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 MayBank shareholder Group

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RigerZ
post Feb 24 2020, 10:02 PM

On the way on the way
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Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Feb 12 2020, 05:10 PM)
And PBB lagi teruk.. Now at 5 year low already.
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QUOTE(Jordy @ Feb 14 2020, 04:11 PM)
If it goes down, more chance to average down and then when all these has passed, the stock will surely recover. We are not in a financial crisis so banking side is not at a high risk.
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Hi, I'm fairly new in investing.... I noticed that all banks' (except RHB) stock prices have been dropping since last year... was this because of our country's economy or something?
RigerZ
post Feb 25 2020, 09:02 AM

On the way on the way
******
Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Feb 25 2020, 12:46 AM)
It's because bank hold investible assets like bonds, stocks, treasuries, money market instruments etc. There are several reasons why bank price fall, mainly:

1) Malaysian economy not doing well
Banks give out loans and profit from interest revenue less interest expense. When economy is in bad shape, the likelihood of these loans turning bad/defaulting becomes higher. Hence, profit is reduced. Lower profit means lower EPS which means lower EPS growth which means lower share price.

There is a new MFRS standard implemented few years ago that requires banks to impair loans based on expected credit loss. This means banks now need to recognise more provisions in advance, lowering profits further. This is why bank share price did not return to their highs 5+ years ago.

2) Global economy not doing well
Same explanation as above. Let's say Maybank invest in US stocks. Now US stocks fell. This impacts Maybank's balance sheet i.e. their profit from investment fell.

3) Potential rate cut
When economy tanks, the central bank may try to lower interest rate to increase spending. Remember that bank's profit is the net of interest revenue and interest expense. Now interest revenue is affected because banks charge lower interest.
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Thanks very much for your explanation! thumbup.gif
RigerZ
post Mar 15 2020, 05:41 PM

On the way on the way
******
Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


Question for sifus (am still learning the trade),

if bank stocks are falling so badly because of the possible rate cuts, how are they supposed to recover back in the long term? Rates increase?


RigerZ
post Mar 16 2020, 10:02 PM

On the way on the way
******
Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 15 2020, 09:59 PM)
Rate increase, increase demand for loans, less non-performing loans, increase in value of investments.
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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 16 2020, 11:54 AM)
Economy growth back on track worldwide.

For near term, it will be ugly scene across, as the economy activities will be shrinking across due to fear of virus spread, travel ban etc.
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thumbsup.gif got it thanks!
RigerZ
post Jun 30 2021, 03:12 PM

On the way on the way
******
Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


Weird.

Rakuten wrote the dividend payment as a BULK TRANSFER corporate action. I didnt see them use this term during previous dividend payments...
RigerZ
post Feb 17 2022, 09:08 PM

On the way on the way
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Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


surprisingly quiet here

RigerZ
post Feb 18 2022, 08:06 PM

On the way on the way
******
Senior Member
1,012 posts

Joined: Nov 2008
From: Subang Jaya


QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Feb 18 2022, 08:06 AM)
in anticipation of interest rate hike haha.
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QUOTE(McMatt @ Feb 18 2022, 11:33 AM)
Anticipation of dividend announcement, 
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Thats why I thought holders would be actively discussing here

 

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