QUOTE(Daryl Teo @ Nov 4 2010, 02:09 AM)
U're right again. Giving credit to your 1st time purchaser who has to scrape by to make ends meet, the govt has made provisions for 100pc loan for purchases below 220k. But there's also this group who wants to move up beyond 1st or 2nd purchase to a decent landed prop which needs to be addressed. I would think that clearer guidelines should have drawn for this group to move up the property ladder without unnecessary burdensome caps on loans. Yet clearer statistics should have been drawn of the makeup of this group of buyers who are interested in props below 220k instead of a blanket call for an LTV cap. I would actually think it's more political than purely driven by market considerations. But i do concede to your thoughtful points. Thank u for the meaningful discussion.
Added on November 4, 2010, 2:11 amThat's where it was ambivalent, it mentioned 'property' not 'loans'. I think more will be revealed ahead. Let's bide our time.
very good exchange of ideas both of you had going.
would like to add my 2 cents worth:
1. fully agreed with your scenario for i believe i'm in quite an exact position as what you have proclaimed. for the late twenties to the 30's group, they are indeed looking for a upgrade to their unit. i fully concur if the ruling were meant from 4th property/loan onwards. that will make much more sense IMHO.
2. they are too many uncertainties by way the announcement was made. BNM have declared with immediate effect but my guess is the following questions will not be answerable by the bank. eg:
a) if the purchase is under joint name where one of them is purchasing their say 5th unit and the other party is into their 2nd unit. how much margin can they get? 90% or 70%?
b) as most forummers have mentioned, is it property based, or loan based?
c) irrespective of loans or properties, what if the buyer have settled or disposed of their loans/properties? should the ruling be for 'active' loans or ownership of properties only be more sensible?
d) they are some other multiple cases such as names appearing in SPA only but not loans. and some appearing in SPA and loans but not servicing the loan. and etc. how does that take into account the person's eligibility?
now this is purely my thoughts; i am foreseeing no drastic drop in prices, more creative financing packages by developers and banks, BUT increase in rental prices. don't ask me why. just a hunch. so if that materialise, it will not actually help 1st time buyers but actually makes the escalate the property bubble lah. property price already high, rental increase to become high also. BOOM!
am surprised brother Pai have not spoken yet!