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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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newtunes
post Nov 12 2024, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(virtualgay @ Nov 12 2024, 10:47 AM)
Why don't EPF report something that is easy for rakyat to understand - the more you all explain the more I feel EPF not giving us rakyat straight forward answer

All I need to know is base on the q3 report how much did EPF made and since have q3 number can we assume that from q1 until q3 not taking q4 into consideration we can at least give dividend of 7%... Like this ma...

Q1 we make some money our dividend projection is 5.5%
Q2 we make less money our dividend projection drop to 5.2%
Q3 we make a lot more money our dividend projection is up to 6.2%

All rakyat care is how much dividend going to declare
Then finally on q4 we declare 7% and with a statement that q4 is a tremendous quarter and EPF manage to make the most money

Everyone happy lo... Simple saja

Even on q4 they say dividend is 4.9% due to some losses also ppl is fine at least transparent and easy to understand

Now EPF tell us 20% I am like wah then my dividend will be at least 10%
*
Investment hardly can be predicted, what if Q4 investment become not good, then all previous projection become invalid. And you have more angry people and said those projection is rubbish, instead of everyone happy as claimed.

Investment is not as same as production or any ordinary business, whereby projection can be based on order received, and stream of customer that won't be too far out.
Investment in stock market and bond market can be up and down in big magnitude, each quarter, so providing projection can be futile.
See those unit trust projection number when selling you time, how many actually did deliver as same as the projection.

How much the dividend rate, generally already can see from the added total income generated each quarter, needless need for any official projection.

EPF is retirement money not short term investment, don't see a need to anxious know any projection earlier. if now projection is 5 or 5.5, then next year actual is 5.5 or 6 or whatever number, don't see any different.

newtunes
post Dec 12 2024, 05:28 PM

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There are things, price stagnant and "cheaper" also, typically like computer, handphone, TV.
So CPI number actually does not lie, is a typical benchmark for inflation, it balances out between goods price that become higher and stagnant.

The way I see the real inflation that many complaint mostly is due to personal expenses inflation.
People simply demand more things compared to past.
Last time one family one car, now one person one car.
Old time, occassionally big meal in restaurant during festival, now every few days branded Rm15 coffee, fine dining etc.
Branded stuff is like essential etc.
Hence figure inflation on real spent that pressure on personal front.

My shallow view is that. as long as EPF dividend rate is 1.5x to 2x higher than CPI, basically the EPF is doing its job as retirement fund and counter the basic inflation.


newtunes
post Dec 17 2024, 10:46 AM

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EPF the primary function is saving for retirement.
Withdrawal above 1M or whatever amount is not a big issue at all.
The money is originally for use after retirement.

And if the person can achieve 1M, he or she is likely already a big earner. Needless for withdrawal.
Somemore noawadays a portion is in Ac 3 which is wihdrawal anytime, Ac2 also withdrawal for purposes.

So not much an issue.
newtunes
post Dec 20 2024, 02:57 PM

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Whether 1M or 1.3 M actually is not an issue at all.

1. There is ac3 and ac2 for withdrawal purpose which already accounted for 25% of the total EPF.
2. If the person already has 1M, means 250K is withdrawal. Siizeable enough already.
3. EPF is not a bank saving ac, which shouldn't been treated like can be withdrawn simply or likely.
4. A person with 1M EPF likely has other asset, liquid asset can rely upon if not reaching retirement, so likelyhood doesn't need to withdawal flexibility more than 25%.
5. A person with 1M EPF, most likely approacing mid 40 or later age, whereby retirement age that able to withdraw whole lum sum anytime is not far away, while 25% actually withdrawal at anytime as stated 1).

