okko
explanation here:
if you just leave the fund without doing anything
just after GE13
See prices movement here
http://mutualtracker.com/funds/view/436 May 2013,
i switch to PRSF from PIMMF
total units is
280,395.8[COLOR=blue]4 (RM 183,126.52) at 0.6531
if i just let it sit there
10 Jun 2013 at 0.6784 (RM 190,220.53)
25 Jun 2013 at 0.6516 (RM 182,705.92) <--------- drastic drop to estd 1720 KLCI index
22 Aug 2013 at 0.6549 (RM 183,631.23) <----------another drastic drop to estd 1720 KLCI as well.
(As long mutual fund units stay the same, the value is always roughly same)[COLOR=red]
Above is based on my total units of
280,395.84[COLOR=blue]
Question is,
How to do better than EPF?
Just hoping that Malaysia keep going up is not going to work anymore.
On the two date which i incur 0.75% switching fee which cost me RM 1,372.87
23 May 2013 and 14 Jun 2013
My PRSF total units is reduce to
280,334.14[COLOR=green]
( Speculation fail but minimal losses )[COLOR=red]
Just imagine if i just let it sit there hoping for miracle
On 22 Aug 2013,
my portfolio worth only at RM 183,590.82
On 15 August 2013
i decided to switch to PIMMF which incur another penalty at 0.75% (RM 1,398.86)
(PRSF at 0.6823)
i managed to switch back to PRSF at 0.6666
which now total units is 284,977.41[COLOR=purple]
Now
i have
284,977.41[COLOR=purple] units instead or
280,334.14[COLOR=green]
If the price can go back to my old switching price of 0.6823
my value is now RM 194,440.08 instead of RM191,271.98
Hope you understand when i say
"i am trying to buy LOW and sell HIGH" even though at 0.75% switching fee
I have to admit I didn't follow your simulation above words by words....
but just based on your last 2 paragraphs, you might still made a wrong decision by switching too frequently and incured ~2700 of switching fees. Because in your 2nd last paragraph - even though your total unit is increased, the NAV doesn't. And at your last paragraph, it should be again the NAV that is matter... if you assume the price per unit go back to your initial price with additional total units, you are assuming market is getting good so total NAV has increased from your earlier switching NAV.... But, you have just incured ~RM2700 because of your frequent switching activities..... perhaps other sifu can help here....
My apology if I misunderstood you ya...