QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 17 2009, 10:48 PM)
I believe these banks continue to cook the books, sometimes to make it look better for the quarterly results.
The thing that really make it better for them during the last two quarters, there was a lot of mortgages
re-adjustment that basically help them to bring in more revenues. After that has subsided and if the economy
doesn't improve, housing sale doesn't pickup, I'm don't think there will be up trending from here.
Anyway, for some reason today, Oil is trading higher tonight. Back up above $63.
It may go to $65 by next week if there's any more worry about commodity.
Oil was lagging a bit during the this week run up.. now seems to pick up a bit
Sometimes, Oil doesn't follow stocks, sometimes it run on its own. Completely unpredictable.
So much for fear of oversupply now.
I'm sure some banks and other corporations use "creative accounting' to massage their results...it's amazingly easy to do under current accounting rules despite Sarbane-Oxley and the other legislation. "it all depends how you look at it................"
Oil is a mystery to me. But when you look at the producer countries (Russia, OPEC, Venezuela etc.) you can see that they have absolutely no interest in CO prices much below $70.00 in the medium term. I think the world economy can live with oil at around that price. The people who need to be taken out of the equation are the speculators - as President Obama also pointed out recently.
I agree with you about the fundamentals (US/UK housing market is in the toillet; unemployment will rise dramatically in the west; the unexploded derivatives time-bomb - still ticking away etc.).
But if we can turn a penny or two on the markets before the ultimate collapse - then so be it. All cash may be worthless soon anyway.
I am stocking up on krugerrands, canned food and ammunition for when the real **** hits the fan......