QUOTE(Onemorething @ Aug 23 2010, 08:34 PM)
Let's take stock of the western world which dictates "at least for now" where we are headed based on the ecomony.
Conceived in the optimistic haze of a post-war world, raised amid continuous inflation, growth and creation of suburbs, Boomers were the best-educated, healthiest, most urbane, materialistic and narcissistic generation ever. It was all about them. Still is. And their RE.
And this is a problem.
More than half of this 30% of the population have less than $250K US saved. In the US these numbers are worse given there is no end to the housing bust. About seven in ten have no pensions. Life expectancy is pushing 85, even for cholesterol-reduced guys. So what are they going to live on?
This is another reason why RE correction may await us in our little country of Malaysia. To a sickly economy, asset deflation, household and public debt, rising taxes and no jobs, you can add demographics. Several 100's of million couples in their sixties will have no alternative over the next five years but to liquidate their real estate.
This will go on until 2015 until this situation is flushed out. This is an unprecidented time when the boomer demographic and RE prices both have hit the top and only downside continues for those already correcting or those in waiting.
China is sitting on edge of Asset Deflation and Price Inflation just like the rest of the world. This combination is the deadliest of all and will become an unstoppable force. 2015-2020 is the rebuilding phase, when Asia takes the reins but leadin up to it, those in non-liquid assets will take losses, some managable but most not!
you nail it Conceived in the optimistic haze of a post-war world, raised amid continuous inflation, growth and creation of suburbs, Boomers were the best-educated, healthiest, most urbane, materialistic and narcissistic generation ever. It was all about them. Still is. And their RE.
And this is a problem.
More than half of this 30% of the population have less than $250K US saved. In the US these numbers are worse given there is no end to the housing bust. About seven in ten have no pensions. Life expectancy is pushing 85, even for cholesterol-reduced guys. So what are they going to live on?
This is another reason why RE correction may await us in our little country of Malaysia. To a sickly economy, asset deflation, household and public debt, rising taxes and no jobs, you can add demographics. Several 100's of million couples in their sixties will have no alternative over the next five years but to liquidate their real estate.
This will go on until 2015 until this situation is flushed out. This is an unprecidented time when the boomer demographic and RE prices both have hit the top and only downside continues for those already correcting or those in waiting.
China is sitting on edge of Asset Deflation and Price Inflation just like the rest of the world. This combination is the deadliest of all and will become an unstoppable force. 2015-2020 is the rebuilding phase, when Asia takes the reins but leadin up to it, those in non-liquid assets will take losses, some managable but most not!
Aug 23 2010, 08:53 PM

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