Based on number and purpose of EPF, the anxiety of unable to withdrawal whether above 1M or 1.3M is unwarranted.

newtunes
post Feb 25 2025, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Feb 25 2025, 03:20 PM)
I admit I think of EPF more like a ponzi scheme, as long as you still have people contributing then it is save, but we have reach a point where the society is aging. I have reservation towards EPF and mainly the government and how our money is being managed, being said so, I treat EPF as the cash that I can use in Malaysia whether through pension or lump sum withdrawal. While I can see many not regretting keeping the money with EPF, but we must also understand most stocks usually outperformed EPF and give as high DY as EPF. For one, if someone invested in DBS 15-20 years ago after withdrawal from the EPF, he/she would be sitting on at least have capital gain of >100%, excluding the forex gain, with current DY of 4+% which could be higher based on the buy price back then.

Having said so, I still don't think we should treat EPF as investment but we still shouldn't judge anyone withdrawing EPF for their own investment as it could turn out lucrative. During my early years of employment, I withdraw as much as I can so that I can have capital for investment, but I started building it back once those solid foundation are built.
*
DBS share price hardly move much in the past, only recent few years, share price does go up significantly.
One can look at much long time chart like 2000-2020, most of time hovered in 10-20 range.
And at one time during 2008 GFC, share price did plunge to quite low.

If one has invested in Nvidia, even better.
There is so many "if". But we retirement has no "if" only one time.

It is impossible to throw lump sum hard saved money into one stock.
And EPF is served as retirement money. We do not know when next GFC hit, by that time, share price may plunge when retired.

It is easier to look back, to talk about if.
And also, no many can make a right choice in investment as well.
Instead of fall into scam investment, failed investment, indiscipline in investment, resulted in losses, many may be better off with EPF.

There is no doubt there is always other investment can outperform EPF, but none is providing safety net for the capital with steady return.
EPF and ordinary investment can never be compared or to say which is better.


newtunes
post Mar 3 2025, 11:08 AM

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1mil, 1.1mil or 1.3 mil able to withdrawal doesn't have any different.
As ac 3 already has 10% that able to be withdrawn anytime, ac2 another 15%, Total 25% actually withdrawalble. That's already 200-300K on standby.
If a person able to achieve that amount, it is very unlikely need to touch EPF beyond that 200-300K, and also have other type of saving in hand.

So it doesn't make not much different whether is 1 mil, 1.3mil, as a few years accumulated dividend will also surpass the extra 300K.

newtunes
post Apr 1 2025, 09:20 AM

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EPF is for retirement saving, not a bank saving account, and shouldn't be abused as high saving rate bank account.
The money should be intended for use after retirement age and not simply for easy withdrawal above whatever amount.

There is ac2, ac3 acccounted for 25% total amount that can be withdrawn.
So whether above 1m, or whatever amount withdrawal is not an issue at all.
Have 1M, total 250k already can be witdrawn at anytimes.

newtunes
post Apr 1 2025, 02:22 PM

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It is non issue for above whatever amount.
EPF is retirement money, those money originally put in to be used after retirement aka 55.
After 55 can withdraw all, no locked in disregard whatever amount.

Below 55 one,
Originally intention is save it for after retirement use, not for simply withdrawn as wish.
With 1M
100K already can be withdrawn anytime.
150K emergency, housing/medical.
Which is substantial for many unforseen issues.

Also those can achieve that amount before 55, 99.99% are likely high earners and wealthy, likely don't need to touch on EPF, if they need money, they may better off to draw on own saving FD (which is less than 4%interest )or even can make certain financing (which may be less than 6% EPF). This can be seen from many high amount of voluntariy contribution, and some even want higher limit pa.

Summarise
Withdraw above 1M or whatever issue, is a trivia and non issue.
1. Above 55, no affect.

2. Below 55 above 1M, the money original intention for after 55 use. It is not suppose to touch on. Ac3 and Ac2 provide some head room for withdrawal up to 25%, so max only 75% cannot be touched. It is no 100% locked in also.



newtunes
post Apr 2 2025, 09:30 AM

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QUOTE(MUM @ Apr 2 2025, 09:01 AM)
(If below 1.x mil)
Any monies deposited After 55, will be locked till 60
*
If need money can still withdraw below 1.x mil accumulated previously.
Only contribution amount made after 55 can be withdrawn on 60.
It is not locked entire amount.

