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 Property in Economy Crisis, What will happen to property market?

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cherroy
post Oct 11 2008, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(gkl83 @ Oct 11 2008, 11:31 AM)
if economy recessions hiked, everything will be less demand and material price increased... by common sense new property price wont drop... the common issues during recession is on the Bank Negara Malaysia side... the BNM's BLR will increase (current 6.75%) for sure, maybe 8%++ later? and for sure bank wont offer fixed interest rate even again for now... overall only the bank interest will killing you but bank still will reduce the little of interest rate for u during recession, if unlucky that ur company going to fire some staffs to cut cost, u will having big problem that jobless but need to pay house installment...

actually if u wanna to buy a new house, the best may early of this year before petrol hike... quite a lot of house price increased because of petrol, transportation and material... but if u dont mind for old houses, u can get it quite easily during economy recession bcos some investors may loss money that time and selling their house to cover their loss... smile.gif
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Above really a puzzling statement. rclxub.gif

If economy will go into recession, demand will less, with less demand how can materials price being increased? It doesn't make sense.

When economy is heading into recession, the only way of interest rate is heading is down, BLR will be reduced as BNM or central banks will reduce the interest rate to spur the economy (that's what happening now globally especially in US).


cherroy
post Oct 11 2008, 02:31 PM

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QUOTE(hanif444 @ Oct 11 2008, 11:44 AM)
but now material cost already gone down,are we get discounted new housing price too?...dun think so..
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Unlikely in near term, you need to have significant lesser demand and higher supply that pressure the developer then probably you will get discount for the new house price.
Do remember last time round of petrol hike did increase the overall inflation situation quite severely which impact the cost structure in all sector from labour cost, to foods cost which history show those kind of cost structure is non-elastic aka go up, won't come down one. The basic material cost might be coming down, but others cost might not. (even your TNB bill won't come down even though oil price has dropped significantly already).

Demand of property won't suddenly died off, demand will match employment situation and economy condition which somehow is a bit lagging indicator. You won't see immediate impact.
cherroy
post May 31 2009, 05:14 PM

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General discussion about properties price, trend, situation is being discussed in a pinned thread. http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/741185/+360

That's why this thread is idle.

So please proceed posting the above mentioned thread.

Thanks.

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