what IF, a big IF, the oil bubble burst???? what will happen to the stock market???

Back to 1997

wors than this

it will be back to 1943

world war

sure inflation and economy crisis.
Barang Naik!!

Huh?? What do you guys mean? I think that the best think to happen if the oil bubble were to burst.

Why? ;

1: Transportation costs down.
2: Utility costs down
3: Cheaper airline fares
4: Lower freight rates
5: Manufacturing costs down
6: Automotive industry will be revived.
7: Raw materials for everything plastic/polystyrene would be down

But bad points;

1: Government tax collection from oil companies would be down
2: Less business for oil industry service companies (but they are small number anyway)
3: Due to less tax from oil companies, development of infrastructure might be scaled down.


So to conclude, people will be happier but will be driving down shittier roads.

we will wait and see

If it is true that speculators are holding a billion barrels of crude oil, price is going to go up more, and goes down gradually.

i think many ppl who invest oil will need to jump from building

I think some people misundertand the term oil bubble burst & oil bubble

Oil bubble mean oil price shoot to unrealistic high.
Oil bubble burst mean sky-rocketing oil price bubble become deflated, aka burst. Oil price plunged down significantly.

I think the bubble is going to get a bit more bigger before it can burst.

But when burst, dunno lar, if you are involved in that industry directly, then maybe hard times will come. But other industries will enjoy cheaper fuel.

I think it will gives a big boost on the economy, increasing of demand in almost all sector.

It is very hard to tell how stock market would response, it will fluctuate dramatically as people trying to adapt to changes.

I won't be surprise with a very inelastic response from government in terms of oil subsidy.

Traffic?.....jam!

Nah, I dont think it will burst so easily.
They bought so cheap and now with prices so high, their average still pretty low. Now if you are in need of oil and someone approach you to sell you USD120 per barrel, you wont even think twice.

well...i also think that stock market will rise, lower inflation...but i do like to hear about those who say "sure it will cause inflation and economy crisis."
cos i still think it is not so simple...
maybe we need another point of view...

$136.40 now...

If oil bubble burst, it will be good news to everyone in this world.
Share market will boost by property, consumer, aviation, transportation ..etc..(only O&G stock will affected, in this case we dun buy this counter lor).
Everyone gain from share market(other than O&G stock), ppl richer, consumer spending up, economy good, ...
So, what we waiting for? Lets pray for oil bubble to burst anytime...

will cause the stock market suddenly rise rise rise then those big croc suddenly pull out from the stock market since their target reached, earn enough, then make the stock market collapse?????????

maybe i think too much....

this depends if oil market is bigger or stock market is bigger

there is also company which invested in oil and possible of other company who invested in the company that invest in oil....so if oil bubble burst.....so is that company that invest in oil....... hard to say...too much chain reaction

Doubt that the oil bubble will burst as there are no alternative available energy

Can anyone enlighten me what is causing this oil prices to go up? I want to understand. Where can i read more? I can't find a good site to further understand this issue.

supply= demand (long term security)

i do think the oil bubble now is totally unrealistic. from national interest to individual interest...all add up is ...UP UP GREED

it is going to reach usd150 sooner or later...

thgt drops back to 141 level

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He is requesting for the ban hammer.

Back to topic, I think the oil price bubble is getting too big and ready to pop. There will come a time when it is just too expensive.

Came across a few articles on analyst opinions, one guy comes to mind: Arjun Murti from Goldman Sachs. He anticipated a spike in April 2005 after which the prices hiked up from $57 to $105. He's anticipating prices to spike 150-200 this time around. Now wouldn't that be spectacular?

dun think will hit USD $ 200 this year

actually i do feel the oil price only rise 20%....the other 80% of the current rise in oil price is because the Depreciation of USD

Anyway the oil bubble will not burst because the oild speculators theat everyone is getting at is indeed the oil producers themself.

Good news for petronas, good news for cronies, bad news for msia citizen.

This post has been edited by redken: Jul 11 2008, 12:23 AM