After 55.
1. If got EPF contribution after 55, means still have income, just small portion of % contributed to EPF, so desperate need to withdraw that small amount? Not make sense.
If need money, still have below 1.x mil to withdraw.

2. If for volunatiry contribution, if needs money or want to withdraw simply one, don't put in EPF, but bank saving ac.

So again, not much issue also.
The most important aspect is do not treat EPF is bank saving ac. Then we won't see much issue across.



newtunes
post May 29 2025, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 28 2025, 08:41 PM)
Drafult risk should be close to 0. But there is still currency risk and interest rate risk..the second one if u intend to sell before maturity.

Also dont get me wrong, doesnt mean its not a good investment but to be aware of the risks.
*
USD FX from 4.7 to now 4.2, loss 10%.
US Treasuries (if invested via TLT), loss 30+% over 5 years time, or 10% over 1 year.

So EPF is still a good choice.
No sweat no worry get 6.x%.

USD and treasuries may not the same with the past anymore.

This post has been edited by newtunes: May 29 2025, 03:09 PM
newtunes
post May 29 2025, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ May 29 2025, 03:02 PM)
Can give an example, the tenure n rate.
*
The shorter one would be 2y Tbill,
But 2y one only about 4.x% when hold to maturity.
While EPF is likely to be in 5 to 6% range.
No reason to switch from EPF to it.
Somemore there is exposure to FX risk, although it can be both way, if USD rise, extra gain. But given current state of situation, USD is not likely to be at strong side.


newtunes
post May 31 2025, 11:03 AM

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Diversification is always good, but EPF is still one of good choice or one of core retirement planning for most people as not many people are good in investment into risky asset.
Diversified, then end up losing capital, which may be worst than no diversification.

Beware the newly foreign investors's 899 US section bill for those intend to have diversification into US investment.
newtunes
post Jul 3 2025, 02:20 PM

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EPF vs Bond.
Prefer EPF due to
1. Steady dividend, no risk of default or loss of capital.
2. Bond can have losses, recently years, many bond etf, bond funds are encountering losses due to drop in bond price. TLT is one of example.
3. Bond have exposure to default risk, especially if economy turns bad. Learned from Lehman issue.
4. Bond with good quality one, only a notch higher than FD rate, and may be less or comparable to EPF dividend.
5. High yield bond that can get more than EPF dividend, normally rating around BBB only, have risk.

If want higher yield, would rather go to stock market blue chip, S&P ETF, instead of bond. But at the expense of volatilty.

For retirement. EPF is still a good choice to sleep well.

newtunes
post Jul 9 2025, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jul 9 2025, 09:32 AM)
the problem is CANNOT use EPF as CASA
*
Conclusion
EPF shouldn't be treated as CASA.
Then no such complaint, nor have any issue.

Many complaint 1mil or 1.3 mil more like having feel good factor that able to withdraw only.
In reality, I doubt even 1% of them are really withdrawing.
Those able to save as much money, likely continue to save.
Those having as much money before retirement age, generally are much high income earner and possible have other source of saving/income, needless to touch on EPF.

25% out of 1mil or 1.3 is accessible from ac2&ac3, which is more than 250K, which is sizeable to meet many needs before retirement.
newtunes
post Jul 9 2025, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 9 2025, 10:09 AM)
Haha. I think this is the issue for my friend who has been complaining, I mean me as well, although we have yet to retire, but he did mentioned if suddenly retire by company already then problem  sweat.gif . At least I still have other passive income, which might just sufficiently maintaining my existing commitment, but it will be tight.
*
If retired by company, then have VSS compensation, that generally can survive for months before next job, needless to touch on EPF.
If all money is in EPF, with no other saving, then might as well look as cashflow management issue. Nothing to do with threshold of 1M or whatever issue.
EPF shouldn't be use as CASA in the first place.


