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 Stock Market V32 : The Transformers Return, aka V28 SE: Mini-Bull or Baby Bear?

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VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 10:38 AM

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Nampaknya morning session HSI is sustainable....Probably look at folks coming in to push CI up green.... hmm.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 2 2009, 11:12 AM)
talk about sponsoring the lost

last time i used to "gamble" (yah i call it that way) with the money that i do not have
like moorish case, buy alot, hoping for rebound to earn peanuts, and alot of times i got back-fired, no money to pick up, thick face and confront with dad, dad is soooooo kind, he said come, i pick up for you.

i accepted his offer once. relief because dad saved my ass...
not long later, greeds kick in, i repeat the same mistake again. i share with dad, dad so sayang me, he offered to help me pick up again, i stopped him, i told him i wouldnt grow up if he continues to "help" me in that way. so i bear my own mistake, i cut loss and treat it as my punishment.

right now, i always tell myself, play within your own means. no money to pick up, don't buy.

and yes, i am thankful that i am more discipline right now. biggrin.gif
*
Hehehe...I can relate to this story, except that in the instance i made the loss, my dad did not cover me...Came out of my own pocket and really helps me to not make stupid "greedy" mistakes and more discipline... thumbup.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 2 2009, 11:22 AM)
oh 72 sens now.

me thinking of waiting for 70 or 6x  hmm.gif
*
Me....Wait for <0.70 smile.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 2 2009, 11:27 AM)
Uh oh.. did you guys see the news State of  California going bankrupt... no money.
Arnold Schwarzenegger may need to go back to make more movies to help out..  biggrin.gif
*
Ya....It was on the news this morning. BBC and CNN....Hahaha....No budget.... sweat.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:30 AM

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Oh oh....Hang Seng en route to the Bears of the Red Army.... shakehead.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(naz_b_85 @ Jul 2 2009, 11:31 AM)
What kinda movies?  brows.gif

Seems too old for another terminator movie and he can't outrun the predator anymore so I guess the only movie left is: "Naughty, naughty governor Vol 1"
*
Ah.....To safe cost hor...All needed some girls and him.....

Maybe he can make his life story....The Arnold Schwarz Story: From Austrian Beefcake to California Governator
Starring, Produced and Directed by Arnold Schwarzenegger....All ticket proceeds will be contributed to Rebuild California Funds Fund....

smile.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(aurora97 @ Jul 2 2009, 11:39 AM)
the assumption is taking the lowest closing pt 0.365 (24/3) and the highest closing price being 0.935 (11/6)...

the avrg should be around 0.65, shud be some support here unless "other" news say otherwise.
*
Makes sense....I have a some lots from 0.625....Now waiting for lower price to average up.....After falling so far still averaging up.... whistling.gif

I was a bit stupid when it reached 0.9x. Not greedy, but stupidly holding on. doh.gif doh.gif doh.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 2 2009, 11:43 AM)
California is the epic center of the housing crisis too..Gov Arnold may want the start fire sale all assets soon
to get more revenue in...

Yeah..Arnold can be the terminator..hate to say this maybe need more celebrity to suddenly die (ahem like MJ) to generate more sales so that they can pop up the economy there.  brows.gif 

I got some friends who are used to live in California decided moved out to cheaper state like Arizona
and New Mexico.. instead, not surprising because everything is so expensive in California.
*
My friends too....I visited California in 2002, 2004, 2006 on company business trip and that time you could see land/house prices skyrocketing and energy costs going through the roof.

Folks no longer wanted to remain there, unless they had lots of $$$. Most of my colleagues ended up moving east to Arizona, New Mexico or north to Oregon and Washington state.
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(aurora97 @ Jul 2 2009, 11:48 AM)
My 2 cents worth...

just set a target for urself, how much do u expect on return like 10%, 30% or even 50% on capital appreciation before u dump the shares. at least when u sell, u can tell urself i sold at a desired price...

its good discipline, although u will have a tendency to miss out on gd opp... or sell to early due to rumour.
*
Thanks for the advice.

