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 US stock discussion v2

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mindstorm
post Jan 30 2010, 05:31 PM

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Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 30 2010, 07:00 AM)
base on observation gathered from here, since everything status quo ie. interest rate low, teori buy the dip should stil be in play
anyone heard abt teori, 'bear jump out of window'  brows.gif hope to show u all in real time nex week (buffet says, be greedy when all fear)  nod.gif
wat other news is out there, tat send bear team 1 family & relatives to pay us a visit? FA sifus, can advise next step &  icon_question.gif
anyway, time is soon for closing short positions, fear will drive the options pricing bonkers...   

TA teori says, by the time the news come out in a few weeks or months time, its alredi too late liao, izit true? watch & see it live
no offense but nothing beats 'ignorance is bliss' like a nice dose of reality  icon_rolleyes.gif
aiyo, those FA did not set up bull altar nor pray hard enuf... they all went to sleep &on a friday nite vmad.gif
my louyah analyst report  wub.gif 

U.S. Stocks Reverse Lower

4:15 p.m. Update: Stocks fell for a second straight session Friday after an early rally petered out.

The Nasdaq tumbled 1.5%, up from a 1.8% deficit. The NYSE composite shed 1.1%, S&P 500 1% and Dow 0.5%.

Tech-related groups tumbled. Software, data storage, computer makers and chip groups all got hit. Homebuilders and nursing-home operators bucked the trend.

Volume climbed across the board.

p/s: of coz 95% forumers really wish the short squeeze would kill me off  cool2.gif but I do not have power over the market, jus act base on simple TA
those who had follow &  lighten position or alredi in cash, ensure ur list up to date, with ur own experience, u wil know when to buy again  rclxm9.gif
*
how do you decide wheather to be "greedy when all fear" or "don't catch a falling knife"?

when there is a strong downtrend, often the downtrend are fed by mini bulls themselves...to be more precised, bulls that are weak holders, thereby turning bears themselves. As prices fall, there will always be contrarians who think, "ah, time to buy... cheap, buy when dip". However after buying, they see that prices continue to head south... after a while, they think, "oh shit, made a wrong decision.." and then they start selling, taking loses because of fear that they will lose more if they continue to hold. Hence they become the bears. Then the next group of bulls will come in thinking, "ah...time to buy now...really low". But then the bears coming in from earlier group will feed the selling pressure caused by overall bad news, and price continue to head south. After a while the same thing happen to the second group(of course it is not so clear-cut) and they also start selling... thereby causing the prices to spiral down.

And when stocks market fall, there is a general mood to spend less causing companies to earn less... and so forth... reflexivity theory kicks in.

We also should not forget there are many big players who have interest in falling prices...

besides this year is world cup year. huh? well, do a google to see the year returns for world cup years. More often than not, it isn't good.

so how sure are you the bottom has been reached for this "mini" reversal?

This post has been edited by mindstorm: Jan 30 2010, 05:33 PM

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