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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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zacknistelrooy
post Sep 9 2016, 06:40 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 9 2016, 06:20 PM)
Since EPF registered 2 consecutive quarter of poor results, I wud b happy if they can declare Dividend of at least 6%  sweat.gif for 2016 as compared to 6.40% in 2015
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Possible since even during the global financial crisis and Asian financial crisis they declared 6.84 and 4.5.
zacknistelrooy
post Sep 14 2016, 06:26 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 14 2016, 06:10 PM)
EPF's Simpanan Shariah hits RM41.1 bil
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/e...-hits-rm411-bil

41% take up rate is consider gud or slow?
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It looks like it is slowing down since the first two weeks it was around RM25.1 Billion.

Now around a month later it is RM41.1 Billion.

That is kind of expected but just like EPF said, I feel more people may move towards it at the end of year.
zacknistelrooy
post Oct 21 2016, 03:10 AM

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EPF says seeking RM1.2 bil loan to protect against forex risks
zacknistelrooy
post Nov 20 2020, 11:10 PM

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QUOTE(honsiong @ Nov 20 2020, 01:08 PM)
Reading this thread sometimes makes me feel bad for the lower income group.

It's really expensive to be poor, then some ppl here suggest cutting their interest in the future.

Government is not doing enough to boost the lower income group, maybe they should tax corporates and high income earners more.
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Unfortunately it isn't well reported or at least not much focus is ever put on the topic in most places around the world.


user posted image user posted image


QUOTE(real55555 @ Nov 18 2020, 09:50 AM)
This is wrong in the first place.

Firstly, KWSP is a retirement fund, it is never meant to be withdrawn. Don't take other countries as example, it doesn't change the fact that KWSP is still a retirement fund. This move (i-sinar) to allow members to withdraw from account 1 is purely due to political pressure of the fear of budget getting rejected in Parliament as this is one of UMNO's demand. And this has also become a cheap publicity move by Najib as he has been on the social media constantly asking govt to allow EPF withdrawal of 10k one off. If govt allow, he gets the credit. If govt don't allow, he get popularity as someone who speaks for the people.

Secondly, a lot of these people who said "you don't need it, just don't withdraw, not take your money also", "your balance inside got reduce?". I view these people as financial illiterate. Like some of the comments above mentioned, as the KWSP pool of funds are reduced for investment, or worse still I believe this is the case they have to pull out some investments that were maybe targeted for longer term, this will definitely affect every KWSP members, as this will erode the returns on their retirement funds. No affect? My ass.

Thirdly, this is a mistake that cannot be reversed or unwind. People who withdraws for the purpose of funding lifestyle expenses (even if they are out of job doesn't mean they can think properly in financial terms), by the time they realize it at the age of say 40+ or 50, they won't have any chance of regretting or doing anything. You can't single handedly restore 20-30 years of compounded return by doubling your contribution (that is if you have the ability to). Everyone is thinking, oh 20 years later I most likely will be promoted to senior positions and getting a handsome pay, retirement should not be a problem. But i dare say, your colleagues sitting next to you, or the other side of the table, or the far end of the corner is thinking the same. How many senior positions are there? 100 people thinking the same thing but maybe only 5 senior positions is available.

While it is a good thing if it really helps the needy, the ones that are choosing between paying electricity bills or putting food on the table, I think it is only fair for KWSP to penalize those withdraw it from account 1 to have 50% reduced dividend until they have reimbursed the amount that they have withdrawn. This seems cruel but it is more fair for those who choose to ride it out due to their own prudent financial management with savings for rainy days, and this will also encourage those that withdraw to repay their withdrawals as soon as possible.
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If there is one thing that one should have complaints about and looked at is the ROI of EPF investment assets which has been going down in the past 5 years and their questionable purchases by the fund managers selected by them.


Are we going to forget the fund mangers selling the glove stocks at the start of the year towards the end of April and only in the past 2 to 3 months repurchasing them back.

What about their non involvement in UWC, MI and Supermax?


One may argue those aren't going to be substantial enough which is fair and then lets take a look EPF's Top 3 Equity Holdings which are MBSB, RHB and MRCB.

Have a look at their performance over the past 6 years even before Covid.


If it wasn't for their foreign investment holdings then the slack in some of these investment would have trickled down to the dividend and ultimately future expected returns.

I haven't even went down the road of Sapura Energy and in the end of the day all these investment mishaps add up and the those in the future will have to face the consequences of it.


zacknistelrooy
post Nov 22 2020, 12:12 AM

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QUOTE(plumberly @ Nov 21 2020, 09:52 AM)
I share your view, frustration and disappointment. Looking through the Stock Performance Guide some years back (Dynaquest has stopped publishing the hard copy), saw a few companies with EPF as the big holder. Wondered why while the companies were not doing well. Eg Shell Refinery etc. I am no share expert and yet I would not have bought them with a 10 km pole.

