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 V12 - Property prices discussion, For non "UUU" and "DDD" campers only...

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loongchai
post Aug 16 2013, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 15 2013, 10:40 PM)
yup pretty much you are there.. just like buying stock there is risk of losing as well.. it's just that the risk are 2 different kind of ball game.. on a 2nd thought.. even if the property does not appreciate and you sell after the 5th year with the same amount you bought.. let's say rm250k bought and sold at rm250k.. you will still be making let's say around rm40k? That's due to the person who is financing the property for you at the sametime.. However most likely it would not be @ 250k anymore by the 5th year.
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Have you conveniently forgotten about interest, inflation of money, maintenance, quit rent, stamp duty, legal fees, agent fees and more hidden charges? I am sure, by the fifth year, if your property doesn't appreciate, you'll be losing money, even if it's rented out.

This post has been edited by loongchai: Aug 16 2013, 04:15 PM
loongchai
post Aug 16 2013, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 16 2013, 06:26 PM)
read my previous post before commenting la.  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif

and when you talk about inflation.. it's even worst if you keep cold hard cash. u know that right?

All you need to do is calculate the rental you are collecting. RM1.5k x 12 x 5 = rm90k.

So next calculate the total installment.. RM1k x 12 x 5 + rm165 x 12 x 5 + rm7.5k.

Do a simple math and now tell me are you losing money? Man such simple maths and you failed.. no wonder you joined the down camp I suppose? Don't just bash without thinking. start to use a pen and paper.. with your calculator.. do calculations to everything you about to doubt..  smile.gif

Oh shit.. I have not even factor in if the rental increases... nah nvm.. the above is good enough to justify as a quick glance calculation.
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If my previous post offended you, I am sorry. I am just trying to enlighten you and other forumers that a property which doesn't appreciate over 5 years will bring you more harm than good. If you bought a property that doesn't appreciate? BAM, you'll be in a deep mess. I hope all future buyers will understand the costs and risks of buying a property before jumping onto the bandwagon.

Even cold hard cash has yield, which are from FD interest rates. If you can't beat FD rates of 3.5% (or 4.2% loan interest rate) per annum, you are better off not buying the property, just keep cash in the bank or not take a loan, less hassle. FYI, there are many other types of investments.

Calculating your profit from property investment isn't as easy as you think. A simple math wouldn't work. You have to calculate amortization, especially if you are taking a loan. Look here: http://mortgage-x.com/calculators/amortization.htm . Not to forget all form of taxes and fees; renovations costs, maintenance, stamp duty, agent commissions, quit rent, S&P legal fees, loan legal fees, RPGT tax, etc.

Speaking of which, how often can you find a rented property that covers installment (RM1k) and get additional 50% (RM1.5k) loose cash as bonus? What makes you think you can increase the rent of a property that hasn't appreciate over 5 years. You'll be begging for your tenant not to leave, I assure you. Lots of assumptions on your side.

Btw, I am in the UUU camp, I'll be better off if the prices of properties shoot to the moon thumbup.gif I am just being realistic. icon_rolleyes.gif
loongchai
post Aug 17 2013, 01:30 AM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 16 2013, 11:28 PM)
for someone who had already bought my 3rd recently. Im pretty aware of where i'm putting my money in. perhaps your finding excuses to justify your points? You are talking about a investment which doesn't make any appreciation please do not compare with FD or anything. If you are doing a deposit why are you comparing with a investment?

Next again you are wrong.. taxes and fees like? please dont just say tax and fees dont assume. renovation cost have you calculated how much you need for a decent one? Let me tell you it's approx rm9.5k which i've included as part of my initial payment. agent comission? hello it's part of the 10% what talk you? SPA legal feels loan legal fees do you know how many percent you need there? Let me give you the exact amount for a 250k home purchase. cause i still save my formulas.  smile.gif

Prop 250k
DP - 25k
SNP - 6.7k - 2.5k rebate if it's your 1st home
LOA - rm7.5 inclusive of mrta
repayment for 35 years? RM1071

rm9.5k to have 3 airconds - 2 water heather - washing machine, fridge and that's all you need.  smile.gif  the rest all for KC.

