Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 KLSE Stock Performance the year ahead ?, Discussion on Equities Outlook, Strategy

views
     
epalbee3
post Jan 24 2010, 01:26 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,345 posts

Joined: Sep 2009
well.. GDP formula is as follow:

GDP = private expenditure + gross investment + public spending
+ export - import

when you put stimulus to spend money, you increase public spending, hence GDP will be up. when you increase house price and lower BLR, more people buy expensive house, thus gross investment increase. Sort of non-productive gain and based on debt, like US.

I do hope the house price will be back to its reasonable value after the dip. GDP does not mean anything if buying a house for own stay also hard.


Added on January 24, 2010, 1:40 pmAnd I have some thought just now about end of 2008 recession:

During that time, all of us are very worrying about petrol price, and even government has announced that petrol price will stay high.
Newspaper has announced that high petrol price era has come.
And we have prepared for that and feel the life is difficult.

What happens after that? the recession turned the petrol price to its 30%.

Now today: we see that property prices are increasing every month. Some people said that if you don't buy now, you might not be able to buy a few years later. We feel stressed and try to accept the fact.

But, ... do you really think property price will keep on increasing to sky?

From our experience, we know that whenever the price hike and people feel extremely stressed in their daily life.. that is time to warn about the recession.

What say you?



This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jan 24 2010, 01:40 PM
epalbee3
post Jan 24 2010, 11:40 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,345 posts

Joined: Sep 2009
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 24 2010, 11:00 PM)
What do you mean reasonable level? I believe the lows have been past already and it
will continue to go up as the economy recovers and as long as the govt keep the interest rate low.

People are pouring back into real estate investment because current FD rate sucks!
*
well.. most new landed areas in KL cost more than RM550k.

Perhaps other places are better. I have observed two places.

The house price had been doubled since 2004 in 5 years time. Previously was 250k. Now 550k.





 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0137sec    0.88    6 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 24th December 2025 - 10:58 AM