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 Prices of property still high., When is it going to drop drastically?

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SUSHidan
post Jan 20 2009, 12:12 AM, updated 17y ago

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I have been looking at some houses (2nd hand) since last year November and have held back my purchase since there was news of a property going down this year. But until now still no reduction. I am very curious. Must the economy be worst?
b00n
post Jan 20 2009, 12:51 AM

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You do not expect property price to drop drastically over the night.
When price goes up, you wouldn't see it dropping sharply.

It is however a time to spot seller who is desperate for liquidity i.e. tight on cash and willing to let go at lower than market price.

For instances, if I have a property and also the cash to maintain it; why should I let it go for the price I'm not comfortable with? Get my point?

This post has been edited by b00n: Jan 20 2009, 09:38 AM
Singh_Kalan
post Jan 20 2009, 01:20 AM

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Unlike share, property is not a liquid investment and property transaction is very low compare to share transaction. Meaning what other ppl can get at the price, doesn't mean u can get it too. As the effect of the world recession just begin to hit Malaysia, sooner or later it will as the recession reach its climax, more and more desperate property owner will definitely appear. The bargains will come, u just need to be patient as the current recession may be a long one. wink.gif
Pai
post Jan 20 2009, 01:32 AM

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QUOTE(Hidan @ Jan 20 2009, 12:12 AM)
I have been looking at some houses (2nd hand) since last year November and have held back my purchase since there was news of a property going down this year. But until now still no reduction. I am very curious. Must the economy be worst?
*
It might not even come down. Whats your plan then? wink.gif
n73me
post Jan 20 2009, 08:37 AM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Jan 20 2009, 01:32 AM)
It might not even come down. Whats your plan then?  wink.gif
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stay with the parents / in-laws tongue.gif
jwrx
post Jan 20 2009, 10:13 AM

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The price of property might not have come down, but the cost to loan has...so in a way, the price has come down.

even 1% change in BLR would save you thousands if u are buying a 400K+ property
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post Jan 21 2009, 08:25 AM

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QUOTE(Hidan @ Jan 20 2009, 12:12 AM)
I have been looking at some houses (2nd hand) since last year November and have held back my purchase since there was news of a property going down this year. But until now still no reduction. I am very curious. Must the economy be worst?
*
which area you're referring?

goldfries
post Jan 21 2009, 08:38 AM

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and how about rental? I'm looking at some houses at the moment but I wonder if the rental rate is going to drop (e.g. owner being desperate to get tenant) - then there's also the thought of demand sustaining the rental rate.

what do you guys think?
Pai
post Jan 21 2009, 10:02 AM

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goldfries,

My feel is that in general, rentals has been on the rise since 2006, epecially for budget properties (rentals of 2.5k and below) located nearby LRTs, with decent ammenities available.
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post Jan 21 2009, 11:46 AM

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go to penang, a lot of properties are suffering especially shop houses... eventually next year housing will follow suit.

it is not that the prices in other places are not dropping. jsut that u ugys wont notice it because instaed of direct house price drop, the currency value drops so everything else drops with it.
walle
post Jan 21 2009, 01:54 PM

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QUOTE(goldfries @ Jan 21 2009, 08:38 AM)
and how about rental? I'm looking at some houses at the moment but I wonder if the rental rate is going to drop (e.g. owner being desperate to get tenant) - then there's also the thought of demand sustaining the rental rate.

what do you guys think?
*
Rental at high end properties especially Mont' Kiara started to drop as more and more expatriates return to their respective country without complete or renew their tenancy contract. Some owner start looking for new tenant now with lower rental.
goldfries
post Jan 21 2009, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Jan 21 2009, 10:02 AM)
goldfries,

My feel is that in general, rentals has been on the rise since 2006, epecially for budget properties (rentals of 2.5k and below) located nearby LRTs, with decent ammenities available.
*
thanks. cos I'm looking at DPC rentals and was wondering by any chance it would drop. (yes. reading the DPC thread too)

QUOTE(walle @ Jan 21 2009, 01:54 PM)
Rental at high end properties especially Mont' Kiara started to drop as more and more expatriates return to their respective country without complete or renew their tenancy contract. Some owner start looking for new tenant now with lower rental.
i asked around about the Sri Hartamas area, that Jalan Beringin new houses, Semi-Ds. rental is astronomical IMO, like towards 5 digits or more.

Pai
post Jan 21 2009, 05:48 PM

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QUOTE(goldfries @ Jan 21 2009, 04:11 PM)
thanks. cos I'm looking at DPC rentals and was wondering by any chance it would drop. (yes. reading the DPC thread too)
i asked around about the Sri Hartamas area, that Jalan Beringin new houses, Semi-Ds. rental is astronomical IMO, like towards 5 digits or more.
*
I dont get it. If you r looking for rental income, why target DPC props and Sri Hartamas Semi-Ds? hmm.gif
Playbook
post Jan 21 2009, 07:42 PM

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QUOTE(Hidan @ Jan 20 2009, 12:12 AM)
I have been looking at some houses (2nd hand) since last year November and have held back my purchase since there was news of a property going down this year. But until now still no reduction. I am very curious. Must the economy be worst?
Perhaps, the price descent is not in the area you are looking at.

