QUOTE(gamenoob @ Mar 5 2009, 08:11 AM)
Its very low %tage, speculator have zero loan for their units. Yes, the BLR has come down and allowing a lower repayment, but if their main income is lowering beyond the blr reduction gain, they will let go eventually. Those that zero loan, may not be speculator. COuld be old money or inherited properties in no rush to sell. If one is willing to keep the house empty unrented and unsold for a full year despite a lowered selling price offered, must be either a complete ignorant fool or super rich, got nothing better to do than keeping existing properties and let it sit idle. If the offer price is not too low (breaching his/her oppty cost), they should sell it off and pour the money into other investment instrument. Although FD is the worst investment tool there is for comparison. Even selling it off cash at RM780K for that properties in TTDI, even at lousy 2.5%, that is RM19.5K a year. Assuming that they are not capital gain tax or any other cost involved further on the selling. Beside an empty house can be subjected to some cost that will seriously devalue the property especially unkempt or poorly maintained. And in 5 years, that is 100K gain! Houses in TTDI may have great holding value, but they do not gain rapidly either. Same goes for established neigborhood, they just gain slowly but steadily. As long as the gain exceed other oppty cost that the owner contend with, its unlikely to be sold.
Prime and established area may have less drops but keep your eye open, you will see some good oppty. Of course, the near completed project especially those speculated one, the developer are throwing in goodies like waived S&P, stamping, extra parking lot, etc etc. That can be a good chunk off your acquisition cost.
Got friend on property and development business, the impression and outlook from them is not pretty. They are facing a very tight credit from bank and new phases unable to be launched due all the down factors.
They seems to be expected a worsening nos from Q3 onward.
Hi, Mr. Gamenoob.
I appreciate the diversity of your comments. I do disagree with some of your points, but I think you made good points as well.
1. I am very, very, very particular when it comes to landed. I view prop's as a "centric" core concept. The core holds the country's most mass affluent crowd.
In general, areas that go further from this centric core tend to command a lower premium. If you're talking about residential prime landed properties in Selangor - the centric core to me is the
Damansara area. That would include BU, DJ, DU, AD, TTDI, Mutiara D'sara, Kota D, Bukit D'sara. TTDI is not classified as D'sara per se - but is just fronting DU, so i hv put it in. Don't nit pick pls - there are areas like DPC which are doing phenomenally well. I'm talking about things in general, all things being equal.
2. IMHO - this is where the majority of the mass affluent of the country reside at. (Mass affluent individuals have avg household incomes of at least RM 10K p. mth). Don't nit pick....I didn't say super rich....I said mass affluent.
They are middle to upper middle class residents, have stable and good backgrounds, good mix of white collar and entrepreneurs. They also have their fair share millionaires and retirees. Many middle class families with young children aspire to move here. These areas have zero tolerance for speculators. They do not have fancy state of the art "guarded compounds" with nice landscaping - but they are proud of their homes. They have strong resident societies. They hire their own private guards to patrol the area. They construct their own boom gates. 3.
It is home to 400,000 mass affluent individuals. The core of the mass affluent is here. The most integrated commercial centers, shopping malls and businesses is here. You cannot replicate an area like this overnight - despite any fancy landscaping, freebies thrown in, or financing schemes from newer areas. 4. My friend, the power of
leverage helps people like me get a phenomenal return in the areas described above - despite the "slow gain" in price. Don't want to quote the math here - too much to write.
5. Don't bang me guys. Just my own personal opinion and philosophy. As I mentioned, I'm very particular when it comes to landed. I stay away from Under Con prop's - despite freebies thrown in etc.....I will only stick to my opinion of the mass affluent core areas. I may lose out in other UC areas....but so be it. From a risk-return perspective - i'd rather be an expert in the areas above, plus it suits my investment philosophy.
cheers.
This post has been edited by Phoeni_142: Mar 5 2009, 02:11 PM