QUOTE(accetera @ Jun 30 2013, 05:12 PM)
"Build Then Sell" will kill the primary market and probably is the best way to curb the incidence of speculations in the primary market, though it is too harsh for developers.
Anyway, the govt has no intention to make BTS compulsory for now... but is looking at ways how the govt can be a genuine player in the housing sector, i.e. PR1MA, offering homes less than RM500k to meet the demands of the masses of working people. In years to come, private developers would probably need to move up the value chain to offer products that greatly distinguished from social housing like PR1MA.
Another thing is the govt may want more private developers to fund the surrounding infrastructure to the whole extent instead of relying from DBKL or Majlis. In order to enhance the value of properties, private developers would have to build their linkage to public transport or even build more new parks new police beats and new ramps/roads or BRT (bus rapid transit) to their sites. This is already happening now... but still not good enough. How many private developers out there are like Sunway willing to build a totally new modern BRT Line? How many township developers are like S P Setia able to have their own communal police?
Private developers will definitely incur many more additional costs, so their target market will also have to change to the affluent group of people. (according to bank data, the number of high net worth individuals in malaysia could easily double in years to come)
Demand and supply theory will greatly dictate the property market but that is one part of the story as there are also regulatory, environment, macroeconomics and other external factors that are also dictating the market. At the end, I think it all comes down to how confident are you in the Malaysia economy. (ASEAN economies if becoming more integrated will definitely make our economy stronger)
Great analysis, well said~~
Anyway i do have worries on how Government of Malaysia (GoM) implement their plan~~
as far as my understanding~~the GoM always have good plans~~but the one who really implement it...mostly their own people~~in short~~the top tier developers only got a small piece of the cake~~ therefore, we really has to wait and see how PR1MA will be able to drive down the property price and benefit the people~~
Put that apart~~thousands of new unit will be available in the next 2~3 years~~
The supply is definitely plenty~~especially the pricey mickey mouse units~~assume 70% of all the new units are for own stay (VERY optimistic!!) there are a thousands more units left over for flipping~~again im trying to stress the
high supply of new units~~
Demand~~hmm this is tricky~~

although KL is still the heart of Malaysia~~but recently the development seems to be moving out of KL~~partly due to scarcity of land, congestion, cost/price or even due to the MRT project...some say Cyberjaya will be next hotspot~~some say Rawang~~or maybe Johor~~it will create plenty of opportunity elsewhere~~ no doubt there are still new plans in KL but my point is~~but the demand should not be concentrating crazily at KL like it used to be~~ in other words..
demand on KL maintain or only increase slightly~~
Well~~~the news says FDI is reducing for Malaysia~~we are not as attractive as we used to be to rest of the planet~~external demand should be weak~~actually really not hard to guess when Europe is struggling, US and China is slowing~~
Now~~if GoM brings cheap and good mickey mouse units under PR1MA~~i think it is not hard to guess what will happen to the pricey ones~~
Additionally, GoM is highly indebted~~sooner or later (i bet very soon), GoM has to repay it~~we are not strong like the USA, they can print more money to buy back their bonds (QE)~~GoM cant~~so be prepared guys~~~GoM will wanna take more money from its fellow citizens~~
Just my two cents on the latest development of the economy~~
This post has been edited by terryble: Jun 30 2013, 11:02 PM