QUOTE(lucerne @ Mar 18 2011, 09:15 AM)
no matter how the radiation will subside/(isotop will decap very fast) after a short time period. all buildings including factory need to rebuild again. all business need to back to usual, dun forget Japan is no2 largest global economy , they cant afford to stall eg mitsubishi, sumitomo etc. the demand of building materials will shot up this 1-3 years and force materials price to go up. so be prepare house price will not come down within 3 years. strong yen is good for them as they need to import lot of materials within this rebuild period.
Haha, r u sure the radiation will subside and land can be reused very fast?
I dun know how is the radiation control and how is going to clear it off, but as ppl like me born in bukit merah area, i know very well that is no so easy to clear it off.
The case of Bukit Merah happen in 198+, and factory close down at 1994 as ppl win the case at high court. Initial gomen claim that all under control, but a lot of expect from japan & german give the different answer, it is exist the comfort level.
From the factory close down until today around 25+ yrs, the clearing of the bahan kimia still in progress, some area still isolate no around ppl to go in.
So i very clear that the japan area which was contaminated cannot be so fast rebuild unless they move to another area.
Yes, definitely the materials price will go up and cause cost of property go up too, but it doesn't mean that property price will go up crazy. The property price is very depending of market demand. If the demand going down due to ppl not afford to purchase high price property, if will cause the property market slow down - stagnant - go down, and property recession will be happen and u will c a lot of abandoned project anywhere, especially the new launched project with sky price.
That's y recently why gomen still maintain the BLR rate and implement the 220k scheme to keep the power to market to continue rolling, even our inflation is high.