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Holding ERX at 40$
US stock discussion v2
US stock discussion v2
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Dec 5 2009, 12:57 PM
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#1
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131 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
3rd to post
Holding ERX at 40$ |
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Jan 30 2010, 02:22 AM
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#2
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131 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
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Jan 30 2010, 04:43 PM
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#3
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131 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
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Feb 19 2010, 12:21 AM
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#4
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I'm thinking of getting FSLR for a year holding. Maybe put roughly 10% of my portfolio in this stock. What do you guys think? (Hoping Danmooncake would give some comment) I know the stock is inversely related to the oil price and oil price is still at its low point. I'm expecting it to be around 180$ range by end of year.
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Mar 11 2010, 11:03 PM
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#5
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131 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
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Mar 15 2010, 10:12 PM
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#6
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131 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
There's one thing I notice that stocks tend to rise when the 20ema cross 50ema. I wonder how do you guys stock screen for such stock? And how do you exit?
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Mar 15 2010, 10:56 PM
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#7
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 15 2010, 10:44 PM) It depends. Are you looking at 20ema moving ABOVE 50ema or moving BELOW 50ema? Sorry, if I wasn't clear before. What I meant was that the 20ema crosses and moves ABOVE 50ema, you will sell at RSI overbought territory? At what range of RSI you'll be looking at? 70 or 90 to indicate oversold? Is the current price above the 20ema, 50ema or in between? I usually look RSI. If it is overbought.. time to sell. 2nd scenario, what if the current price is in between 20ema and 50ema? What would you do? Hold and wait? 3rd scenario, what if the 20ema crosses and move below 50ema? Would you sell immediately? Or short it? Thanks for answering. It'd be nice to get some input from sifus around here, especially Dan! |
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Mar 16 2010, 09:39 PM
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#8
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 15 2010, 11:44 PM) Aiya, I'm not a sifu.. there are plenty of sifus here who are much better than me. Dan,After all these years, there is not a single day that I'm not learning from this crazy market and also humbled by it when it proves you wrong when it goes against you. Yes, above RSI: 70 to 90 would indicate overbought condition. For example: look at C last week. If the current price is between 20ema and 50ema, what's its trajectory? Upwards or downwards or sideways? Is it at the top of bollinger band? middle? or at the bottom? If it is at top, time to take some off. If it is bottom, perhaps scale a position, if it is middle, perhaps wait and see.. what's the major indices doing? Sorry, there is no short answer, they are all "it depends" situation. IMO, charts are usually 63% right, or 33% wrong. I am only hoping they're 63% right at the time when I see them so I can use it to make money. Do you have an example of a stock that you are interested in to buy or sell? Feel free post its chart and let us all study it here and post our thoughts on it. Look at these two charts S n NVE. For S, the 20ema is moving close to 50ema. Should I start a position at round after 3.59$? As for NVE, 20ema is very close to 50ema. Should I too start a position after 11.60? NVE seems to have an upward trajectory. As for S it seems it's heading down 50ema before probably moving up again? |
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Mar 17 2010, 11:50 PM
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#9
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Entered FUQI at 12.15. Aiming for some bounce trade. Might lose some money cause Dow is at all time high!
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Mar 18 2010, 12:12 AM
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#10
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Mar 18 2010, 07:40 AM
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#11
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 18 2010, 07:36 AM) Go ahead and try it. But, I can't find any shares to short. I'm in for the bounce play! If it snaps below 11.75, I'm out of the game. Hopefully, my risk-taking payoff. After reading many articles n their earnings, I believe it's another 'Toyota like scandal', a one -off thing. Otherwise, the market would humble me...A Lot!I can see intermediate support at 11.75 but it could break and drop below it tomorrow. Next support would be around 8.5-9.5, and another level is: 5-6, back to pre-2009 price. It is oversold now and if you play it right, it could snap back for bounce play (perhaps up to 14.80) - just like STEC. If this drops to 10 and hold, I'll play the long game. I re-read their earnings announcement and re-instatement of their earnings may not be that bad. There are lot of companies that suddenly has accounting errors never recover to their pre-accounting errors price because of tarnished to investors confidence but the snapback could be wonderful buying opportunities because buyers fear have created massive gap that needs to be filled. Good luck! |
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Mar 18 2010, 12:51 PM
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#12
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I've found something interesting, automatic TA, http://www.stockconsultant.com
Do try it and tell me what you guys think bout it? Are the TA analysis 'correct' enough to believe in? |
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Mar 18 2010, 10:03 PM
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#13
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Mar 18 2010, 09:29 PM) why not you try putting in STEC and FUQI and decide it yourself. I'm not a TA person till lately. Hence, I can't judge how good the quality of that automatic TA site is? What do you guys think bout it?FUQI Overall Summary: 65%, Bullish 35%, Bearish Trade Quality: Upside 95%, Excellent Downside 30%, Poor Break Alerts: None |
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Mar 19 2010, 06:43 AM
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#14
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Mar 19 2010, 07:33 AM
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#15
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Mar 19 2010, 07:39 AM
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#16
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Mar 19 2010, 07:50 AM
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#17
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Mar 19 2010, 11:40 PM
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#18
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Mar 20 2010, 12:25 AM
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#19
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 20 2010, 12:04 AM) My order for FUQI got filled 11.90 yesterday and got stop out tonight at 11.60. You think China's tightening will spook investors?Back to even after some gain yesterday. But, I went short on China - bought some FXP: 8.16 at open. |
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Mar 22 2010, 08:38 AM
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#20
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QUOTE(Erroralot @ Mar 22 2010, 08:25 AM) Hopefully it does!On other note, guys Maybank2u.com's RM10 transfer is not total cost of your fund transfer. The transaction is RM10+21U$ for they use ABN Umbro bank as their intermediary bank. I inquire several other banks and Maybank is still the cheapest. Just a note for you guys out there who still think it's only RM10. |
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