QUOTE(asambuffett @ Aug 13 2008, 09:41 PM)
If i read in the annual report ended June 2007.. its EPS was 21cents
The one that ended Dec 2007...its EPS was 18cents.
so hopefully if Im not mistaken..AA has a very good PE of 5 based on June 2007 earnings.
The other reason to bet on AA is because of its Business Model (LCC)
LCC model follows the Southern Airline Model..which is the 1st LCC in the world.
Southern Airline has been profitable till today since it started 30 years ago and it has gone thru some recession period.
Like you, I"m bullish about AA. But my confidence stems from its solid business model and belief that AA is going to be around for a long time. I disagree this is a stock for short-term speculators because the best way to realize the benefits from a growing company is to hold it for medium to long term. Needless to say that the stock is pretty volatile, so it's not for the faint-hearted. In terms of EPS and P/E, I believe the valuation for many analysts for such airlines is based on non-GAAP earnings which excludes items like deferred taxes, forex gains/losses and other exceptional items. Hence, the P/E of 5 you have is technically correct but not one that many analysts would use when comparing other such airline companies. So at this moment in time, this stock probably isn't under-valued as you are suggesting.The one that ended Dec 2007...its EPS was 18cents.
so hopefully if Im not mistaken..AA has a very good PE of 5 based on June 2007 earnings.
The other reason to bet on AA is because of its Business Model (LCC)
LCC model follows the Southern Airline Model..which is the 1st LCC in the world.
Southern Airline has been profitable till today since it started 30 years ago and it has gone thru some recession period.
Aug 13 2008, 11:00 PM

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