Feel that EPF has other added/hidden missions besides helping holders with their retirement funds. Eg political influence to paint a nicer economy front by buying into some of the major but poor performing companies. Yes, they might perform better later and that was their strategy?

Asked that before, some friends said that was because EPF has many fund managers (local and overseas) and they buy and sell independently. They cannot discuss and align their strategy to avoid share manipulation (forgot the right word here). Why not? Say I am a billionaire and I have 10 fund managers, surely I have a say to avoid fund manager A selling while fund manager B buying the SAME shares on the SAME day. A waste of money for the fees etc. etc. And not just once but saw a few occurrences in some companies.

Wake up, stand up and shake up the performance!!! But I guess that is only wishful thinking on my side.
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Exactly.

I totally forgot about the Shell debacle.

Held nearly 15% one year before they changed to Hengyuan and was probably forced to sell all while holding through a 4 year downtrend. No amount of dividend from the company is going to make up for that loss.


They did say that around 15% of their total assets are outsourced so that still leaves 85% which they are totally responsible for.


There isn't even one pure Tech company in their top 30 equity holdings except for Globetronics and even then that is a semiconductor company.

They always seem more interested in buying dividend counters which some are solid but some even when they return 5% in div yet go down 20% in some years are quite questionable.


The best part of all of this is their annual report for last year hasn't been released since it requires parliament approval.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/epf-records-rm15....egistered%20RM8.

user posted image

Based on EPF figures, there is around 66 bil in Money Market funds and theoretically that will be enough for the two withdrawal schemes that EPF is currently and going to do.

That doesn't take in to account current contributions and withdrawals.

Also EPF needs to rebalance back to :

QUOTE
EPF’s Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) allocates 51% to Fixed Income instruments, 36% to Equities, 10% to Real Estate and Infrastructure and 3% to Money Market instruments as a framework to optimise its long term returns within tolerable risk limits.
This post has been edited by zacknistelrooy: Nov 22 2020, 12:20 AM
zacknistelrooy
post Nov 23 2020, 11:41 PM

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QUOTE(plumberly @ Nov 22 2020, 10:00 AM)

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The delay of the annual report initially was due to MCO at the start of the year and now it would seem everyone has forgotten about it.


They are still holding MYEG but only around 7%.

Their holdings As at 30 September 2020:

https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/list-of-top-30-eq...-september-2020

QUOTE
No. Share % Holding
1 Malaysia Building Society Bhd 65.39%
2 RHB Bank Bhd 43.00%
3 Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd 35.85%
4 Bermaz Auto Bhd  19.19%
5 Axiata Group Berhad 17.78%
6 Tenaga Nasional Bhd 17.42%
7 Telekom Malaysia Bhd 17.37%
8 Cimb Group Holdings Bhd 16.50%
9 IJM Corp Berhad 16.43%
10 Public Bank Bhd 16.38%
11 Sime Darby Plantation Bhd 16.16%
12 Sunway Real Estate Investment Bhd 15.82%
13 Yinson Holdings Bhd 15.39%
14 Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd 15.19%
15 Aeon Co. (M) Bhd 15.02%
16 Digi.Com Berhad 14.74%
17 Malaysia Airport Holdings Bhd 14.68%
18 Gamuda Berhad 14.42%
19 Malayan Banking Bhd 14.08%
20 Panasonic Manufacturing Malaysia Bhd 14.03%
21 IJM Plantations Bhd 13.92%
22 Globetronics Technology Bhd 13.76%
23 Axis Real Estate Investment Bhd 13.76%
24 Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad 13.52%
25 BIMB Holdings Berhad 13.26%
26 Petronas Gas Bhd 13.08%
27 UMW Holdings Berhad 13.07%
28 IOI Corporation Bhd 13.05%
29 Capitaland Malaysia Mall Trust 12.89%
30 Malakoff Corporation Bhd 12.59%



zacknistelrooy
post Nov 25 2020, 12:45 AM

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QUOTE(plumberly @ Nov 24 2020, 10:03 AM)
Thanks.

Dont know whether to be happy or sad to see this list! So dominant in Msian shares. OK if it has no political hands in there.
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Right now it is around 45% in Malaysia and 55% overseas for their equity portion unless they have changed it drastically in the past year or so but overall still around 70% of assets are Malaysian.

Their overseas portfolio has saved any underperformance from their local holdings but just imagine where the fund would be if their local holdings were top notch.

In the end of the day EPF, PNB and KWAP might not have a choice in investing in certain companies in Malaysia because if they don't buy them up then who will....

That is why like you said earlier one can hope people question that and force the media to hold their investments accountable instead of publishing articles about withdrawals that are misleading and hopefully proper economic reforms can take place which leads to these companies doing well.


