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Financial Are property prices going to drop? V2, The heated debate continues

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bluesfingers
post Mar 20 2011, 10:31 PM

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Do you have a home (own property) to stay now?
Chinese maxim: Greediness will get Poverty biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by bluesfingers: Mar 20 2011, 10:31 PM
bluesfingers
post Apr 1 2011, 10:52 PM

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Can those new condo launching recently which is not in a strategic/ good location e.g. deep inside puchong, surrounded by low cost, etc selling for approx. RM350k can appreciate further?

If yes, say 20% in 2-3years times upon completion = RM420k? meaning those condo in better location launching now at approx. 550k will rise till RM650k.
How about those already completed now like Desa Parkcity Nadia condo, selling RM700k for 1100sf unit, or Kota damansara OPAL selling 600k for RM1400sf? will they soar to RM 840k/1100sf & RM720k/1400sf

If someone income now, as a Senior Engineer 35 , earning a gross income of RM6500, nett Rm5600. Can he expected his wages will rise 20% to RM7800 in 2years time without promotion in post.
Even now he is struggling for his RM400k condo he bought lately.
house 1,900.00
maintenance 200.00
car 600.00
petrol 300.00
hs utility bill 300.00
grocery 200.00
hp 150.00
food 700.00
parent 300.00
insurance & medical car 400.00
entertaimt (clubbing, yumcha) 200.00
hobby/ sport/ shoppin 200.00

total = RM5450. shocking.gif He spend almost all his money for the newly bought condo & renovation
and he is planning to get marry next year, still puzzling where to find money cry.gif
his gf only earning RM2800 gross nett RM2400. rclxub.gif
bluesfingers
post Apr 2 2011, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Apr 2 2011, 12:52 PM)
i hate to say this but as a engineer, you should be great at analysing skills. look at your structure. it's kinda a mess although i'm impress by your limits on entertainment expenses. a very discipline person indeed. okay, here goes:
1stly, i'm sure your income is slightly more if you squeeze in your allowances for handphone, mileage, etc.
2ndly, your hp usage seems a tad high at rm150/mth. maybe because package with unlimited broadband access?

ok, let's focus on task at hand. your big items: your installment. rm1900 for a rm400k condo. am expecting it to be fairly decent at this price. so what's stopping you from renting out the rooms? am sure you can gain back at least rm800 per month from there? since you are still single. even though when you do get married, there's no stopping you from continuing to rent the rooms out.
lastly, if rm6.5k ain't enough, be creative and look for part time jobs or seek better employment opportunity. senior engineer at rm6.5k, if in klang valley seems slightly below average.
good luck!

PS: run faster to escape the rat race. you are almost there! icon_rolleyes.gif
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Hey man! thanks for ur advice, 1st of all this is not me, just my very close fren.
That is a 2+1 bedrom aprtmt, and i dont think he can rent his room out coz his parents is coming quite often almost evry weekend or fortnightly.
Besides he is a Civil/ building Senior Engineer with contractor, RM6.5k below average? Siaul shocking.gif I am in this industry too, I would say that is an average pay now!
On tops, Gamuda is offering tht salary too lately.

bluesfingers
post Apr 11 2011, 08:52 PM

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QUOTE(godutch @ Apr 11 2011, 08:14 PM)
i think everyone is taking a stand, to buy now or to buy later or not to buy or ..... whatever....just that smile.gif  As for me, I have no urgency to buy now so why can't i just wait 3-5 years?? is my choice and is my money right? And my decision is based on my believe that prices won't go up up up up and up without adjustment in the next 5 years ~

As for the erosion of my savings because of inflation, there are other ways of investing money la LOL. But for the sellers, paying interest to bank and other fees is a MUST  smile.gif

Besides, there will be new launches (developers will have to keep lauching to survive, otherwise share price will drop), market will always have supply, more choices for those who can afford to wait. If the income of malaysian are not increasing at the pace of property prices, the buyer pool will shrink forcing an adjustment. Of course, again, this is my view and my stand. smile.gif

Anyway, i do believe that there are fairly valued properties in the market, we just need to search harder, once find it, then buy all means, grab it biggrin.gif
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leg up rclxms.gif
bluesfingers
post Apr 16 2011, 03:51 AM

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For those who believing the property price will keep increasing or gradually increase say 10% or 20% a year, are u ready for an inflation too? A mixed rice seller will raise their price by 10%,20% or more, Clinic doctor also take granted by increasing the fee, School teacher also come out and stike for higher salary 30% payrise, Indon worker oso want extra pay due to higher living cost, and so forth if they want extra income to buy a decent property. rclxm9.gif

Accordingly, in 2-3 years times in PJ area, a plate mix rice @ kopi shop might be selling RM10, a bowl of penang prawn mee, curry noodle, etc will cost RM8-9, plain mamak Mee goreng will be RM6, Kopi ice & teh tarik might be selling RM5/glass.
Seein a doctor for fever or cough might cost u RM60-70 rclxms.gif

