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 Airasia, Airasia

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tineagle
post Jan 10 2011, 08:23 PM

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more like its on a break. I believe that it will pick up again soon with all the positive news, earnings and new explorations being done by the company.

Maybank TP 3.36
tineagle
post Jan 11 2011, 12:28 AM

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it went for a quick ride up and has been facing resistance. Alot of play on other counters, low volume with AIRASIA recently.

But it is a gem in the aviation line still. I'm patiently waiting as well for the market to turn around back to this stock
tineagle
post Jan 11 2011, 01:15 AM

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"AIRASIA on a potential breakout at RM2.76 of an Ascending Triangle formation. Targets are RM3.21 & 3.36 for the chart. "
- got this email from my broker a few days back.

Any chart analysis experts here care to confirm?
tineagle
post Jan 11 2011, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(ngkhanmein @ Jan 11 2011, 11:32 AM)
airasia is india so.. u know lah.. they pusing a lot.. becareful buying it! later burn ur hand.. i think maintain at rm 3 is no problem
*
who's pushing?
tineagle
post Jan 12 2011, 03:58 PM

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yesterday plan skid off runway in Kuching, today shares up up up, lol.

Confirmed that it was due to bad weather and not pilot or plane fault by transport minister.
tineagle
post Jan 12 2011, 06:17 PM

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RM2.76 was resistance area. The stock closed at 2.86 today breaking the resistance its been having.

It'll surely break 3.00, only a matter of time

This post has been edited by tineagle: Jan 12 2011, 06:21 PM
tineagle
post Jan 13 2011, 01:33 AM

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QUOTE(t5t @ Jan 13 2011, 01:22 AM)
I won't sell till the price exceeds RM3 at least! Haha... Tomorrow may be another day up, then on Friday = T+3 and people will start selling already... So, I hope the share price will exceed RM3 tomorrow and maybe I have the chance to sell? Haha...


Added on January 13, 2011, 1:23 am
Your broker news seems to be quite true!!!
*
I'm holding a few warrants, waiting for prices to follow.
tineagle
post Jan 13 2011, 02:21 PM

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It shouldn't go down that much even after profit taking kicks in due to break in resistance levels.

I'm holding mine for a while longer, this stock can only go higher.
tineagle
post Jan 13 2011, 02:47 PM

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up to you, are you the patient type? What is your risk appetite?

All I can say is that from the looks of charts and buy/sell power, previous 2.76 resistance area has now become support area.

TP 3.21-3.40 imo.(provided they dont raise it smile.gif)
tineagle
post Jan 14 2011, 12:41 AM

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QUOTE(linuxbay @ Jan 13 2011, 10:53 PM)
can someone explain why air asia has the sudden spike?
didn't they just cause a close down on kuching airport with the skidded plane?

could it be some speculation?

====

just came across this on TheStar smile.gif

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...47&sec=business
*
The skidded plane incident was due to bad weather and ground conditions, this has been confirmed by our transport minister. I guess they have to cover the damages, but do not face fines and penalties etc.

Either way, the company has been producing good profit from all its past financial reports. Malaysian airlines in general are undervalued. The buying may be due to speculation on the news of subsibary listing, but I am confident that it as a company is worth more than RM3 per stock at its current performance levels and soon to come expansions plans.
tineagle
post Jan 14 2011, 12:30 PM

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ngkhanmein:
1. your comments are racially offensive.
2. your statements do not have any solid backing.
3. your English plainly just sucks.

Please go back to what ever forum you came from, you have no solid arguments to present here.
tineagle
post Jan 17 2011, 02:13 PM

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on its way back up today after much profit taking on friday
tineagle
post Jan 25 2011, 12:21 PM

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AirAsia price drop deemed from profit-taking activities



Maybank Investment Bank Bhd said in a report to its clients that the decline in AirAsia's share price was mainly sentiment driven as fundamentals were largely absent yesterday. The report added that share prices of European LCCs such as EasyJet and Ryanair had also fallen, thus possibly impacting AirAsia's share price as they might share common foreign shareholders who decided to realise profits and discount accordingly.

“Looking across Europe, UK-based LCC EasyJet stated that their first-half losses may double from the year before, resulting in its share price falling. Although Ryanair's performance is historically better and not-akin to EasyJet's behaviour, its share price fell,” Maybank said.

A foreign research house analyst said AirAsia's fall in share price was in line with the lower broader market due to profit-taking activities. The local benchmark, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI), shed 4.46 points, or 0.29%, to end at 1,542.97 yesterday.

Maybank said AirAsia remained an attractive buy against other global LCC as it was trading at a discount of 40%-47% against its peers.

