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 Stock Market V36: Return of the Bull, Part IV, Bull defies Newton's Law of Gravity

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TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 09:50 AM

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The cream of my portfolio Axreit turning lembik... sigh*
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 09:57 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Aug 6 2009, 09:53 AM)
Actually now is a good time to buy Axreit (for those that want to buy REITs). I see one big seller since yesterday.
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u are right on that but must becareful...

starting to notice a trend actually, right after Ex-dividend... the price start to drop and than all the small investors all coming in and start selling... i wont be suprised if it drops to about 1.5x or 1.6x... try grabbing Axreit 1 month be4 the next dividend pay out...

good thing about Axreit it seems to be holding its ground whereever it lands...

liquidated 50% of my holdings for Axreit, made some reasonable gains. The rest i use to avg up for the next div payout.


TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 09:58 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 6 2009, 09:52 AM)
The thread is moving at crawling speed smile.gif What happen to everyone? Bz cutting loss or shopping tongue.gif
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some tiny movement on HSP, i think if CPO rally again today (yesetrday was quite weak esp the closing hmm.gif ).. HSP can touch 2.3X




TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 6 2009, 10:04 AM)
Naim breach the 2.8


Added on August 6, 2009, 10:05 am
HSP is quite slow, I think now is the time to collect more
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just to be extra sure, watch out for Dec09, Jan 2010 and Feb 2010 contracts...

i am waiting for some sort of correction on the CPO price (fingers crossed)... my money currently parked with Jtinter (rather than letter my money sit idle make them work for me.. (no thanks to my Remisier)... got me 2 raw eggs...

i also donno how to makan now.
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(protonw @ Aug 6 2009, 10:06 AM)
I am waiting for it to go lower so I can buy somemore. sorry ya...........  tongue.gif
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is a good thing, but watch carefully and see if the trend is the same previously ...

i think u will be able to see ur entry point clearly.

gd luck hunting!

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Axreit.

anyone attending Unitholders meeting 20th August in Westin ?

hope got free food

Gathering of the Ring

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 6 2009, 10:11 AM
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(peinsama @ Aug 6 2009, 11:08 AM)
Aurora, what's your FCPO level target?
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which contract month are u referring to?
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(peinsama @ Aug 6 2009, 11:26 AM)
Oops forget to add. October.

Hmm, you're referring to which contract?
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October 09 contract shud hang around the region of 2100-2300 (there a good no. of open position, i am assuming someone is stalking up ahead of Jan 2010)

[ Deleted ] Reason: Idk why i put this in

Nov 09 & Dec 09 are particular contract months of interest... perhaps 2500 by year end?

Jan Feb March ... May 2010 contracts would continue to see a spike..

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Currently experiencing unsual whether as noted in previous threads (i.e. El Nina or Neno watever u wanna call it)

hence my conclusion for Dec 09 till May 2010 shud be quite bullish.

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On the field

Normally Nov Dec 09 production is the weakest (low cycle)... come Jan Feb 2010 (this is the peak cycle).. supplies would probably kick in probably Earliest March and latest by May 2010..

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All guess work..

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 6 2009, 11:48 AM


Attached File(s)
Attached File  FCPO_spo_mth_av.pdf ( 25.06k ) Number of downloads: 9
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(AdamG1981 @ Aug 6 2009, 11:49 AM)
I'm buying KNM because i am anticipating a rise later in the day in crude oil, especially when BOE and ECB are announcing their rate decisions today.

BOE is expected to announce that they seen enough recovery to stop printing money, and ECB will likely mention that eurozone economy is improving. Since Trichet is hawkish compare to Big Ben, i will expect Trichet to underline measures for his own exit strategy.

Hence, i believe Trichet, and Kings comments will boost euro and pounds respectively thus propelling oil higher due to further USD weakness.
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though what we r talkin are totally unrelated.. sweat.gif

sounds like further good news for fCPO..?

shud take note of this as well nod.gif

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 6 2009, 11:51 AM
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(peinsama @ Aug 6 2009, 11:53 AM)
Settlement date or the final trading date is 15th of the month while 20th is the tender period (im still blur with the tender thinggy. Mind to explain a little further?)

