QUOTE(Balrog @ Jan 10 2014, 12:27 PM)
Interest rate for house loan will definitely go up.
One way to tell is to compare with 10 year government bond yield (which is the interest rate at which the Malaysian government is borrowing money, for 10 year loans). 10 year is suitable for comparison because on average housing loans are settled in roughly 10 years (the loan tenure may be 30 years or whatever, but on average it will be settled earlier as the house is sold etc).
Malaysian government 10 year bond yield is 4.2%, a big jump from just six months ago. So certainly the current interest rate for housing loan does not make sense, because as a lender, there is no reason to loan to house buyers at the same rate as loaning to Malaysia government (house buyers should pay a higher interest). I am not sure what is the difference in yield in Malaysia historically, but in the US, the gap is 1.0% to 1.5%.
By the way, one big factor driving up the interest is of course the plan to reduce and eventually eliminate the QE in the US.
Malaysia gov 10 year bond yield
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/charts/mal...101&d2=20141231
US gov 10 year bond yield
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/10_year/charts
Good info there, thanks.One way to tell is to compare with 10 year government bond yield (which is the interest rate at which the Malaysian government is borrowing money, for 10 year loans). 10 year is suitable for comparison because on average housing loans are settled in roughly 10 years (the loan tenure may be 30 years or whatever, but on average it will be settled earlier as the house is sold etc).
Malaysian government 10 year bond yield is 4.2%, a big jump from just six months ago. So certainly the current interest rate for housing loan does not make sense, because as a lender, there is no reason to loan to house buyers at the same rate as loaning to Malaysia government (house buyers should pay a higher interest). I am not sure what is the difference in yield in Malaysia historically, but in the US, the gap is 1.0% to 1.5%.
By the way, one big factor driving up the interest is of course the plan to reduce and eventually eliminate the QE in the US.
Malaysia gov 10 year bond yield
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/charts/mal...101&d2=20141231
US gov 10 year bond yield
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/10_year/charts
Jan 10 2014, 01:18 PM

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