QUOTE(Alexdino @ Sep 8 2011, 10:55 AM)
Yeah right. dont trade the gold for short-term, hell care the 'spike' or 'flatline' if you dont even sell it eventually you 'might' be earning right?Â

yeah good for looking back at history and the graph, but can you confirm the future can be predicted?
i will only say buy if you afford at that price, you won't know when it is lowest or highest except if you came from futureÂ

Yup yup - as long as one has entry & exits planned ahead, it should be good in terms of risk/reward management.
Mind U, most "players" has NO exit plans. Hold until.... eventually one will want to convert one's gold (a portion) to other asset classes for balance right? or one will hold till kingdom comes? May not be U but generally some folks.
Definitely future cannot be predicted.
However if one chases up something that is already in near historical high (either based on inflated or non-inflated gold prices), the statistical risks are more than the rewards as bro Prophetjul stated. He's good hearted and just wanted to share some basis in order to view things from a risk management point of view. In fact, he has all to gain if people keep going gung-ho

Fear and greed
Fear of missing the boat (greed in reality) Vs fear of losing $ - this IMHO is the main driver for gold.
Gold cant be "used" (ie. softest metal) by tom, d*** & harry easily, cant be eaten, cant be planted and grown, cant be used as a physical shelter, needs to be protected from theft, can be "confiscated" or forced sell by Government, etc. Gold's value is based on perception and/or scarcity.
Personally, I'd buy more gold too but based on cheap sale coz i'm looking from the similar point-of-view of bro Prophetjul (probability of gain * amount of gains VS probability of fall * amount of fall).
Bottom line: No right/wrong methodologies, just sharing so that folks go in with eyes open and not barbarian berserker style
This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 8 2011, 11:51 AM