Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 Desa Park City? Anyone?, Price = Comfort?

views
     
Pai
post Dec 21 2008, 02:51 AM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(FirstNoob @ Dec 20 2008, 06:35 PM)
A jam is an "unavoidable" if you are choosing a nice location.. Well, i personally think so.
Lets take Mont Kiara as an example.. when the community increasing overtime, Mont Kiara will eventually become a traffic jam area.
In addition, DPC is located so near to pj and huge shopping center like 1u. Difinitely a nice place to invest! thumbup.gif
*
Mont Kiara today has about 5x the population VS DPC, but conggestion for DPC today worst than MK.

And I tot' MK is nearer to 1U compared to DPC, no? hmm.gif
Pai
post Jan 18 2009, 09:05 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(jwrx @ Jan 18 2009, 06:06 PM)
i fell in love with the place...now trying to get a comercial lot there becasue i see big potential..
*
u r letting your brain or your heart do the talking here? rolleyes.gif
Pai
post Jan 20 2009, 01:15 AM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(jwrx @ Jan 19 2009, 11:00 PM)
agreed about rental yeilds, positive cash flow is more important then % yield. with 20-25% down, 30 year tenure, you can get positive cashflow from Nadia, not much, in the range of 200-500, but still positive.
*
jwrx,

At 90% financing, will the Nadia condo still yields u positive cashflow? Else u could get better COCR elsewhere, no? hmm.gif

Actually went to see DPC about a year ago, liked/loved the place and the concept, even checked Nadia, but I walked away due to :

1. Rental yields is low(I use this and COCR as a basic indicator to see if an investment is a viable one, as "positive cashflow" is rather easily tweaked), plus tenant liquidity was an issue back then. No sure how much things have changed in 1 year, perhaps u could enlighthen us.

2. The whole DPC was relatively empty....... and I came away thinking ppl who bought into DPC are mainly speculators. And developments where the huge majority of the purchasers are speculators dont often ends well, unless u have a big pile of reserves to hold the property for a few years. Think this Nadia subsale upon VP was selling at developers price, and it took more than 1 year before price levels actually took off to a respectable levels.


Anyway, good luck in your hunt wink.gif


Added on January 20, 2009, 1:28 am
QUOTE(Phoeni_142 @ Jan 19 2009, 10:37 PM)
cash flow is the most important metric to me - not yield.  Just my own personal view - too much emphasis given on yield sometimes, and it's over-rated.  So what if the unit yields 13%? That metric only holds water if u buy 100% cash. 
*
Mate,

Cash-flow numbers could be "tweaked" as well . Personally would use COCR as the best indicator evaluate any investment opportunity.

wink.gif

This post has been edited by Pai: Jan 20 2009, 01:28 AM
Pai
post Jan 20 2009, 01:55 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(Phoeni_142 @ Jan 20 2009, 01:08 PM)
Mate,

1.  Who says I "tweak" my cash flow? Sendiri Shiok - cheat myself? For what?

2.  Don't know what u are getting at - Maybe I was speaking too loosely then - COCR is the most important metric for me anyway - i just summarized it as CF (If u read my previous posts on other topics - I've always advocated COCR.  By the way - +ve CF is a variable which u use in your COCR computation anyway.  I only put a maximum 10% down. - So the COCR will tend to take care of itself.

*
Mate,

1. I never said u did it, im just sharing what I know on cashflow as not many ppl realised that one can always tweak and rationalise cashflow even on lousy investments smile.gif

2. We r on the same page on COCR. While COCR is the best measure to calculate ROI, again i'd like to highlight that one can always tweak the variables that form COCR. Someone I knew even able to get above 50℅ COCR p/a, and I doubt that this is replicable to everyone who bought the same development.


Added on January 20, 2009, 3:43 pm
QUOTE(vreis @ Jan 20 2009, 10:17 AM)
You should take a look at it now. It'll answer the bold part.

