QUOTE(amco @ Mar 5 2010, 01:01 AM)
i am holding 80% of my net worth in cash/FDs now and probably for the next 1-2 years. i foresee there is double dip or asian asset buble crisis will happen in 2 years time. in the meantime, i am shopping for "special funding" if this happen and this will make my buying power increase 3-4 folds..
i am putting in FDs... nothing wrong man.. i know what i am doing..

Double Dips = W
mm..............

wondering which country you are guessing that gonna burst .........and
So this is scary if it were to happen...........................hope that this won't come thru.................
Added on March 11, 2010, 11:26 pmQUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 23 2010, 12:48 AM)
FD cannot hedge inflation, no doubt about it.
Other investment like UT, shares, or whatever, probably can hedge inflation risk, but come with losing the initial capital risk as well.
Take example, if one invested in S&P500 or Dow Jones index ETF or index fund 10 years ago. After a decade, those investors lose out to FD depositors, because S&P500 gain nothing after 10 years, while FD even at a paranoid 3%, after 10 years without calculated the compounded interest, means 30% return.
So FD win in this case.
Basically, FD is not as bad as many people taught although it is bad be in term of inflation hedge or return but if choosing the wrong investment target or the outcome is not favourable, FD can beat those investment target as well.
FD beat gold investment in 35 years period history. FD lose out big time to stock market over 20-30 years, but if one invested in wrong stock, one still lose out the FD return rate.
What I want to highlight is that there is no easy way to hedge inflation or search for higher return rate.
Those invested in Citigroup, AIG years ago and many many more some others stocks, they might say to you, if got chance back to future, they rather put the money in FD.
I am not pro or against FD. Just to say FD is totally bad somehow not quite right either as above example shown, FD does beat some investment as well, this is true and hard fact.
Hedging against inflation............. FD vs UT vs Share Market,
FD - no need to think and capital reserve
UT - need to survey which UT to buy and moderate risks
Share market - need to do home work and need to do risk management
Hedging against currency .................then i am still wondering what are those as i still thinking convert to foreign currency (which currency to go), buy gold (is the current price too high), buy properties (asset bubble, interest rate pressure, lock up at least 20 years), buy share in other country (currency fluctuation and need to study the company that running biz there)......... so still wondering, i wonder how and i wonder why.............. lemon tree.........song come to my mind.........

Any expert in economy, as i am thinking below quetions
1. FD rate up, reflect economy recover, thus boosting share market
2. FD rate up, causing share market tumbling, as fund flow to FD
3. FD rate up, reflect inflation is up as well
4. FD rate up, and BLR will up as well, those borrowing money will have less spending, this economy moving down
what are the theory behind and in reality which are the facts...
This post has been edited by Kamen Rider: Mar 11 2010, 11:26 PM