Property prices e.g. luxury condominiums are down about 30-40% from their peak in certain parts of the Golden Triangle and other premium areas. There's about 40% occupancy rate in some of the luxury condominiums that have received their CFs within the last year. Note: This is not a recommendation to buy those devalued units. This is probably just a natural correction as some of those earlier prices were overhyped. I understand that it's just a simple matter of overseas buyers not being present like before. A number of overseas buyers have chosen to forfeit their deposits, for example.

I think someone said it wisely - Don't try to time it perfectly.
Pai
post Jan 21 2009, 07:46 PM

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think the prices will hold or even increase in the wake of the recent massive BLR cut smile.gif

*not applicable for speculative areas (KLCC, MK, Bukit Bintang) though
Playbook
post Jan 21 2009, 07:48 PM

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QUOTE(walle @ Jan 21 2009, 01:54 PM)
Rental at high end properties especially Mont' Kiara started to drop as more and more expatriates return to their respective country without complete or renew their tenancy contract. Some owner start looking for new tenant now with lower rental.
Exactly! That's why in my previous post I also highlighted that the transaction prices have come down 30-40% in some cases, falling below developer prices.

I was surprised TS mentioned that prices hadn't dropped, and I surmise it's because TS was looking at certain areas which (in a previous posting, I can't remember where) I had highlighted that areas that are resilient to price drops will be those with a strong local component with mainly buyers-buying-to-stay.

You are going to see price drops & price volatility where:
(1) Rentals by an expatriate community engaged in certain vulnerable economic sectors (e.g. electronics)
(2) Properties that have been purchased by a large percentage of speculative buyers (e.g. where you find a high % of instances where more than 3 units in a development purchased by a single buyer)

If TS is looking at properties situated in demand-resilient areas, e.g. where tenants may appear to be invulnerable to the downturn, or few speculative buyers, you are not going to see the volatility in the transaction prices.
Playbook
post Jan 21 2009, 07:50 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Jan 21 2009, 07:46 PM)
think the prices will hold or even increase in the wake of the recent massive BLR cut smile.gif

*not applicable for speculative areas (KLCC, MK, Bukit Bintang) though
Agreed. Actually, that's what the real estate market has been feeding back too. Those areas above are where the 30-40% cited price drops are occurring. It still may not have fallen far enough to hit fair value, cos we did have quite a run-up previously.
goldfries
post Jan 21 2009, 08:51 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Jan 21 2009, 05:48 PM)
I dont get it. If you r looking for rental income, why target DPC props and Sri Hartamas Semi-Ds? hmm.gif
*
huh? no la. i'm not looking for rental income. biggrin.gif just scouting around where's a good place to shift to, posting some details i found here and there.

so happen talking thread about property price still high, so was wondering of the possibility of future economic downturn resulting in depreciation of land value, thus lowering rental. or in some cases, desperate people who just want tenant and forced to reduce rental.

stuff like that.
merce
post Jan 21 2009, 09:51 PM

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huh? no la. i'm not looking for rental income. biggrin.gif just scouting around where's a good place to shift to, posting some details i found here and there.

so happen talking thread about property price still high, so was wondering of the possibility of future economic downturn resulting in depreciation of land value, thus lowering rental. or in some cases, desperate people who just want tenant and forced to reduce rental.

stuff like that.


there will be desperate ppl trying to sell of their property at time like these, but even more ppl taking the oppertunity to purchase a property with the new OPR adjustment... so keep your eyes open. nod.gif

I'm on the hunt currently xD



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pilotHans
post Jan 24 2009, 06:22 PM

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eyeing in property in bdr putra permai/equine park.....a bit dissapointed the alam santuary 315k + leasehold tak turun2 harga dry.gif also eyeing property in kota warisan....hope the 200k pricetag for the semi-D will drop hmm.gif
ahming
post Jan 24 2009, 07:34 PM

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QUOTE(pilotHans @ Jan 24 2009, 06:22 PM)
eyeing in property in bdr putra permai/equine park.....a bit dissapointed the alam santuary 315k + leasehold tak turun2 harga dry.gif also eyeing property in kota warisan....hope the 200k pricetag for the semi-D will drop  hmm.gif
*
Alam Sanctuary is no longer 315k bro. Last time i checked they only have 2 units of double story terrace itermediate units left for Phase 2 selling for 343k. Phase 3 onwards are superlinks and semi Ds. Highly doubt you can find anything for below 400k. Most landed properties in Sri Kembangan area are in fact lease hold and the prices have been inflated by the JJ around and the proposed transportation hub. Not too bad for a place that used to be a dump side many many years ago.