“Our one-year forward target of RM3.36 is based on a 2% discount to the market. We see a 23% upside to fair value,” it said.

The research report also highlighted that AirAsia's volatility had surged by 24% to 1.26 from a year ago, making it one of the most volatile FBM KLCI stocks. In addition, it is also the second most volatile LCC stock in the world.

Fernandes told StarBiz via a text message that the company's fundamentals remained good and he was not concerned with the decline seen in the airline's share price.

According to Bloomberg data, 19 out of 25 analysts have given the airline a target price of above RM3, with Credit Suisse placing the highest target price at RM4.30.

AirAsia recorded its highest closing price at RM3.04 on Jan 13 this year, since the company was listed on the local bourse in late 2004.

Meanwhile, AirAsia released its preliminary operating statistics yesterday for the last quarter of 2010. For the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, passengers carried by AirAsia in Malaysia grew 11.1% to 4.44 million from a year ago with a 3% rise in load factor to 82% for the period.

For the three months ended December, passengers carried by Thai AirAsia was up 13.2% to 1.62 million from a year ago with a 1% drop in load factor to 80% for the period.

Passengers carried by Indonesia AirAsia increase 6.5% to over a million with load factor rising 4% to 78% for the quarter ended December.

In total, AirAsia group carried 25.68 million passengers for the whole of last year, representing 13.1% growth from 2009. From the 25.68 million passengers carried, about 63% was from its Malaysian operations, 22% from Thai AirAsia and 15% from Indonesia AirAsia. The group's overall load factor stood at 78% for the full year against 75% in 2009.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...24&sec=business
tineagle
post Jan 26 2011, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(dchk @ Jan 26 2011, 12:04 PM)
Just wanted to share and discussed AirAsia valuation. Seems that AirAsia has reached a resistance level of RM2.70 from its high of RM3.05 in the matter of week. That is around a 10% drop.

Base on the Q4 2010 report, some good and bad data is derived

The Bad
- Load factor for other region aside from Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia missed a full year estimate by 5%
- Rising jet fuel price

The Good
- Double digit growth in Malaysia and Thailand and single digit growth in Indonesia (presumably due to volcanic ash)
- Possible dual-listing in more establish money market HK or US, due to attractiveness of AirAsia to foreign funds
- Expected strong fourth quarter’s results to be announced next month

On for discussion, read that AirAsia has hedged 11 per cent of this year’s first quarter jet fuel requirements at circa US$100. Subsequently, AirAsia will likely re-instate fuel surcharges should jet fuel price breach the US$120-US$130. What does this mean?
*
It means that AirAsia has already pre-booked jet fuel at price US$100/barrel. In the oil business, due to fluctuating prices and huge demand, people actually have to buy the fuel before hand(takes long time to deliver all the fuel?).

Correct me if I am wrong.
tineagle
post Jan 27 2011, 02:52 AM

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Well fundamentals of the company is still good. Price drop is just a matter of profit taking, it will rise up again as you can see many bargain hunters are coming out now, especially ones that have missed the boat previously.
tineagle
post Jan 27 2011, 03:01 PM

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Fundamental Analysis traders are buying.

Technical Analysis traders are buying.

Guess what YOU should be doing tongue.gif
tineagle
post Feb 14 2011, 01:27 AM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Feb 13 2011, 09:49 PM)
Good news.. But not so much of a "able to goreng" news. Don't you think so?
*
it just re-affirms the companies value imo.

goreng news is always something like privatisation tongue.gif
tineagle
post Feb 18 2011, 06:21 PM

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Maybank TP RM 3.36
tineagle
post Feb 22 2011, 12:37 PM

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0411 GMT [Dow Jones] AirAsia (5099.KU) is likely to report Thursday a 27.5% on-quarter rise in 4Q earnings, says OSK Research. "Backed by a healthy load factor of 82.5%, which is an all-time high since 2Q FY06, we expect AirAsia's EBITDA to expand by 46.3% on-quarter although the EBITDA margin of 42.1% achieved in FY10 would be relatively lower compared to the previous year's 42.7% considering that jet fuel prices have crept up," says OSK; the house adds that AirAsia's FY10 core earnings are poised to climb 80.6% on-year to MYR904.8 million. The house also nudged up its earnings forecast for AirAsia by 6.0% for FY10, and 2.0% for FY11, but cuts FY12 net profit by 3.7% after factoring in a higher jet fuel price assumption. OSK keeps its Buy call on the low cost carrier but raises its target to MYR3.86 from MYR3.78. The stock is down 5.4% at MYR2.61.
tineagle
post Feb 23 2011, 09:49 AM

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bargain hunting time

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