QUOTE(Onemorething @ Oct 15 2010, 02:01 PM)
again, for Malaysia the correction will come with the unhealthy downturn of the US market coming early November. Remember the "Recovery" only happened through money printing (QE). This has only delayed the inevitable and the REAL DOWNTURN is coming.
You are looking at the issue with Non Recourse Loans incorrectly. Non-Recourse loans in the US gave you the opportunity to walk away and still the country is in dire straits. Those countries with Recourse Loans and in bubbles right now, Canada, Australia, Hong Kong, SING, China and to some extent Malaysia will get absolutely hammered when the next leg down in the US, UK and EUROZONE occur.
You will be happy when a property in KL or selected highly speculative KV locations drop 30% as you still may be able to manage to service the loan. Those in other countries will be on the streets and paying for their speculation likely the rest of their days.
when come to money, you want to save yourself or you want to save the bank or country? Non-recourse loan have directly encourage those owner to walk away so they can stop they loss immediately, i believe HK, and SG bubble will not lead to burst stage since their government has impose some extend to control it, and most are well aware of it, not like in US , where so much sub-prime loan is given out and eventually affected the prime loan market where all those who is capable to pay also choose to default when the property value drop below the loan amount, this chain reaction has trigger the crisis.
i really cant see any of the do fault by the US government in our country now, where bank still careful in approve loan, and the most root cause, the buyer, those younger generation buyer which at their mid 30 are now pretty highpay, and what more most of them are double income family, husband and wife both work, where they can easily get a 600-700k house and pay their installment comfortability everymonth, ofcourse i believe this group of ppls significant contribute to the hiking of property price now.
i am optimistic on local property market, i think the most it will stagnant when price reach to one stage, whether there is REAL DOWNTURN to come, that's external factor which laid greatly on US gov.
just my piece if opinion.