QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 16 2022, 06:00 AM)
Morning bro,...
Somehow,... I'm still of the opinion that, buying when one feels like it after things have dropped to this level is still the best way. No indicator, no mathematical model will beat this way.
Otherwise,... the boat will leave again,... unless of course, one doesn't mind whether he will invest or not and can stick to only low-rerturns or no-returns vehicles.
Edited by adding : But must buy the right ctrs,... buy selectively,... don't choose the wrong ones.
morning bro...
ya... as a long term investor... buying good solid counters are essential especially if the plan is to hold for 5-10 yrs...
this long hold alleviates the need to time the market... hence buy when price has dropped significantly... and dca dca dca... can be a suitable strategy for folks who understands and can tahan holding paper losses for many years...
but my challenges to you is this... precisely because of the long holding period... why need to rush when market is still uncertain? why the need to try extract maximum profits... assuming the next bull run is 10 yrs... 8 yrs of profits not good?
y'all know this... buy low sell high, but this carry risk of low going lower... but I like to also quote... buy high sell higher, this of course you could be buying the top if too late...

so for long term position play... for me the safer entry is buy after market has bottomed or recovery imminent... profit from 80% of the bull range is better than ok... think about your audjpy... Iirc, your 1st entry is the bounce right after after the parabolic bottom... but your subsequent adds to your position came much later when prices recovered and profit still a plenty...

...remember Buffett also bought oxy just recently after prices has gone so up...
buy when you 'feel' is low enough is not good decision making process... don't think of it as a boat that you may miss... think of it as a train that you'll get on at next stop...

as a further example, bro Ramjade bought goog during the big dip near the bottom few months ago... a very good buy and for a few months it was in good profit, but now under water... he has his own plans and I can understand and support...

btw I bet Walmart against his goog as an ideology battle and I'm winning to-date... lol...
anyways... I tell you my friends... plenty of money out there... plenty of time to make money... the most important aspects are capital preservation and health...

BTW I saw you asking about capitulation in the other thread... imho them 2 replies not so correct lah bro... hahaha... a lot of multi days and parabolic drops are not capitulation but manipulation... you can see immediately after are v shape type fast recoveries... real capitulation is when ppl lost hope and indifferent to any good news... you won't see such quick recoveries... so kanchiong chase market...
This post has been edited by dwRK: Oct 16 2022, 09:53 AM