QUOTE(adamhzm90 @ Nov 24 2020, 03:21 PM)
as long as still profitable and giving good dividends to EPF subsequently to pencarum, so no problem la
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For now it works but do remember of the Malaysian 10 Years Government Bond yield is around 2.7% so equities are going to need to do the heavy lifting for the future contributions if the dividends are to stay or improve from current levels.

QUOTE(TheEquatorian @ Nov 24 2020, 04:09 PM)
This seems to be their equity positions in the respective company? Are the investments ranked according to size also ie the no1 is the largest domestic equity investment for EPF? I don’t think so.

To me this only shows EPFs stake in companies not their actual equity value. I am not sure what to do with this info, besides that I do not think EPF should be the major stakeholder in any company. It is a pension fund not an investment holding company.

Any data on how many % their local equity in Bursa Malaysia is compared to the entire fund?
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You are right.

Below is based on the value of holdings that I got from a friend so apologies if there are mistakes:

QUOTE
1 Malayan Banking Bhd 12,862,885,118
2 Public Bank Bhd 11,702,465,128
3 Tenaga Nasional Bhd 10,739,666,686
4 RHB Bank Bhd 8,600,540,696
5 Cimb Group Holdings Bhd 5,929,466,237
6 Sime Darby Plantation Bhd 5,694,415,519
7 Axiata Group Berhad 5,371,810,712
8 Digi.Com Berhad 4,800,888,432
9 Petronas Chemicals 4,796,796,160
10 IHH Healthcare  4,710,449,264
11 Maxis Berhad 4,655,141,280
12 Petronas Gas Bhd 4,435,696,128
13 Hong Leong Bank 4,092,736,698
14 Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd 3,802,318,236
15 IOI Corporation Bhd 3,689,119,495
16 Top Glove 3,633,249,969
17 MISC 2,965,991,814
18 Telekom Malaysia Bhd 2,933,862,520
19 Malaysia Building Society Bhd 2,599,796,986
20 Nestlé Malaysia 2,562,103,600
21 Hartalega Hldgs 2,542,689,380
22 Petronas Dagangan 2,279,409,300
23 Dialog Group Berhad 1,902,732,459
24 Sime Darby 1,657,123,718
25 Kossan 1,379,209,800
26 Malaysia Airport Holdings Bhd 1,343,010,634
27 Gamuda Berhad 1,307,798,288
28 Pmetal 1,241,376,230
29 Genting Plantations 965,883,406
30 IJM Corp Berhad 938,235,338


This post has been edited by zacknistelrooy: Nov 25 2020, 01:00 AM
zacknistelrooy
post Feb 27 2021, 08:32 PM

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For context about global allocations that is similar to EPF:

ETF % Type
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF 42.00% Equities
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF 46.00% Fixed Income Instruments
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF 7.00% Money Market Instruments
Vanguard Global ex-US Real Est ETF 5.00% Real Estate & Infrastructure

2020 Return : 7.34%

ETF % Type
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF 12.00% Equities
iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF 30.00% Equities
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF 46.00% Fixed Income Instruments
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF 7.00% Money Market Instruments
Vanguard Global ex-US Real Est ETF 5.00% Real Estate & Infrastructure

2020 Return : 5.40%

zacknistelrooy
post Feb 28 2021, 07:27 PM

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QUOTE(YH1234 @ Feb 28 2021, 02:22 PM)
i said epf shd perform much better than me.  so no cigar for a wizard like you and me. i agree with your remark rain or shine, i am more worry what will be classified as rain since the pandora box to withdraw is now open.
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EPF returns are in line with the simulation I did below

QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Feb 27 2021, 08:32 PM)
For context about global allocations that is similar to EPF:

ETF % Type
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF 42.00% Equities
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF  46.00% Fixed Income Instruments
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF  7.00%  Money Market Instruments
Vanguard Global ex-US Real Est ETF    5.00%  Real Estate & Infrastructure

2020 Return : 7.34%

ETF % Type
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF 12.00% Equities
iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF    30.00%  Equities 
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF  46.00% Fixed Income Instruments
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF  7.00%  Money Market Instruments
Vanguard Global ex-US Real Est ETF    5.00%  Real Estate & Infrastructure

2020 Return : 5.40%
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Simulation not good enough...



Lets take a look at GIC and Temasek

GIC returns and their asset allocation

user posted image

user posted image

Temasek but they have vastly different asset allocations compared to EPF.

user posted image


Like others have mentioned, EPF mandate is that guaranteed return of 2.5%. Now itself people complain about the dividend and then imagine what would happen when they lose 10% in a given year.


If people want EPF to give higher dividend then the country has to do better because their investments are still highly concentrated towards Malaysia and our index stocks.

This post has been edited by zacknistelrooy: Feb 28 2021, 07:32 PM

 

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