So in 5-6years, 20x70 DS at setia alam might be selling at RM1mil, Desapark houses might be selling @ RM3-4mill, Casa tropicana condo might be selling RM900k for 1188sf, Pelangi damansara might asking RM500k/950sf and .....In tandem to that, mix rice = RM15/plate, Har mee= RM13/plate Kopi ice, Cham Ice, or Teh ice = RM8/glass thumbup.gif


A single income earner who is earning RM3500 now, say a bank officer, might need RM6000 by that time to maintain the same quality of living.
tongue.gif

just a layman thought biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by bluesfingers: Apr 16 2011, 03:55 AM
bluesfingers
post Apr 16 2011, 10:05 PM

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QUOTE(UFO-ET @ Apr 16 2011, 08:01 AM)
Yeah, the banker will resign eventually and sell mix rice biggrin.gif
*
let's go resign and start selling mixed rice. biggrin.gif
Adopt the same strategy like most of the Speculator/ Investor/ flipper whatever u call it, stick with your price tag no discount, selling RM8/plate for a 2 vege 1 meat mixed rice. rclxm9.gif so we make more to pay the developer.

Wake up! all Employeesss, tender your resignation letter tomorrow and start selling mixed rice, prawn mee, kutiau goreng, etc VERY IMPORTANT we have to collaborate and agreed on an absurd price tag 1st b4 we start selling icon_idea.gif maybe RM8/kutiau goreng, RM9/mixed rice, COme speculators if you wana eat Or f*** OFF go home and lick mummy ***** if you dont wana pay this price mad.gif

bluesfingers
post Apr 18 2011, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(CKHong @ Apr 18 2011, 03:38 PM)
with such high value.. the rental won't be able to cover the month installment to banks smile.gif
so every month is -ve cashflow for investor.. hope they can tahan..
*
You still can find alot of cheap aprtments in kL/PJ abit old if dont mind, rent or buy, eg wangsa maju section 2 or 4, flora damansara, or low cost apartment in sri rampai.
no money then hv to live in a more basic apartment lor.
People now maximize thier household income affordability to pay for a house for ownstay, say RM600k with nett take home income of RM8k. Mortgage RM3.3k
anyside lose their job die loo

This post has been edited by bluesfingers: Apr 18 2011, 04:55 PM
bluesfingers
post Apr 24 2011, 10:51 PM

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Someone say in any "market" when uncles, aunties, ah sou, ah beng, etc coming in is the time for u to run biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by bluesfingers: Apr 24 2011, 10:52 PM
bluesfingers
post Apr 25 2011, 01:30 AM

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QUOTE(property101 @ Apr 25 2011, 12:07 AM)
i used to have the same thought, until recently this idea shaken a little, i'm sure the statement was true for stock, unit trust etc, but i'm not too sure about property
my justification is such:
1. property has "real" value,
2. human need a property to "survive"
3. anyone can easily use small amount of money to buy stock, unit trust, etc (therefore can also be disposed off quickly, that lead to a crash easier) - but property transaction commitment is bigger, more time consuming and complicated, people might think really seriously prior to (buy or) disposing even one unit
4. the uncles, aunties, ah sou, ah beng, etc who buy property generally have deeper pocket - comparing to uncles, aunties, ah sou, ah beng, etc who buy stock, unit trust, etc

it's not easy for it to crash, but if it does, thats the last thing most people want to see
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Ya, I agreed with you, properties are bigger and have more solid foundation but once collapse it will be devastating (like highland tower). This iwhy you need something really big to trigger it (eg china crash, US second crash), I can forseen many people will be jumping from their rooftop. brows.gif
I dont want this to happen also. I might be losing my job too. Only cash rich taikun like YTL drool.gif

This post has been edited by bluesfingers: Apr 25 2011, 01:32 AM
bluesfingers
post Apr 25 2011, 10:50 PM

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Why dont we use this as a reason to demand higher salary? or even gang up with others to demand salary raise biggrin.gif
Instead of hoping the economy crash which is definately beyond human controls.
bluesfingers
post Apr 26 2011, 06:31 PM

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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Apr 26 2011, 04:21 PM)
Published: Tuesday April 26, 2011 MYT 2:38:00 PM
Malaysian households use almost half their income to pay off debts
By JOSEPHINE JALLEH

http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=..._medium=twitter


“Looking at the problem from the ratio of household debt to disposable income, this ratio is 140.4% for Malaysia, one of the highest in the world, above that of Singapore at 105.3%, USA at 123.3% and Thailand at 52.7% in 2009,” he said.

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doh.gif our household debt level worst than US shocking.gif
Our economy is heading the portal of HELL
bluesfingers
post Apr 30 2011, 01:15 PM

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STAR, Saturday April 30, 2011
PM: Innovate to compete

PUTRAJAYA: The country's economic competitiveness will continue to be threatened if Malaysia relies on cheap foreign labour and is reluctant to innovate, said Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak.
He said the country's labour productivity also ...........................................