newtunes
post Jul 10 2025, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 10 2025, 02:40 PM)
Haha. Your friend's plan sounds a lot like my friend, and myself, but he really fully pump all his savings to EPF, but I just did recently because based on my calculation should have no issue treating EPF like CASA, but with the threshold increase, then it will be some challenge. For him the challenge will be more since he previously have all savings in EPF. But we don't really retire from work, we are still working, but the "what if company say goodbye to us" still stand. Btw, your posting is on other forum member or your friend?
*
There is thousand of "what if" to fear of in life. Needless over worry.

If fear of "what if" then plan and manage the cashflow instead fully pump into EPF, as simple as that.
It is something manageable.

EPF has 25% liquidity which is withdrawal anytime, it is not totally locked.

newtunes
post Jul 11 2025, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 10 2025, 03:07 PM)
This bold part is incorrect. The real flexible is about 10% which will be smaller portion at the moment since it was introduced not long ago. The balance 15% actually is more conditional withdrawal. The "What if" is the reason why we need to plan and change the plan because the EPF already disrupt the Plan A. Not saying anything wrong with EPF doing this, but by making this change, it actually open up to a lot more "what if". My plan all the while was to retire with sufficient amount that I can just withdraw the dividend portion. Whether the threshold move up or not, it's still the same, just that surely there will be some people sharing same sentiment like my friend who in fact he don't even need very high EPF amount to retire because of his basic + simple lifestyle, thinking that EPF essentially want to lock our money (so meaning EPF already in trouble kind of sentiment).

Anyway because of this new threshold, some of us will definitely no longer self contribute high amount, just enough to get the tax relief. I mean there is actually no motivation for me to find safe haven investment since it will eventually hit my goal by the time I retire. He also told me he just contribute to tax relief, and better move the money elsewhere since we have more than 10 years to go.
*
Tax relief for EPF is only RM4K pa
It is not something significant compared to someone who has Rm1 mil threshold issue

10% out of RM1mil still 100K which is significant for many "what if".

Rm1M or Rm1.1M or Rm1.3M is a non issue if EPF is not treated as CASA.

Stop worry about "what if". It is endless to worry if one is always thinking of "what if".
We cannot cover every "what if" risk, we solve the problem accoridngly when situation arised.
As said before if someone face serious issue of strave of cash due to EPF increase threshold, then it is time to evaluate one cash management issue.
newtunes
post Aug 1 2025, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(Mixxomon @ Aug 1 2025, 02:45 PM)
Retirement dynamics is changing compared to 20 years ago. Also back then there's a lot of trust in the Asian household culture where your multiple children to take care of you after retirement even if you blow up your EPF or retirement savings.

Nowdays families are getting smaller. There is a rise in Dual Income No Kids, or single children household. If they continue to rely on children as a retirement plan it will really burden the next generation. So this coming generation really need to get their retirement finances to be independent from burdening the next gen.
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I agreed on this part.

Somemore sudden flushed with cash may prompt people may spend like it no tomorrow, then regret later.
The temptation to spend is strong when suddenly received lot of cash that not having before.
newtunes
post Aug 1 2025, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 1 2025, 03:51 PM)
Hopefully EPF too follow up with the same thing...

Not balance burn like that after death of contributor....

And final touch.... Extra dividend or bonuses for the annuities scheme too.... If one were to have certain amount parked under it....
*
Nobody say balance burn after death.

The remaining balance will be passed to next of kin. CPF monthly payout is already a role model.


newtunes
post Aug 3 2025, 02:24 PM

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EPF is not ordinary bank account CASA with high interest rate to start with, the saving and interest in EPF are meant to be used slowly after retirement, this is the primary objective pf EPF.

Basically, don't treat EPF as CASA.


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