I initially bought this share for the dividends. You know, 4/64 or so gives 6.25%. I told myself take dividend and hold until 1 year... doh.gif

When the price went up, I did not know what would be a good TP. I could not find a research write up on it. So I held on until it still go down, follow discipline can hold until shares ex. doh.gif That's when I realized what an errorneous decision that was.

But then, the consolation is still that I will get the dividend. So hold on for now and average when possible smile.gif


Added on July 2, 2009, 1:02 pm
QUOTE(simplesmile @ Jul 2 2009, 12:50 PM)
Anyone have any pre-official news on the unemployment numbers going to be announced by US tonight?
*
Not pre-official, but from CNN. If i have the information, and its going to be official later, i'll put big bets on NYSE tonight. biggrin.gif

The June employment report, due out before the start of trading Thursday, is the week's biggest economic news. Employers are expected to have cut 363,000 jobs from their payrolls after cutting a much smaller-than-expected 345,000 in the previous month

VyvernS notes: This morning one CNBC analysts expects 353,000. (Found it on the website: http://www.cnbc.com/id/31684698 )

Further reports out:

The unemployment rate, generated by a separate survey, is expected to have risen to 9.6% from a 26-year high of 9.4% in May.

Reports are also due on weekly jobless claims and May factory orders.

Friday, NYSE closed for ID4.

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 01:10 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 2 2009, 01:13 PM)
alright folks, the company which pay good dividend is WILLOW (柳谷系统), 20% of devidend. Devidend day is 17 July 2009.

I have few other companies in mind but the newspaper is at home. Let me check it out and share up here.
*
Actually, it is 20% dividend on RM0.10 par share.

So this actually computes to (20/100)/10 = 0.2/10 = RM0.02 (or 2sen) per share dividend.

Its not 20% though, but at current price, of 24 sen, then it will be 2/24 dividend yield per year. Thats about 8.33%. Still ok.

P.S. Still ok is not call to buy... tongue.gif Its offering better than Sukuk. smile.gif

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 01:24 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 2 2009, 01:27 PM)
VyvernS, i confused.

(20/100)/10 = 0.2/10 = RM0.02 (or 2sen) per share dividend---> can explain further?
*
There are two ways company will quote their dividends.....

Either by sen or percentage.

1. By sen - most straightforward. If company A share is RM1.00, then declare 5 sen dividend, dividend yield is 5/100 = 5%.

2. By percentage - bit more confusing. If company B share is RM1.00, then declare 5% dividend, need to see the par value.

Par value reflects the company issued shares.

Sometimes the par value is RM1.00. Other times, will have RM0.50, RM0.20, RM0.10 par value.

If par value is RM1.00, then dividend of 5% is (5/100)/1 = 5sen
If par value is RM0.50, then dividend of 5% is (5/100)/2 = 2.5sen
If par value is RM0.20, then dividend of 5% is (5/100)/5 = 1sen
If par value is RM0.10, then dividend of 5% is (5/100)/10 = 0.5sen

Once you have the sen value, then only calculate the dividend yield.


Added on July 2, 2009, 1:43 pm
QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 2 2009, 01:27 PM)
VyvernS, i confused.

(20/100)/10 = 0.2/10 = RM0.02 (or 2sen) per share dividend---> can explain further?

so let say i bough RM10k of shares, how much of devidend woudl i receive?
*
RM10,000 of shares.

Lets say current price is RM0.25. Then you will have RM10,000/RM0.25 shares = 40,000 shares
RM0.02 per share, so 40,000*RM0.02 = RM800 dividend
Div yield = RM800/RM10,000 * 100 = 8%

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 01:43 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 01:56 PM

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[quote=debbieyss,Jul 2 2009, 01:52 PM]So means, if the par value is RM1, dividend is 20%, and i bought RM10k, i will be having:

RM0.20 (dividend) X RM10K = RM2k?
*

[/quote]

20% per share, so you need to know how many shares you can buy using your RM10k capital.

