Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 US stock discussion v2

views
     
David_Brent
post Feb 3 2010, 11:32 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 3 2010, 11:28 PM)
So, here's what we got:

ADP data - good
ISM data - good

Market pulling back a notch.  Financial media says.. oh it because of earnings disappointment.
See how they spin this news?  biggrin.gif
By the way, TM (Toyota) continues to be pummeled by bad news.
I just need it to drop a few more dollars close to 70, I am going to get some here.
I never like the auto industry but Toyota is an exception. Heck, I drive a Toyota myself.  laugh.gif
*
I thought that you already knew it is all down to the Bilderberg Group at work..... brows.gif

Davos is the place to look for what happens to 'market reaction' to 'news'..... hmm.gif

notworthy.gif
David_Brent
post Feb 4 2010, 12:41 AM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 4 2010, 12:15 AM)
No, I'm not the master. Again, just a small fish in the big ocean of sharks and killer whales.
You and I know, there are plenty of them at NYSE. 

Just swimming along with them for now.. but keeping eyes open - if they ready open their mouth to feed,
jump back to land as soon as possible.  sweat.gif
*
What is so ridiculous is stuff like this:

"US Stocks Fall As Pfizer Earnings Weigh On Health Care

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--U.S. stocks fell Wednesday as health care stocks lagged after Pfizer posted a disappointing earnings outlook and U.S. service-sector activity increased by less than expected last month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average recently dropped 39 points, or 0.4%, to 10255. Pfizer was its worst performer, off 2.6%, after posting earnings. The drug giant said its fourth-quarter profit more than doubled to $767 million, but the result lagged Wall Street estimates. It also scaled back 2012 revenue estimates and weighed on other health-care stocks, including Dow component Merck, down 2.3%. "


So...we have the DJIA weakened (at the moment) because two of its bigger components fell 2.x%.
One of which posted more than doubled Q4 profit.

Madness - sheer madness hmm.gif

Anyone who relies on these indices for more than +/- 5% of their decision making serious needs their heads examined IMHO.
icon_rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by David_Brent: Feb 4 2010, 12:41 AM
David_Brent
post Feb 12 2010, 11:06 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 12 2010, 10:20 PM)
Sneaky bastards.. they intentionally announce this (0.5% increase) after the market is closed and also timing it so that they do it before the Chinese New Year so that their market won't suffer that much next week because it will be closed.
*
Very smart ah! rclxms.gif
Governments and companies always release the bad news on Friday evenings...well know tactic..... hmm.gif
David_Brent
post Feb 17 2010, 11:46 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 17 2010, 11:31 PM)
Market feels toppy again at S&P 1099/1100.
Hopefully, it won't roll back down so soon otherwise the lower highs become true.
*
Do you think the market is still in 'correction mode'?
David_Brent
post Apr 2 2010, 10:46 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 2 2010, 10:16 PM)
Well,  tonight - the unemployment rate stays about the same for month of March: 9.7% like in Feb.
But, US employers added about 162K jobs (below 190K as expected). US census bureau added 48K jobs.
The private sector added 123K jobs - which is a good thing.

IMO, the jobs growth is very anemic despite massive govt stimulus spending.  Overall, this isn't good for longer term.

It is anything goes on Monday.  I would be watching for China and HongKong and see how they react.
*
I agree - but would just say that the massive govt stimulus spending has not been specifically targeted at reducing unemployment but at solving more (huge)systemic problems in the US economy... hmm.gif

Politically, unemployment is Obama's greatest challenge, but it is a lagging indicator and I think there are other clues to a generally improving US economy.

