QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Oct 3 2011, 01:41 PM)
Well, another example here. Derived from Sun Tzu Art of War.
In a war, there are at least 2 teams..
Here in shares, the 2 teams of people are:-
1.) Bull Team
2.) Bear Team
In Bull Team, you will separate them to 3 categories
1.) Bull
2.) Bull-er
3.) Bull-iest
Vice Versa for Bear Team: Bear, Bear-er, Bear-iest
On a 1000 thousand people basis for reach different categories.. The bull can win the game if
1.) 1000 Bull-er vs 1000 Bear - Bull win
2.) 1000 Bull-iest vs 1000 Bear-er - Bull win
3.) 1000 Bull vs 1000 Bear-iest - Bear win
Over all, bull win bear 2-1.
Bull win.
The situation here is, each categories of bull does not have enough fighter, as a lot of mega bull fighter had went to rest, while some switch camp and join the bear camp.
Even though you are the best bull-iest fighter, going out without the numbers supporting you.. Will end up in a dead meat.
Based on this simple analysis - Best is to do nothing and wait until bear camp does not have people anymore (probably due to technical, so they jump camp and join the bull camp), and that is where opportunity comes..
Now bear camp is full of people.. Not enough to put everyone in. It is like:-
100 fighter for each bull category, while bear have 3000 fighter for each bear category.. No matter how you arrange the team, bull lose gao gao
In short conclusion, Stock Market is having herd mentality. You have to follow the herd or die.In a war, there are at least 2 teams..
Here in shares, the 2 teams of people are:-
1.) Bull Team
2.) Bear Team
In Bull Team, you will separate them to 3 categories
1.) Bull
2.) Bull-er
3.) Bull-iest
Vice Versa for Bear Team: Bear, Bear-er, Bear-iest
On a 1000 thousand people basis for reach different categories.. The bull can win the game if
1.) 1000 Bull-er vs 1000 Bear - Bull win
2.) 1000 Bull-iest vs 1000 Bear-er - Bull win
3.) 1000 Bull vs 1000 Bear-iest - Bear win
Over all, bull win bear 2-1.
Bull win.
The situation here is, each categories of bull does not have enough fighter, as a lot of mega bull fighter had went to rest, while some switch camp and join the bear camp.
Even though you are the best bull-iest fighter, going out without the numbers supporting you.. Will end up in a dead meat.
Based on this simple analysis - Best is to do nothing and wait until bear camp does not have people anymore (probably due to technical, so they jump camp and join the bull camp), and that is where opportunity comes..
Now bear camp is full of people.. Not enough to put everyone in. It is like:-
100 fighter for each bull category, while bear have 3000 fighter for each bear category.. No matter how you arrange the team, bull lose gao gao
EDITED : Oh this also concur with my OSK sifu advice. Cut loss after 10%. Ride the winning trend. Don't catch the falling knife.
This post has been edited by gogo2: Oct 3 2011, 01:45 PM
Oct 3 2011, 01:44 PM

Quote
0.0403sec
0.68
7 queries
GZIP Disabled