As for the highlighted part i've done that..  blush.gif  it's no rocket science.. 3 years back there are abunden of rm250k condominium. Google up my property. puri ayu condominium. Check out the price and check out the rental it's always between rm1.4 - rm1.6k. Some ppl are even more greedy wanting rm1.8k. Again i've done that and it's not an assumption. Perhaps you are the one who are making an assumption.

Oh and how often property at such price doesn't appreciate? Oh so now your UUU camp? and again i'm here to stand.. you are not going to lose even if it does not appreciate. If you are selling them in the 1st 5 years then yes but after 5 years selling it? no. Why? I've calculated it in my excel spreadsheet on the breakdown of cost TCO and ROI.
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What's wrong comparing property investments with FD or any other investments? Property investment is after all one of many investment classes, unless you are purchasing for own stay. If you do not get an ROI marginally higher than FD rates (2 to 3% higher), the risks you take and hassles involved is unjustifiable.


Why are you comparing puri ayu condominium prices 3 years back? It was RM250k 3 years back (as you said), but it is going for RM350k now (that's a whopping 40% appreciation). If you purchase it right now for DP 10%, the monthly installment is RM1540 (excluding maintenance) over 30 years at 4.2% interest rate. Market asking rental rate is RM1.4k-ish.

Let's do some maths here:

Based on your worst-case scenario assumption of no appreciation after 5 years and if you were to dispose the property right after 5 years (no RPGT tax, no appreciation anyway ohmy.gif ). Using the mortgage calculator from here http://mortgage-x.com/calculators/amortization.htm (30 years loan and 4.2% interest rate) ,

Pmt # Date Loan Balance Interest Principal Total Interest
60 August 1, 2018 285,819.84 1,002.25 538.15 63,244.09

You would have paid RM63k to serve the interest alone. That would be your interest charges, excluding other fees. Loan balance is RM285k, which means you paid about RM30k principal.

The agent commission I am referring to is the 1 month rental commission to your agent (granted no change of tenant within the 5 years and full 5 years occupancy, ohmy.gif "OMG, it's a perfect world out there!") and also the 2-3% paid as agent commission when you sell the property.

Now, back to your assumption of RM1.5k per month rental income for 60 months (5 years) which equals to RM90k (again, ideally).

After deducting interest, S&P (multiply by two, for purchasing and selling), stamp duty, loan agreement, renovation, maintenance, commissions (calculating based on RM350k), you'll be in negative territory or very close to it. Let's not forget what you could have done with the 10% DP (RM35k) you paid. You could have left it in FD for a steady 3.5% interest (RM35k becomes RM41k+ based on compounded interest) or invested it in stocks, unit trust, bonds, etc for higher yield.

Conclusion, if your property doesn't appreciate after 5 years, it's a very bad investment, even with full 5 years rental tenure. icon_rolleyes.gif

P.S: if it still does not appreciate after 10, 15, 20 years, you'll be in deeper sh*t

This post has been edited by loongchai: Aug 17 2013, 01:36 AM
loongchai
post Aug 17 2013, 09:07 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 17 2013, 10:49 AM)
Comparing FD vs property investment? Hello!? propperty investment do not guarantee ROI. seremban 2 were talking about stock exchange vs property investment.. and now another bloke comes into the property forum talking about FD? On top of that loongchai answer my simple question. Will Ali, Abu, Ah Chu or Ah Kow pay for your safe deposit? Will they give you the money willingly so that you could bank in RM1.5k to your fixed deposit account? If no.. then stop comparing fixed deposit with property investment.  doh.gif  such simple comparison also dorno how to think straight.. Y

Bolded part.. You make me laugh hard.  laugh.gif  It's rm285k only if you continue serving the loan. On the 5th year if you were to sell @ rm250k. Calculate how much balance you will be getting from the bank la. Perhaps that's the reason why you still don't get the point where i said you will not lose money in the end.  laugh.gif You do know mortgage doesn't work the same with hire purchase right? My annually statements came to me.. last year was balance rm218k.. This year balance most likely rm65k.. rm65k 4.4% interest per annum.. That's something which i could afford.  blush.gif All my savings went into the home loan current account.  smile.gif

