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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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danmooncake
post Jun 29 2012, 10:01 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Jun 29 2012, 08:55 PM)
Ultimate short squeeze tonight laugh.gif
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Not squeeze-lah.. just short covering rally. The Macd and RSI are turning upwards.
Moving averages are also moving up.

Just watch for opportunity to go long during intraday if you missed yesterday buys.
I think it may fade back in the middle and late comers will start phase 2.

My AAPL calls are up 18% already.. looking for opportunity to add more later. tongue.gif



danmooncake
post Jun 30 2012, 02:00 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 30 2012, 01:13 AM)
so bullish! although with good speculative news on Euro, but still wondering if today's rally is just an excuse for mid year windows dressing.... hmm.gif
you are buying today? i bit scare, still watching.... unsure.gif
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Already bought yesterday, thinking of adding more only. Waiting for a bit more pull back, then add more.
Market not giving back much.

Don't be scare. Bulls are going to take charge next week if we close above 50MA tonight.
$SPX way above that 1340 line already.
danmooncake
post Jun 30 2012, 08:17 AM

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I'm staying loooonggggg here.. I'll take profits next week. laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 3 2012, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 3 2012, 02:18 AM)
looks like not today.
a hesitating market today.
need few days for the market to make decision on moving direction?  biggrin.gif
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Looks I'm going take profits on my AAPL calls tonight.. very close to $600 here. biggrin.gif


Added on July 3, 2012, 11:27 pmKa-ching!! AAPL hits my price target for some profits.. so, I'm exiting 3/4 of short term calls here. 65% gains in 3 trading days. Thank you AAPL! biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 3 2012, 11:28 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2012, 10:38 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 4 2012, 01:52 AM)
That's the beauty of Options! Congrats! rclxms.gif
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]

There's beauty and there's also ugliness. It all depends if you're on the right side or not. If at the wrong side,
it is a wealth destruction vehicle because of time issue. So, have to tread carefully. sweat.gif

Tonight, we got nice pull back here after the ugly job numbers.
Let see if SPX can hold 1350 or not. If can stay above it.. go long with stop around 1345.

IMO, this will help to setup a nice base for the next mini trading range (1350~1370). laugh.gif

danmooncake
post Jul 7 2012, 02:27 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 7 2012, 01:11 AM)
but I borrowed Broker's fund to trade ma... doh.gif
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Z: Goodness..did you take on the "ah long" broker margin?

Anyway, both SP500 and Dow aren't looking too healthy tonight. Dow almost -200 pts.

I'm looking for late buyers to come in towards in the end to bring this back up - for short covering otherwise
I'll abandon my positions at $SPX 1349 by closing or get stopped out at 1345 whichever come first.


danmooncake
post Jul 10 2012, 04:14 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 7 2012, 12:24 PM)
yes i did. LVS looks soooooooo "delicious"
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Yup! 41.50~41.60.. time to get some here. laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 11 2012, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 10 2012, 09:14 AM)
I entered big chuck at 43,45 and 42. Now bleeding heavily.
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IMO, you're ok.. here avg around 43-44 area. When this thing move, it will move.
Let this thing do its thing trying to consolidate at the lower 40x level. I think it got a few small gaps to fill.

Hopefully earnings will bring this back to the high 49/50s level later.


danmooncake
post Jul 12 2012, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 12 2012, 02:41 AM)
LVS is really coming closer to 40 mark....should i buy yet? wondering how low can this market go before QE announcement.... unsure.gif
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Best thing to do is don't expect QE at all. Just keep earnings in mind..then trade into it to make profits.
IMO, LVS~40 is attractive here. I would like start accumulating a few positions here.. let see how it goes. nod.gif
But, for other reasons, I like the price action for MPEL better.. wink.gif


Added on July 12, 2012, 10:23 pmWhoosh.. got some LVS @ 39.50 and MPEL 10.05 here. I think we may see more weakness but I'll start accumulating here.



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 12 2012, 10:23 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 13 2012, 02:19 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 13 2012, 01:17 AM)
below 40! my buying target finally becomes reality.  sweat.gif

The following could be the reason for recent low.

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Nevada's gambling revenue fell sharply in May as declining volumes at both table games and slot machines cut into the take of the state's casino operators, the Nevada Gaming Control Board reported Thursday. Revenue statewide fell 10% to $885 million while the Las Vegas Strip, which accounts for more than half the total, slumped 18% to $475 million. The news helped drag down shares of gambling companies with MGM Resorts MGM -2.74%  , Las Vegas Sands LVS -3.83%  and Wynn Resorts WYNN -2.87%  all down about 4%.   hmm.gif
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Well... Vegas revenue shrinking..imo, non-issue and it's no difference since the downturn in '08.