pilotHans
post Jan 26 2009, 02:01 AM

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QUOTE(ahming @ Jan 24 2009, 07:34 PM)
Alam Sanctuary is no longer 315k bro. Last time i checked they only have 2 units of double story terrace itermediate units left for Phase 2 selling for 343k. Phase 3 onwards are superlinks and semi Ds. Highly doubt you can find anything for below 400k. Most landed properties in Sri Kembangan area are in fact lease hold and the prices have been inflated by the JJ around and the proposed transportation hub. Not too bad for a place that used to be a dump side many many years ago.
*

cry.gif cry.gif cry.gif so overpriced! shakehead.gif so, is they any 2nd hand house that's worth and below 250k around here? putra perdana or whatsoever unsure.gif
ahming
post Jan 26 2009, 09:57 PM

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QUOTE(pilotHans @ Jan 26 2009, 02:01 AM)
cry.gif  cry.gif  cry.gif so overpriced!  shakehead.gif  so, is they any 2nd hand house that's worth and below 250k around here? putra perdana or whatsoever  unsure.gif
*
You can still find landed properties around Sri Kembangan for less than 250K MYR such as Puncak Jalil and Lestari Puchong. However i would not go near them if I were you. Do some research if you would like to know why.
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post Jan 26 2009, 10:07 PM

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keep an eye out for properties in the lelong pages of the newspapers. sometimes, a good one comes up every now and then.
DannyOP
post Jan 27 2009, 10:01 PM

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QUOTE(Hidan @ Jan 20 2009, 12:12 AM)
I have been looking at some houses (2nd hand) since last year November and have held back my purchase since there was news of a property going down this year. But until now still no reduction. I am very curious. Must the economy be worst?
*
prices of properties will only go down generally 1 year after recession. People will liquidate other assets which are easier to dispose off first eg. shares, unit trust then only other assets. 2nd hand properties will be the first to be affected during recession. However for new properties, they are planned 2 years ahead so don't expect much changes for newly completed properties. When the properties were planned 2 years ago, they are still planning against a robust economy.
cwtien
post Jan 28 2009, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(ahming @ Jan 24 2009, 07:34 PM)
Alam Sanctuary is no longer 315k bro. Last time i checked they only have 2 units of double story terrace itermediate units left for Phase 2 selling for 343k. Phase 3 onwards are superlinks and semi Ds. Highly doubt you can find anything for below 400k. Most landed properties in Sri Kembangan area are in fact lease hold and the prices have been inflated by the JJ around and the proposed transportation hub. Not too bad for a place that used to be a dump side many many years ago.
*
Now now, Seri Kembangan is much much bigger than Equine Park. The area around Equine Park is mostly leasehold, but I believe from Taman Universiti onwards to Serdang Lama it's mostly freehold (except for Mines, Serdang Perdana, and isolated developments). My area (Bukit Serdang) is mostly freehold.

P.S. Seri Kembangan is an area where you can consider people purchase to stay in. The prices are very inelastic....I haven't seen any drops.
realmcord80
post Feb 1 2009, 09:09 PM

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Tunggu banjir....maybe then the price will drop. brows.gif
zulizo
post Feb 2 2009, 03:27 PM

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the price of used properties never been drop la as far as i concerned..it will increasing at least 5-10% per year..now, used house price not so far behind the new house price..last year when i surveyed to by house at bangi area, the price all above rm200k..even single stry house cost at least rm140k..after looking around for 6 months, i found single stry corner lot at kajang cost me rm140k..the lowest i can get since the seller desperate for cash money..that time market value is rm180k..
QiQio
post Feb 2 2009, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(b00n @ Jan 20 2009, 12:51 AM)
You do not expect property price to drop drastically over the night.
When price goes up, you wouldn't see it dropping sharply.

It is however a time to spot seller who is desperate for liquidity i.e. tight on cash and willing to let go at lower than market price.

For instances, if I have a property and also the cash to maintain it; why should I let it go for the price I'm not comfortable with? Get my point?
*
I cant agree more...

you need to do extra homework to look for those ppl...i bet thr r and a lot too since the economy crisis haven got worsen...some ppl need to change their properties into cash to relief...

Anyway, i heard the loan interest has lowered rite? and i just dun understand why ppl still dun thing dis is the right time to buy property...? If i have the allocated cash, i might have go for it...:sad:
LittleStrawberry
post Feb 12 2009, 01:51 PM

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i plan to buy a second hand condo at pandan mewah heights, cheras.
the final price i get is 142k where the unit is mostly renovated.
anyone can share your opinion with me whether to buy the unit or not?cuz i heard many people saying that the price of property will decrease this year...
Covillea
post Dec 4 2009, 04:32 PM

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Watch out for the next phase of growth in this "golden triangle" of tyhe Southern Klang Valley Corridor, i.e. from Bukit Jalil (Covillea) to Kinrara, Puchong (The Zest) right up to Seri Kembangan (Alam Sanctuary)! Any properties you buy will surely escalate like mad!!!

Thank you.
scorgio
post Dec 4 2009, 05:52 PM

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The trend now is, young ppl taking up max loan and max repayment period to purchase a property. In other words, taking advantage of the current low interest rates.

But interest rates won't be low forever. When it increases, that's when some overpriced property, price head south.
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post Dec 4 2009, 08:06 PM

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covillea work for berjaya ke?

 

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