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Financial Is property going to drop?, General property price discussion

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hakon
post Sep 14 2010, 08:35 AM

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QUOTE(Onemorething @ Sep 14 2010, 04:08 AM)
...RE is not liquid so just say no!...
you serious? don't invest in real estate because it is not liquid? kakaka...
hakon
post Sep 22 2010, 05:11 PM

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any idea if loans for commercial property will be affected too?
hakon
post Sep 22 2010, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Sep 19 2010, 05:50 AM)
...5.  Like everything else, property market follows a cycle. Eventually, a crash will happen and you'll be proven right. When it does, majority of the properties will drop in prices. This we all know. But there will be some properties resilent enough, and resist the drop. So since this is a property investors forum and not a "bad news" forum and since your goodself is also an investor..............care to share which properties you think will be worth holding through out the drop? 
...

but it seems that this cycle is very very long... when did the up-swing start? it's been a long while and has not shown serious signs of reversing... smile.gif

also, bubble or not, it will only burst if majority of buyers are speculators who cannot hold... i think there are some such speculators around but i also think a huge portion of buyers are investors who can also hold if prices drop...

so i personally think that there may be a small down-swing... but it will not be a crash.

wink.gif
hakon
post Sep 22 2010, 10:41 PM

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QUOTE(ahter @ Sep 22 2010, 10:58 PM)
worth to buy new landed property which is under construction now (due for completion in the next 1.5 years) or better wait for correction to happen to those secondary properties ???
*
i was told back in (around) 96 that property prices have gone up too high... i remember that time i wanted to get my first property in usj16... then a few years later they said property prices have gone crazy when damansara utama and bander utama start going to around rm400k... and a few years later when i wanted to buy esplanad at rm500+, they said crazy for bukit jalil... then they said crazy at rm400 for kinrara 9... so far everyone keep saying crazy crazy crazy.... but those who bought anyway can laugh their way to the bank now...

in fact just last year i wanted to get a unit in mutiara bukit jalil for rm580k and in sutera bukit jalil for around rm800k... both i didn't proceed...

but i did get some others which are doing ok too... biggrin.gif

i'm not saying it won't crash... we just don't know when... so buy if you feel the property and price is right...

This post has been edited by hakon: Sep 22 2010, 10:43 PM
hakon
post Sep 25 2010, 12:18 PM

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gomen talk talk now... but i suspect still internal discussion and arguments... probably (my opinion only) announce in the budget for next year in october.

i think a lot to consider... e.g. i have 1 property (my own name) and 1 property (share with wife). if wife and i want to buy a new property, is that considered 3rd property for me and 2nd property for wife? if want to take shared loan, how? kekeke...
hakon
post Sep 27 2010, 01:31 PM

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actually, i asked some loan officers before... the general rule ranges between 33% to 40% some banks allow up to 40%.

however, if you are one of the high earners (e.g. 20-30k a month), the banks will relax the limit for you... but this one got no fixed guidelines... go case by case...

*the above is only what i hear from the bank officers - i cannot confirm true or not*
hakon
post Sep 27 2010, 10:38 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 27 2010, 08:30 PM)
hakon,

If that is TRUE, the most likely REAL ESTATE BUBBLE in Malaysia will be in the high end....

Dreamer
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that's what most people will think... but let me ask you.... what percentage of working population earn less than rm20k a month and what percentage earns more than rm20k a month?

so where do you think the bubble is? wink.gif
hakon
post Oct 1 2010, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(lowyat888 @ Oct 1 2010, 11:19 AM)
...I don’t see how paying double the rent amount to a bank to service the interest is not a waste of money...


err... capital appreciation? whistling.gif
hakon
post Oct 1 2010, 05:47 PM

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QUOTE(Onemorething @ Oct 1 2010, 11:41 AM)
I see the developers are now commenting  wink.gif
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nope... i'm just a plain old investor... just like you guys... i have a full-time day job... not even in the real estate business... cool2.gif

QUOTE(wwwcomment @ Oct 1 2010, 11:49 AM)
how about corrections?  whistling.gif
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possible... but i was giving a reason why people invest even though sometimes the monthly installments are more than the rental returns...
hakon
post Oct 4 2010, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Oct 4 2010, 11:57 AM)
This guy is an idiot  sweat.gif
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kekeke... you are much more direct than me... at least when i replied to him, i was polite... smile.gif
hakon
post Oct 4 2010, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(eugene jk @ Oct 4 2010, 06:11 PM)
...
Where is ur reply? got link ah?  drool.gif
*
post 1046 of this thread... smile.gif
hakon
post Nov 1 2010, 10:14 PM

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those who think property going to drop, continue to wait on the side... those who think property going to continue escalating, buy buy buy...

personally, i have been waiting for property to drop for a long time... never went down. last year i whack 2 biji condos... both have gone up in value by quite a lot... even if slup, i think won't go below what i put in... so to each, his own.
hakon
post Nov 25 2010, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Nov 24 2010, 07:01 PM)
Not discouraging, infact I admire people who takes WELL CALCULATED RISK. Basically :

1. The bold are an informed bunch who understands the risks & rewards, then proceed to buying.

2. The bodoh know half of the story or less but buy anyway driven primarily by the herd.

U see, both did the exact same action but one fella will suffer once the market heads south..............
*
err... if market heads south, both suffer la... the bold and well-informed who masuk also kena... whistling.gif
hakon
post Dec 5 2010, 08:43 PM

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definitely too soon to tell... but i'll ask anyway...

anyone notice any real effect of the 70% lvr? any slowdowns?
hakon
post Jan 3 2011, 07:27 PM

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QUOTE(Veda @ Jan 3 2011, 02:50 PM)
Well, I've never felt any guilt over my investments. I'm not into philosophy, which I regard as a waste of time. All I want is is make enough money to retire young and wealthy cause I hate working for people.

Those putting their hopes on a market crash are playing a losers' game. There's been no property market crash for 25 years .... even in 97/98, prices didn't drop drasticaaly enuff to qualify as a crash. In the meantime, inflation will erode their savings while property prices keep going up  and up, eventually going beyond their ability to buy.
*
couldn't agree more... i'm not saying we are correct... never know where the wind will blow... but i'm putting my bets like you... smile.gif
hakon
post Jan 6 2011, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(TheDoer @ Jan 5 2011, 12:46 PM)
When we say "below market price" sometimes it's a little bit tricky...

Does the market price, refer to the inflated property market price?  or the actual market price?

Does the market price, refer to what you can afford vs what other people who are not as financially sound is able to afford?

...

market price is what the market will pay... i.e. how much you can sell it off later... nothing to do with your perceptions or what you can afford... wink.gif
hakon
post Feb 3 2011, 02:15 PM

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QUOTE(airline @ Feb 2 2011, 10:20 PM)
bandar puteri got shoplot bubble in 2009 and mont kiara in 2010?
mont kiara got meh?
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Care to share about the bubble in bandar puteri?
hakon
post Feb 5 2011, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(property101 @ Feb 5 2011, 11:34 PM)
talking to my uncle....
his perception is buy condo (Sanderson) now at 3xxk, after completion sell at 500k
i see the way he was talking is like property will surely go up up up....

without using any sophisticated theory and calculation, it's easy to spot a bubble burst is very soon when aunty uncle believe it will up up up....

it happened exactly the same during 2007-2008 when everyone was buying unit trust
wink.gif
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kekeke... this is the first time i heard of unit trust bubble... and it happened in 2007-2008? doh.gif

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