LVS now getting over 80% of their revenue from Macau and Singapore but the slowdown in China could
be the worrying factor.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 13 2012, 02:20 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 13 2012, 05:04 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 13 2012, 04:02 AM)
I see. Thanks for the info!  notworthy.gif
China seems to need to take a little while to get back on its "high growing feet". Nowadays for China, grow is not enough. People are expecting high high growth only feel satisfy! Consumers' spending power actually quite affected by news flow as many are not jobless, just about sentiment of spending. I mean those who can afford to go spend money in Macau and Singapore.  biggrin.gif
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China GDP growth rate was at 9.5~10% just a year plus ago.
Now, we talking about 8~8.5%, which is still quite a significant positive number which is line with their goal after cooling down.

Just look at Europe: Growth rate: -1%

This is the world 2nd largest economy and soon to be largest.. one has to wonder..sometimes what the heck does
the street expect?

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 13 2012, 05:04 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 17 2012, 11:39 PM

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Uncle Ben will ruin the day... doh.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 18 2012, 12:08 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 17 2012, 11:52 PM)
super red portfolio...

LVS, MPEL and YOKU leading the heavy losses... sad.gif
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Hang in there partner.. I'm riding MPEL and LVS down too.
Got some short term puts with common shares.


Added on July 18, 2012, 5:58 amWhat do you know.. my PUTs all been taken out by the rising tide. doh.gif
Just staying long for now.


Added on July 20, 2012, 2:08 amBack in green tonight!! Staying LONG and Raising stops. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 20 2012, 02:08 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2012, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 23 2012, 10:23 PM)
blood bath... laugh.gif
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Oh crap again.. Managed to take off some only last week to lock in some profits but still riding the long side.
Here we again, playing bad Europe news all over. Should have got some PUTs instead. doh.gif

danmooncake
post Jul 25 2012, 01:47 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 24 2012, 01:43 AM)
cimb said US's 16tr debt ceiling due by end of this year. This may triggers Fed to launch QE 3 soon? Do you think this make sense?  notworthy.gif
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I'm not sure if QE3 is able to fix something that cannot be fixed with printing alone. This isn't about lack of credit or liquidity which Uncle Ben can turn on the printing machines. The US Congress must act to raise the debt ceiling otherwise everything will be death spiral (will be worst than the 2008/09 financial crisis). Right now, with the election looming, both parties just want to sit out and perhaps wait till the 11th hour.
danmooncake
post Jul 25 2012, 04:44 AM

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QUOTE(pinkdevil88 @ Jul 24 2012, 09:16 PM)

Time to get some options and let the show begins.
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I'm on the PUTs side of the fence.. so I'm bearish going into this reporting quarter for AAPL.


QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 25 2012, 03:12 AM)
QE3 is for short term boosting the economy (if it still could since it's already ver3, the past 2 versions seems not working too efficiently), so that they have more excuse to support the raising of debt ceiling (can earn back, as if optimistic)? If it happens, gotta have some buffer before the due date so that the market has enough time to response to it. I don't know, really. It's a tough issue.  unsure.gif

btw, your MPEL is really volatile! Much more than LVS.  sweat.gif
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Yes, it is.. MPEL's PE is much better than LVS. Right now, got to ride down the wave here.

I think SPX probably wants to revisit 1275 first before 1400.
danmooncake
post Jul 25 2012, 07:52 PM

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Whoa!! AAPL finally falling hard.. missed earnings expectations!

EPS: 9.32/shr vs 10.35/shr
Revenue: 35 bln vs. 37.2 bln

2.2 bln short of consensus estimates. Missed both the top and bottom!
This is going weigh heavy on Nasdaq.

Even next quarter guidance is much lower than expectations ($7.65/shr vs 10.23/shr)

Time to cover for this fruit. biggrin.gif












danmooncake
post Jul 25 2012, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(shakiraa @ Jul 25 2012, 11:00 PM)
hi all sifus - what is the good buy now? not ery active in US market, but heard that many shares drop like crazy...any obvious choice for investment? thanks.
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If you've a long time horizon.. and like to participate in everything the US market has to offer,
try SPY etf. nod.gif



danmooncake
post Jul 26 2012, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Jul 26 2012, 10:40 AM)
Big miss from LVS

After hours trading at 35  blink.gif

Hope you guys bought some insurance going long
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Yah man. Really lousy quarter for LVS.
I didn't buy insurance but short LVS $35 puts. If this thing stays below
$35 by this Friday, then I'm forced to own it at $35. sweat.gif

danmooncake
post Jul 26 2012, 09:47 PM

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Don't worry guys.. the market is doing its thing. Sometimes you're right, sometimes you're wrong.
Just gotta to know your risk tolerance here.

Right now, market wants to go back up. We're still in good trading range.

Both AAPL and LVS got that gap to fill. Lots of people are going to sell into that for any pop.
So, let see how it goes.

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