As for now open interest is decreasing bits by bits.
True, weather forecasts could indicate tightness in supply hence bullish trend. Im still figuring how China soybean and CBOT soybeans are performing throughout the year as well.
Alright, noted.
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15th is the final trading day

20th is settlement date - tendering and registration will be done for all positions remaining open.

after that i don't know what happens.. cause i never seen the tendering/registration process before. (normally done by the brokers)

talking abt open interest (although as u mentioned decreasing), compared to last years OI, this years OI seems to be much higher. seems like ppl already have a magic ball whats gonna happen.


TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(peinsama @ Aug 6 2009, 12:07 PM)
Oh..i tot all these while the final settlement price is calculated on the final trading day, hence i tot its a final settlement date as well.

Me too, i actually never saw tendering process as well. Still new maybe.
Alright, thanks man. Will sure note the comparison.
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hold on a sec i confirm the bolded part first, may be AdamG can clarify
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(peinsama @ Aug 6 2009, 11:53 AM)
Settlement date or the final trading date is 15th of the month while 20th is the tender period (im still blur with the tender thinggy. Mind to explain a little further?)

As for now open interest is decreasing bits by bits.
True, weather forecasts could indicate tightness in supply hence bullish trend. Im still figuring how China soybean and CBOT soybeans are performing throughout the year as well.
Alright, noted.
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just take my opinion as a pinch of salt ...

i just use it determine my entry point for equity not for FCPO trading ...



TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 04:12 PM

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my jtinter going up in smokes... 2 more days to go fingers crossed.
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Aug 6 2009, 04:17 PM)
Alamak, forced to buy Bursa Cl at 66sen, sold just now at 66sen rclxub.gif
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u Remisier is going to rclxms.gif free commission.

Bursa also rclxm9.gif free Exchange n clearing fees
TSaurora97
post Aug 6 2009, 04:37 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Aug 6 2009, 04:30 PM)
Cross the line whistling.gif
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no worries, everyone makes mistakes (i dont know whether urs is not prolly u have ur own reasons) once in a while... but mine was certified stupidity on my part

i remember dogkey ages ago i bought Kwantas for some reason unknow (prolly itchy hands), 2 days later it declared dividend..

i was like wtf, sold it two days later lost 0.10c x 50 lots + Ech + Clearing + Com= doh.gif doh.gif doh.gif

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 6 2009, 04:38 PM
TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:19 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 7 2009, 10:04 AM)
At last, Axiata overtook TM
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u spoke too soon

TM leading


Added on August 7, 2009, 10:20 am
QUOTE(aurora97 @ Aug 7 2009, 10:19 AM)
u spoke too soon

TM leading
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walau Axiata shooting like rocket (DAP)!

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 7 2009, 10:20 AM
TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Aug 7 2009, 10:22 AM)
does TM pay good dividend ? Im considering to keep it for dividend..
from growth now may become my dividend stock liao..  doh.gif


Added on August 7, 2009, 10:23 am

05/08/2010.. checked at announcment
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they merely reaffirmed their dividend policy last yr, but as a good dividend.. well really depends on profits...

if not for gov projects dont think TM can sustain their dividend policies.
TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:28 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 7 2009, 10:25 AM)
TM 3.03 VS Axiata 3.08
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cry.gif why why why cry.gif

well i guess i can't complain too much, i am still high on capital repayment (it is noteworthy this monies came froam Axiata) rclxms.gif
TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:43 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 7 2009, 10:29 AM)
Or maybe Digi


Added on August 7, 2009, 10:32 am
I think jz sooner or later, Axiata will collapse. I dun think they will be announcing very good quarterly report. Summore they plan to raise more right issue. Dunno what happen to this company. Anyway Celcom 3G sux in my area
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fact is i never liked TM or Axiata.. both of them sux.

Due to obvious unfair advantage and potential money making opp, i am inclined to invest in both of this companies...


TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(! Love Money @ Aug 7 2009, 10:39 AM)
noted... but when they will pay dividend? hmm.gif
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"historically" it looks like Feb and Aug is the period where they announce their dividend pay out...

remembering no so long ago they affirm their commitment to payout dividend (as to when and how much, remains a question?).
TSaurora97
post Aug 7 2009, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 7 2009, 10:48 AM)
Before joining wif Celcom, payout is about 10cents for August


Added on August 7, 2009, 10:50 am
Maybe they met General Bull half-way, and got annihilated by him alone leh tongue.gif
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i bet now is about 0.001c... sigh* as token sum

TM shud have Taken Celcom and left TMI to rot under the sun.

TM is stuck again at 3.03.. doh.gif

This post has been edited by aurora97: Aug 7 2009, 10:52 AM

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