There are still a number of worrying elephants still in the room: commercial property collapse (yet to come) , consumer debt default and housing loan defaults.....and the EU/UK sovereign debt crisis is still to come....... hmm.gif

I'm sticking with my plan of stocking up on canned food, plenty of ammo and a safe place to grow my own food..... icon_idea.gif

icon_rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by David_Brent: Apr 2 2010, 10:47 PM
David_Brent
post Apr 17 2010, 12:04 AM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 16 2010, 11:37 PM)
Goldman bad boy getting the whip!  rclxms.gif

Hang tight guys... don't go all in yet if you're long. Nibble..is the name of the game.
We'll dive below 11K if we closed -3 digits down today.
In small block:
C: 4.45
TCK: 42.40
FXP: 37.20 (got in premarket) - short term play due to China/HK already started to pull back today.
XPP: 69.80 (hedging for FXP, reverse play)
Good luck to all and let's all 'fatt choi' later.
*
A recent Rolling Stone article called Goldman “a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity” and accused it of rigging every major market bubble since the Great Depression. hmm.gif
David_Brent
post Apr 20 2010, 08:52 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
Goldman Sachs Group Inc said first-quarter earnings nearly doubled, topping expectations, bolstered by fixed income trading profits, according to Reuters on Tuesday, April 20.

Net income for the Wall Street powerhouse rose to US$3.29 billion, or US$5.59 per share, from US$1.66 billion, or US$3.39 per share, a year earlier.

Analysts on average has forecast US$4.01 per share, according to Thompson Reuters I/B/E/S.

The results came four days after the New York-based bank was accused of fraud by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in the structuring and marketing of a debt product tied to subprime mortgages.

Goldman emerged as Wall Street's most influential bank after the financial crisis, but it has faced a backlash over its pay and business practices.

Shares of Goldman closed at US$163.32 on Monday, up 1.63 percent. The shares tumbled more than 12 percent on Friday after the news of the SEC's charges, according to Reuters.
David_Brent
post Apr 29 2010, 02:41 AM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
yawn.gif There are only two types of people who try to predict the markets:

1. Those who don't know.
2. Those who don't know that they don't know.

Never under-estimate the power of The Bilderberg Group. icon_rolleyes.gif

David_Brent
post May 25 2010, 09:38 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 25 2010, 09:28 PM)
I was thinking of getting some TNA for bounce play..  biggrin.gif
*
tongue.gif
"Bounce Play"??
That's a new one...... thumbup.gif
Are you guys going to play it with each others' "shorts"???
laugh.gif

Anyone new to this thread could get seriously confused..... hmm.gif

Anyway: Good Luck to you all in 'Riding the Dragon*'!!! blush.gif

*Google it!

This post has been edited by David_Brent: May 25 2010, 09:41 PM
David_Brent
post May 29 2010, 12:20 AM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
No response...... hmm.gif
David_Brent
post Jun 1 2010, 11:55 PM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 1 2010, 10:58 PM)
It's close enough but since they've failed to cap that leak, I think BP PE will be revised based on potential loss of earnings and lawsuits. So far, they've burnt already near US 1bil in cleaning up and trying to stop that leak - still no success.  It is estimated three to four times worse than Exxon Valdez. All their earnings will be wiped out and turned into loss for the next decade.
*
I think the oil majors (including BP) carry insurance against these kinds of events.
You might want to look into that.
The big worry is criminal proceedings rather than civil suits by the ambulance-chasers and the government agencies in the US. hmm.gif
David_Brent
post Jun 10 2010, 12:02 AM

Caveat Emptor
*******
Senior Member
3,423 posts

Joined: May 2009
From: My Private Yacht
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 9 2010, 08:19 PM)
Going long tonight.  Like to see us all the way up to 1100 again by tomorrow.  rclxms.gif

In TNA, ERX and riding AAPL calls.a

Also watch Uncle Ben testifying tonight! The market most important guy!
*
Uncle Ben earns his crust:
icon_idea.gif
"Helping support the market after a week of shaky trading, Bernanke said Wednesday that he expects the U.S. economy to grow between 3% to 4% this year, as consumer spending and business investment make up for fading government stimulus.

In a hearing before the House Budget Committee, Bernanke said it appears as though the recovery has made an "important transition" from being supported by government spending to being lifted by stronger private demand. The central banker also said he was encouraged by the European response to the debt crisis.

Bernanke is also scheduled to speak at an employment conference as the markets close, and the Fed will release its Beige Book, a closely watched survey of economic conditions, at 2 p.m. EDT. "

WSJ

Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0501sec    0.36    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 11th December 2025 - 11:56 PM