He said the ringgit's gain over the US dollar will not affect Malaysia's exports.
Local companies should use our stronger ringgit to strengthen processes in their companies, such as buying equipment and ensuring their supply chains are more efficient,” he said.


The Edge: Thursday, 28 April 2011 11:44
Stronger ringgit eats into Unisem’s 1Q

PETALING JAYA : The strengthening ringgit against the US dollar was highlighted as the main reason for Unisem (M) Bhd’s poor performance in 1Q ended March 31, according to the company’s announcement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday.

The semiconductor manufacturing company recorded a revenue of RM291.98 million which was 11.2% lower than RM329 million a year ago. Net profit fell 86.8% to RM 5.086 million from RM41.626 million a year ago.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

rclxub.gif bemused


bluesfingers
post May 4 2011, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(Rain88 @ May 4 2011, 03:25 PM)
I talked to a property agent before, he said KL&PG houses/condos many were bought by Singaporeans (or maybe Malaysians who work in SG), looks like property price will only continue to rise!
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Do you think is really matter who bought the houses? the important thing is they are a Speculator/ investor or genuine buyer for own stay? if 30% RPGT kicked in they must lari kuat-kuat too icon_question.gif
bluesfingers
post May 5 2011, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(lucerne @ May 5 2011, 10:18 AM)
Agreed, Singapore finance cost is only 1.5%, if Msia prop rental yield is 4% is much better than Sg. Mor Msian , 4% is -ve yeild. I have many Sg, HK, China fren are buying KL prop.
most of them remit their MYR rental back to their home contries coz they woprried  MYR will depreciate against SGD, RMB in long run.
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on top, Malysia is not a place for long term investment too due to the political conditions laugh.gif
bluesfingers
post May 19 2011, 03:41 AM

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QUOTE(KLsooner @ May 18 2011, 11:47 PM)
I do not agree with this.

1. during 98 crisis, property did not have bubble. Share market was pretty high at that time and plunged 80% to 260 pts.
2. at that time, property price are considered peanut or chicken feed compared to now, even a drop of 20% was not painful.
3. most of the people are buying for own stay, almost no speculators at that time, so fire sell did not happened. Some people sell property ware to cover their margin account.
4. The higher it goes, the harder it falls.
5. Do not compare with the past becos history does not repeat by itself.
6. BLR was 12%, BNM has plenty of room to force BLR at all time low to bail those in the deep shit out.
7. 98 crisis was single dimensional currency crisis, who know what will hit us next? could be something like Japan, 3 in 1.
8. during 98, most of the western countries were enjoying good GDP growth, export helps our country to recover fast with a fixed RM of 3.80. Now every one has their own problem including China which could means doom if global economy take a double dip. A quick double dip is still better than a long and painful double dip like Japan.

I forsee if there were a property crisis in the future, it is going to be a catastrophic one. Be prepared.
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Utterly support thumbup.gif
only Moron will think price will never fall wink.gif
bluesfingers
post May 19 2011, 01:17 PM

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For Property price up up up believer!
IF that was true you have to accept either one of the following too:
biggrin.gif Ishak Allah, Malaysia has transformed into High Income Nation by 2020. Take the nearer developed nation as a benchmark,Singapore, our Salaries or Incomes should be doubled/increased 100% by 2020 (9 more years to go). It seems too far huh? no problem, we set a milestone at 2015/2016 (4 years from now) means we should get 50% increase by then. Meaning, a school teacher who is earning RM3000 now should get RM4500, 4-5years experience Engineer earning RM5k now shd get RM7500, A manager earning RM10k now shd get RM15k rclxms.gif

cry.gif Instead of transforming the country into a high income nation, we transform it into 2nd Philippines. Most people in the country cant afford the high cost of living and have to work oversea in order to sustain their espenses.

flex.gif
bluesfingers
post May 29 2011, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 27 2011, 04:35 PM)
This is not classified as overvalued.
Bank only value the property worth aka excluded renovation and full furnished or not issue.

There is no such thing of worth or not worth if you are buying for your own stay.  smile.gif


Added on May 27, 2011, 4:37 pmBuy a new condo, totally blank one.
Renovation, furniture stuff, even only renovate the most simpler, basic, 50-100k is norm.

A sofa cost you >Rm2k, bed >1k, cabinet, table, especially nowadays wooden stuff is very expensive.
Those furniture alone >10-20k on the most basic.
If customised even costly.

Not yet count the kitchen stuff, another 10-20k.

Electrical wiring >5-10k.
*
A Condo needs 50k-100k for renovation+furnitures is a norm notworthy.gif

bluesfingers
post Jun 15 2011, 06:18 PM

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Just to share a real story of my friend who was working in Ireland 3-4years ago.
That time Ireland was booming like nobody business, everyone believes property price is only up up up and so does my dear friend. He ended up bought a townhouse approximately 300k Euro(~RM1.3m). Unfortunately, the market crashed less than a year later, he has been made redundant. His property worth only 2/3 of his purchased price and he was struggling for few months in Ireland to look for another job but end up in vain. And now he is working in middle east to serve his mortgage in Ireland.

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