As for ur previous post on the traffic jam, I seriously doubt there is traffic congestion there except in Jln Kuching towards Kl during peak hour. Other than that the LDP seems fine even during peak hour. Anyway, since you are not living there, how would you know there isn't other accesses?
I ain't speculators or investors but I live near DPC for a long time, funny how i never experience those traffic congestion that u mentioned.
*
I dont live nearby so Im not sure what is the normal day's traffic's condition. I went to DPC from 1U on a weekend a year ago, and the traffic wasnt very smooth. Maybe it was an exception, I dunno.

And FYI, im saying that its more congested VS MK, despite the fact that MK has much more population. Perhaps this is due to MK's better accesibility. Hope this clarifies wink.gif

This post has been edited by Pai: Jan 20 2009, 03:43 PM
Pai
post Jan 21 2009, 10:37 AM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(jwrx @ Jan 21 2009, 09:54 AM)
But thats not taking into account 2 facts.

1) COCR isnt our main criteria, we only want positive cash flow for a few years b4 we move in and sell/rent our DK property

2) question of availability, 1-2 years down the road, might come the point where 900k wont be able to get you nadia

*
jwrx,

1. The only reason why you r getting positive cashflow is due to the large d/p (aka tweaking cashflow). At 90% financing its a negative cashflow deal. Explains the super low COCR.

2. If the economy tanks, you still think there's ppl who would pay 1mil for a gated DS ini Kepong? If DS in Kepong drops to 300k levels, this Nadia could potentially be worth only 600k, assuming ppl

Well, I stand by my thoughts that DPC is a speculative investment, with strong support by the developer. Real value will prevail once there are no more new projects in DPC, and we'll see if current "market" value holds. You r buying a DSL today for a close to 1mil, with the anticipation that its price will continue to rise over the medium term. Its a very,very risky thing to do IMO, with your odds is just slightly better than playing a high stake poker game.

My 2 cents wink.gif


Added on January 21, 2009, 10:40 am
QUOTE(Phoeni_142 @ Jan 20 2009, 11:56 PM)

Are u sure u are quoting me the right variables here?  PS - if u really want to be prudent - your COCR must at least be double that of the FD Rate.  I aim for COCR of at least 25%.

*
My exact thoughts, altho I would be contented if I could get anything above 15% p/a. Anything above that is a big fat bonus.

This post has been edited by Pai: Jan 21 2009, 10:40 AM
Pai
post Jan 21 2009, 12:38 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(Phoeni_142 @ Jan 21 2009, 11:32 AM)
Personally, I only focus on COCR.  That is of paramount importance to me.  I have always said this quote - and i'll say it again.  "Appreciation in your properties is an ancillary benefit of ownership". 
*
Mark of a true investor. notworthy.gif
Pai
post Jan 23 2009, 06:39 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(jchong @ Jan 22 2009, 04:46 PM)
Thanks for sharing your examples. Those are indeed good investments you've made. Your examples also bring to mind what someone once told me that you can get very good return from 'cheap' properties.

From this forum I've also learned to evaluate my investments using COCR. Some questions relating to your examples above: (i) should the cost of furnishing be included in the COCR calculation?, (ii) similarly what about other one time costs incurred like lawyer's fees for loan & SPA plus stamping duty?

Anyway, one example from me: 20'x75' shophouse in Ipoh (new). Price 332K, loan taken 90%. Rental = 2,900 Mortgage = 2,000. Gross COC return = 32%.
*
A sample of calculation involving COCR :





Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Pai
post Jan 24 2009, 08:49 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



QUOTE(Phoeni_142 @ Jan 24 2009, 03:25 AM)
Mr. Pai - thanks for the teh tarik session! Next time on me, ok? It was good to learn a few tricks from you....

I think your spreadsheet is comprehensive.  I use a similar template, but with just some slight differences in format.
*
No prob, learnt few new things as well. wink.gif

Btw, can show a copy of your investment analysis sheet? Wanna see the diff between our tempates tongue.gif
Pai
post Jan 27 2009, 12:33 PM

~ Billionaire in training ~
*******
Senior Member
3,318 posts

Joined: Dec 2004
From: 1Malaysia



if its too good to be true, then it usually is.

We saw what happened in KLCC and MK wink.gif

This post has been edited by Pai: Jan 27 2009, 12:42 PM

 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0327sec    0.40    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 3rd December 2025 - 09:42 PM