just a small pull back here. Both SP500 and Nasdaq still strong, but DOW got nice pull back to the slightly above 50ma @ 16209, low risk buy here with stop at 16150.
*
my cimb platform will be able to trade US's ETF next week onwards on the NYSEArca. So finally I can short the market through inverse ETFs! Need your recommendations on those by then. In mind now are the ETF to long/short the US, HK and SSE index market, and also the Gold, crude oil and palm oil. Are these ETFs exist? There is no "deadline" on ETFs right? Can hold forever one right? notworthy.gif
yok70
post Jan 24 2014, 03:58 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 24 2014, 03:44 AM)
Yes, these ETFs exist. For example: FXI is US version of CIMB's FTSE 25 china stocks.

The bear share for FXI is YXI

For leverage play (2x),
The Bull share is: XPP
The Bear share is: FXP

Take a look at ProShares web site, they got other Bear/Bull and leverage ETFs for commodities, crude, etc.

Right now, I like to play XPP and FXP.   brows.gif
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cool! thanks man! brows.gif

damn, this apple really stubborn! where is my bear bear! party ruin by this Icahn! shakehead.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 24 2014, 04:01 AM
yok70
post Jan 24 2014, 09:52 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 24 2014, 09:37 PM)
Not too worry about Dow.. but take a look at Emerging Market index.. what a bear!  laugh.gif
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that bear triggers me to continue adding HK/china stocks.... sweat.gif
yok70
post Jan 24 2014, 11:58 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 24 2014, 10:37 PM)
I like FXP now.. since China is moving south again. going to cash out a bit here and wait for opportunity to take
some XPP later.
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I think the bear may not benefit more than 8% from here for the China....?....

SP500 is trying to break that 1805 line. if successful, may test 1750 soon....?.....

just some wild guess. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 24 2014, 11:59 PM
yok70
post Jan 25 2014, 01:31 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 25 2014, 12:31 AM)
Yes, next support will be 1750.  Selling increased now..
Mid day snapshot..

FXI -2.20%

XPP -4.46%
FXP +4.70%

Also there...  laugh.gif
*
huat lah! brows.gif

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