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 Stock Market V18, Stock Market Chit Chat

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TSskiddtrader
post Nov 30 2008, 01:34 AM

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I remember researching about IOI and Asiatic. Since last time, whatever the CPO price, IOI is generally priced higher than Asiatic. But this year it's backwards mostly due to IOI's bad investments and problems while Asiatic is a "no news means good news" counter.
TSskiddtrader
post Nov 30 2008, 08:04 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Nov 30 2008, 09:57 AM)
One funny thing about the forumers is they expect only  their shares like YTL Power to go up, but other stocks to drop like stones. biggrin.gif

Correct me if I am wrong.
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Yeah you're wrong. I hope YTLPOWER also drop, so can pick up more. rclxms.gif

The problem is, a lot of nice blue chips is just too stubborn in this crisis.

Unlike the 1997 crash which we are directly affected, this round of financial crisis are just not pushing them down enough. In fact, I believe now that it is quite fruitless to wait for the likes of PBank to drop to below RM5 levels or Genting to drop below RM2. They have enough cash to prop their shares and lack of Foreign ownership to sell them down.

And the fact that most foreign ownerships of stocks remains lower than 1997 levels, there is no way it could drop that far these days. There is no capitulation so the chances of this generation to reap the fruits in 5-10 years time is limited.

I wish there was 10/03/08 every week. brows.gif


TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 1 2008, 04:12 PM)
You can see from the Q orders as well.

Like currently 8xxx 5.10/5.15 4xxx for sime

8xxx consist of 122 orders while 5.15 consist of 20 only.

So buying orders are coming in small chunk.
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Hmmm my OSK does not have the number of orders beside the volumes.

What browser are u using cheeroy?
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 1 2008, 04:20 PM)
IE.

Order numbers are shown in the 5 best Q (buyer and seller) side.
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Hmm mine not showing. Just the normal total volume for each price.

It doesn't say how many orders are making that volume.

You're using what broker system?
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 1 2008, 04:36 PM)
The screenshot
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ahh definitely different broker then.

My OSK looks nothing like that. Too bad, would be a nice feature indeed to be able to see the number of orders that make u the queue.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:42 PM

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Ok 4:41 already, the Closing period for TCP will start in a few minutes at 4:45pm.

Please remember at 4:50pm onwards the prices are fixed.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:48 PM

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Hmmm I think at the moment there won't be trades right for 5 minutes? Only orders can be entered and modified until 4:50pm where theTCP will be shown and whatever is matched is matched before the price is fixed.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 04:54 PM

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Hmm I didn't manage to see the lunch time closing so the end of day closing is interesting to watch indeed. I was watching SIME particularly because the Buy queue at 5.10 was at 5 k volume while the Sell volume at 5.10 is only about 1 k. I was hoping to see a last minute jump in Sell queue to see if it can manipulate the TCP.

But so far seems like a good feature this TCP thing, as it actually shows how the sellers and buyers vie for control in the last minutes of trade. The orders can continuously climb and drop whenever since no trades are done and can be canceled as well.

To watch who will in at the 5.10 price will determine how all the rest of the queues react. Kind of like a strategy game haha

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 1 2008, 04:55 PM
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Dec 1 2008, 05:05 PM)
Even thought i heard that cannot place order at the last 10 mins but i still see the buy/sell Q moving. Can anyone explain ?
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You CAN still BUY and SELL, only the PRICE done is FIXED.


The last 10 minutes of trade can only buy/sell at 1 fixed price, determined by the Theoretical Closing Price(TCP) algorithm which is calculating the TCP from 4:45pm to 4:50pm.

From 4:50 onwards, once the TCP is calculated, ALL trades whether Buy/Sell will be based on that price.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Dec 1 2008, 05:15 PM)
then how we know what price is that?
means the price that we queue is meaningless alr?
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The prices you queue prior to 4:45pm is done normally.

At 4:45pm onwards, no transactions will be done for 5 minutes and all the queues for buy orders and sell orders will be calculated. During this 5 minutes, you can still key in orders, but no transactions will be done.

This is the time you will see the Buy order price and the sell order price is the same.

After 5 minutes at 4:50pm. The TCP will be shown and that would be the fixed price to trade. Any other queue above or below it will not be entertained.

So for the last 10 minutes, you can say the KLCI index is fixed as well because the prices don't move anymore.

Theoretical Closing Price (TCP) is calculated by Bursa Trade algorithm. You can get more info how it is calculated from the Bursa Trade website. There are several videos how the whole thing works.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 1 2008, 05:23 PM
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 05:42 PM

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QUOTE(cute_boboi @ Dec 1 2008, 05:31 PM)
skiddtrader,

Let say example:

4:30PM, I queue buy 100 units @RM0.90

4:44:59PM = RM1.00 trading

4:45pm onwards, TCP and the result is RM0.90

4:50pm what will happen ?

1) My 4:30PM buy 100 units @RM0.90 is done ?
2) My 4:30PM buy is invalid after 4:45PM or 4:50PM ?
3) If not, can cancel the 4:50PM queue at 4:51PM ?
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If your order is matched, then it is matched. If it is not matched and still queuing, the it is up to the TCP algorithm to determine what is the final fixed price would be. If the fixed price is 1.00, then your order wouldn't match. If it is 0.95, it still wouldn't match.