The other crap you posted i'm going to ignore it.. cause I obviously told you i bought at rm250k and rm265k respectively. I do not know why are you calculating RM350k property investment.  doh.gif  If you buy i t today.. You should be looking into another place where could yield you better appreciation / rental income and not Puri Ayu. Regarding the agent part and also the other balance which you need to pay.. Those are variables which if things changes within the next 5 years.. Are you telling me that stocks unit trust, bonds ETC they do not change, fluctuate, or lose within the next 5 years?.. on top of that are you gonna make money if there are no changes within the next 5 year?  So now tell me... Compared to my property investment VS stock exchange.. Considering mine had appreciated.. which had given me better result? Have i not told you that both unit of mine comes with 2 parking as well? biggrin.gif 

So in the end.. If my property doesn't appreciate on my 5th year upon selling.. I will still not lose money period. Perhaps you should provide me your property investment which does not appreciate and you will lose that much money as mentioned? With a better example then you would most likely give me/us a better idea on why you would lose money.  smile.gif
Bro.. fixed deposit might be an investment but those are for ppl who would not want to risk it. Seremban_2 started with stock exchange and we do agree it's different kind of ball game.. And now someone came in here and talk about fixed deposit while we are talking about rental.. Don't tell me some other ppl would be investing in your deposit monthly without anything in return lor.. Totally irrelevant comparison.
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Regarding the bolded part, banks are not the same as Ali, Abu, Ah Chu or Ah Kow. Banks want us to place deposits into their accounts so they can lend more money to Ah Kidmad and also to keep their balance sheet healthy.

Now I have answered your question, allow me to ask you one: Banks have huge piles of cash in their inventory and since property investments are so good (don't need appreciation, rental is good enough, according to you), why doesn't the banks purchase the property themselves and rent it out instead? Why bother lending it to the public? Tips: risks.

Anyway, like I said, I am in the UUU camp. I am not into high rise, so my yields are very low. Appreciation is KING, in my opinion. Many rather not rent out their properties if they don't find the right tenants.
loongchai
post Aug 17 2013, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 17 2013, 10:05 PM)
doh.gif  thats the problem these days when ppl don't read.. i'm doing a comparison to show seremban_2 even if property price do not rise we are not losing money. Adding on you from which era one? Heard of things called REIT bo? Ambank buying so many towers what is that? They buy for fun renting it out for free?  doh.gif  whether y ou are the UUU camp or not i don't know but 1 thing for sure.. You seriously got no idea what are you talking about..
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That's all you have left to say?
- people these days don't read (weren't you the one who was ignoring the "crappy" part of my post?)
- which era are you from? (modern era, but nobody cares anyway)
- heard of REITS? (I do, infact I have some in my portfolio)
- AmBank buying towers (so, buying a couple of towers has made Ambank into a real estate company now? don't make me laugh)
- you seriously got no idea what you are talking about (ditto, same can be said to you)

peace out wink.gif

This post has been edited by loongchai: Aug 17 2013, 11:01 PM
loongchai
post Aug 18 2013, 08:55 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Aug 18 2013, 10:27 AM)
Loongchai, let's talk about fact. you are the one saying why don't bank buy it themselve.. now when i told you they did and this is what you have to say? I guess some ppl's ego are just too great to back out.
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My point is banks are in the business of lending to consumers for property purchases and will not buy the said property for themselves. For example, Ah Meng buys a property at Desa Park City for RM3m. He then loans RM2.5m from Ambank. Why don't Ambank buy the property for themselves but instead choose to lend money to Ah Meng for him to purchase the property? Their main business is to earn interests from lenders.

Anyway, I still think aiming for property capital appreciation is the way to go while rental is just a bonus. Let's agree to disagree regarding appreciation versus rental. After all, we do share benefits if property prices continue to appreciate.

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