QUOTE(flight @ May 17 2010, 09:22 PM)
Point 1)
Say you have a company that is selling at RM1.00 at the stock market with an NTA of RM1.60. This company has RM0.60 in cash holdings, because the cash is not being used to run the business, it is not part of the business. So when you value the business, you take out the RM0.60 from their share price, because essentially if u buy over the business for RM1.00 per share, you will get RM0.60 in cash, the rest of the business that has managed to generate that RM0.60 is only being valued at RM0.40. RM1 - RM 0.60 = RM0.40.
So this RM0.40 is the price of the business after taking away its cash holdings. Hence the 40 cents price tag.
Point 4)
Give u an example, say there is a company that is being sold in the stockmarket for RM0.30 per share, but their NTA is RM1, this company is selling very much below their NTA, hence it is seriously undervalued is it not? But the reason for it being undervalued is because it has not been very profitable and they hold a large amount of debt. If there was a very bad year the potential for bankruptcy might be quite high since they owe RM100million. So they clear all their debt and sell off all their assets that are not generating money. They now have RM100million worth of assets and zero debt, but their stock price hasnt taken into account the balance sheet clean up that they have gone through, it is still being priced as if they might go bankrupt because of high debt.
OK me talking rubbish again.
There are a number of stock that is debt free. But NTA wise is Rm3-4, but share price is trading at Rm1.xx-2.xx
Reason?
Because the company can only generate about 10 cents profit each year or less than that, not because there are in debt or having risk of bankrupt, which the share price on market move based on the PER which how much investor can get a return from the share price through dividend which generated from the profit.
Point 1 is pretty valid, and true.
But. As a minority shareholders, if the major shareholders are not treating well the minority shareholders, then miniroty shareholders are getting zero from the cash value of the company holds.
As company can opt to hold on those cash forever without distributing at all.
So generally market reaction and pricing is towards profit and dividend given.
No doubt, it is very good in term of "undervalued" situation.
But you just need an event of mis-managed, or whatever unfavourable circumstance, then the cash position can go within short period of time.
Point 4
Clean balance sheet now can still turn 'dirty' balance sheet afterwards, if the company is making a loss afterwards due to whatever reason, from irrecoverable receivables to making net loss in margin.
Which in turn, even a company has significant net cash value, a loss making in the future can eat into the cash position as well.
Yup, debt free is definitely good, which mean little risk of the company going down. But a loss making and negative cashflow resulted from it can eat into the cash position.
NTA can shrink pretty fast without any debt built up with significant loss making with negative cashflow.