If the TCP is exactly 0.90 like what you queued and there is no sellers queuing, then there is still NO match.


Please don't get confused TCP with order matching.

Order matching is still done the same way, with a willing buyer, willing seller at a right price.

The system will not change your order.

The system will not force sell your order.

The system will match any buy order that has a match with a Sell order, and vice versa.

All the new system does is, freeze transactions for 5 minutes from 4:45 to 4:50pm. Then fixes the price based on Buy/Sell orders in the 5 minutes including new/old/modified orders. From 4:50 onwards if you wish to buy/sell, it is done at the same fixed price.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 05:48 PM

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QUOTE(fergie1100 @ Dec 1 2008, 05:41 PM)
well explanation there..... thumbup.gif
the TCP will be fixed at 1 value after the calculation from 4.45-4.50
how about the TOP? (frm 8.30-9.00 & 2.00-2.30) is the TOP varies in this half an hour?
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In my opinion, TOP didn't really change. Because normally also, today's opening prices is never the same with yesterday's closing prices(ref. price).

And TOP does not fix the opening price unlike closing price. All TOP does is determine the price based on pre-opening queue orders and present it as the opening price for the session, nothing else. And as we all know, opening price doesn't mean anything.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 1 2008, 05:55 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 1 2008, 05:43 PM)
1) Nope, people are trading at 1.00, then how come your 0.90 can be done?
2) All buy and sell orders are still valid and will be used to compute the TCP
3) If the TCP is 0.90, while there is enough seller, then it will be done.


Added on December 1, 2008, 5:45 pm

Skid,
if there is no seller queueing for the 0.90, then TCP won't be at 0.90 in the first place. As TCP is generated with the most transaction that can be carried out ie. there is seller wants to sell at 0.90 in the first place.
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Yeah I know that. If there is a willing seller and willing buyer at a right price. I believe if at the last minute, the Sell order are removed then there will not be any match. Since no transactions are done during the 5 minute lull, you can still cancel your order even though there is a match.


Added on December 1, 2008, 5:59 pm
QUOTE(cute_boboi @ Dec 1 2008, 05:52 PM)
skiddtrader,

Based on (1) above, if there are both buyers and sellers queue at RM0.90 after TCP, means the transaction is automatically matched ? No time for me to cancel buy order ?

cherroy,

1) My 4:30PM buy 100 units @RM0.90 is done @4:50PM after TCP (if there are both buyers and sellers)

2) Ok

3) Any time frame for me to cancel the buy order ?
(i) after 4:45PM
(ii) after 4:50PM
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If you keep your orders, then yes. Trading will resume at 4:50pm, and any orders that can be match at that time are matched immediately.

Please remember, that the system although freezes the transactions, you can still set up buy and sell orders or even cancel your orders. Yes you can cancel your order ANYTIME. No restrictions on orders, you can do whatever you want.


Orders can be canceled anytime. From 4:45 until 5pm. Nothing is stopping you from canceling or modifying. It's just as normal trading.



This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 1 2008, 06:01 PM
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 2 2008, 08:39 AM

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Now watching the pre-opening see got any tug-of-war or not. tongue.gif
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 2 2008, 08:58 AM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Dec 2 2008, 08:46 AM)
why yest DJ drop so many .. only coz shopping report?
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Because the last 5 days before or rises has no fundamental backing. All previous rises were mostly due to Obama's selection and the emotional momentum of the holiday season.

Wah not bad eh I make up something hahaha rclxms.gif

Anyway, I think due to no reason it rose in the first place. Because if everyone is surprised why the DJIA rise when all the data is bad, then definitely it won't last.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 2 2008, 09:06 AM

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wow, AirAsia drop some more to 0.93


TSskiddtrader
post Dec 2 2008, 09:27 PM

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QUOTE(kmarc @ Dec 2 2008, 08:48 PM)
That's the reason why the YTLPOWER-WB went up right?

So what will happen to YTLPOWER and YTLPOWER-WB shares after this?  hmm.gif

Eh? I thought you told me that YTLPOWER-WB was one of your defensive stocks? I also aimed too low....  sad.gif
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It will fly definitely. rclxms.gif
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 3 2008, 08:54 AM

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wirelessdude,

Steady brother, no need to get upset over these small matters. A lot of times, some people may not completely agree or let themselves fully believe what they read as part of their cautious nature.

Though he may doubt what you posted, there is no need a show of hands as I don't think anyone accuses you of being a liar. I generally believe half of what I read on the net as well, no offence to my fellow posters.

Good trades by the way. rclxms.gif
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 3 2008, 09:01 AM

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QUOTE(eltaria @ Dec 3 2008, 08:59 AM)
aren't share buy back one of the good strategies to enhance the returns to existing shareholders?

If they don't need the cash, buying shares back at low prices is a good investment for itself too right?
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They obviously don't know what to do with their cash after buying 2 companies which are linked to the current CEO.
TSskiddtrader
post Dec 3 2008, 02:47 PM

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You 2 former lovers or something? tongue.gif







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