So lets use RM0.25/share as share price today.

RM10k can buy you 40,000 shares. (RM10,000/RM0.25 = 40,000)

So if par value is RM1, then the dividend will be RM0.20 per share. {(20/100)/1 = RM0.20}

At 40,000 shares, you will have 40,000*RM0.20 = RM8,000

smile.gif


Added on July 2, 2009, 1:55 pmThanks. Just to ask:

Lets say current price is RM0.25. Then you will have RM10,000/RM0.25 shares = 40,000 shares---> how to get RM10,000/RM0.25 = 40,000 shares? The stroke "/" means divided by, no?
*

[/quote]

Yes...the stroke means divide by smile.gif

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 02:00 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 02:10 PM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 2 2009, 02:03 PM)
so every company shares will be having different par value?

Then what's that that determine par value?
*
Yes, different par value, and you can find them stated in the newspaper.

Here are some sites where par value can be described:

http://moneyterms.co.uk/par-value/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Par_value
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(simplesmile @ Jul 2 2009, 02:27 PM)
Hmmm, I really wonder how the jobs data will affect the market. I'm short in futures. Hopes the market tanks big time. If market tanks weak, EPF surely will come support the share prices. Trading futures is so risky. It's not about analyzing economic data, nor about understanding the market sentiment. It's all about knowing the mood of the fund managers (aka EPF and gang), whether they want to buy or not. This interference is very risky to traders who shorts. And my guess is that once the KLCI moves to 30 stocks, manipulation is even easier.
*
I watched CNBC this morning. They brought on two analysts to predict the market trend....Guess what.
One was bearish - sell all, consolidate to defensive play
One was bullish - yes, the market can recover, with better profit reports (ie General Mills), and economic data that is not too bad.

shocking.gif shakehead.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(raymones89 @ Jul 2 2009, 03:00 PM)
Well said.  I suppose you have analysed lots of counters. Whats counters in your portfolio that has strong cashflow and financially  sound. Like you said is not an easy task to find all these out. So perhaps you can share a bit....  notworthy.gif
*
Cherroy one, i think would include Tanjong, Panamy, PPBank?? hmm.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 03:27 PM

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HSI down already in the reds..... doh.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 2 2009, 03:28 PM)
i dun think Cherroy has those 3.
*
Haha....We could create thread game: Guess what stocks Cherroy have. Winner gets to have dinner wif LYN sifu for chit chat. (like the Warren Buffet meal) Hehehe... biggrin.gif

On another topic....the whole world must be just waiting for this US Jobs report...OMG.. doh.gif

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Asia-stocks-...1&asset=&ccode=

This one will probably be a market direction driver tonight... hmm.gif

Can anyone explain the dramatic downfall of HSI today? Open 400 now -177?? shocking.gif

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 03:35 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 03:44 PM

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Europe has opened red and the jobs reports probably will be the one drive the market to holland tonight....

Good luck to all bourses.....KLCI no need to be wished. Can still go up when other bourses go down....Protected by strong jampi spell "p'tooi..p'tooi".... tongue.gif
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 03:49 PM

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Monday.....The Star Biz hardcopy.....has a list of KLCI 100 Top Companies by Market Capitalization smile.gif Every week listed.


Added on July 2, 2009, 3:51 pmOk...Sealink mari mari again already.....Lets see if tomorrow will be 0.6x again.....This time need to sapu dividend still cantik cantik... smile.gif

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 03:55 PM
VyvernS
post Jul 2 2009, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(sjz @ Jul 2 2009, 04:06 PM)
so means it will drop? tongue.gif
you have a good remisier la, at least can give some advice. thumbup.gif
*
My remisier advice not to buy anything. Stay sideline, market in US expected to open and drop..So long bye.gif

On the other hand, i can get some cheap stocks here for good bargain. I may want to look in NYSE for 1 more counter. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by VyvernS: Jul 2 2009, 04:09 PM

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