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 Airasia, Airasia

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kmarc
post Dec 26 2008, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(Neo18 @ Dec 26 2008, 05:31 PM)
i'm looking into buying Air Asia very agressively. now targeting 0.85, then i whack!!!hahaha
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Errr... just curious why you would go for this counter.... seeing that it never gives any dividend, made losses last quarter and has huge amounts of debts? hmm.gif

You know some secrets? Kindly share! biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Dec 26 2008, 09:29 PM

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QUOTE(Neo18 @ Dec 26 2008, 08:01 PM)
easy, got so many good news lately:-

a. Labu new terminal
b. rumour of privatisation
c. JV with Jetstar
d. Low fuel price

WHACk!!!
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I see..... didn`t jetstar deny any joint venture?

Besides the rumour on privatisation (Which I though Tune air cancelled the deal? hmm.gif ), the rest of the good news would take some time to show any results, wouldn't it? hmm.gif

Anyway, SIME is also involved in the new terminal.... but their stocks keep on dropping! doh.gif

This post has been edited by kmarc: Dec 26 2008, 09:32 PM
kmarc
post Aug 24 2015, 08:16 PM

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Now anybody can fly buy? unsure.gif

So tempted to goreng but I'm still staying at the sidelines...... smile.gif
kmarc
post Aug 26 2015, 11:48 AM

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Haven't followed Air Asia news. Beside the report that caused the stock to crash and the Indonesia government requirements, fundamentals are still the same right?

Why is it still dropping? Just asking because I'm thinking of doing some fishing biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Aug 26 2015, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 26 2015, 05:04 PM)
Bot some @ 0.77 today  brows.gif
*
I'll join you..... Someday..... biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Aug 26 2015, 08:09 PM

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Hmmm.... Profit reduced : http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...cements/4846625

Why would EPF buy only 1,000,000 shares? To prop up the shares before dumping? hmm.gif
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...cements/4845597
kmarc
post Aug 27 2015, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 27 2015, 03:49 PM)
The sky is the Limit
Touching 0.88 now n moving towards 0.90  tongue.gif
*
Damn, I got no time to play stocks!!! cry.gif
kmarc
post Aug 27 2015, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 27 2015, 09:29 PM)
When there is a Will, there is a Way
*
Unless I take leave but I can't. Busy these few days.... sad.gif
kmarc
post Aug 28 2015, 08:31 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 28 2015, 07:26 PM)
Great run from 0.765 on 26/8 to 0.935 today
*
Already sold yours?

Looks like I may still have a chance....... drool.gif
kmarc
post Aug 28 2015, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 28 2015, 09:40 PM)
Yup, sold @ 0.92 today
*
Nice! thumbup.gif

Looks like the price might still go down based on the continuing disposal of shares from the Wellington group. Only to be distorted by EPF vmad.gif :

Acquired 25 Aug 2015 2,000,000
Acquired 24 Aug 2015 500,000
Disposed 24 Aug 2015 2,385,000
Acquired 21 Aug 2015 1,000,000

What are they trying to do? rclxub.gif They should be charged from their own pocket for each transactions! vmad.gif
kmarc
post Sep 9 2015, 03:38 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 9 2015, 03:17 PM)
The sky is the limit
*
Now everybody can really fly! biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Sep 9 2015, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 9 2015, 03:47 PM)
Did u manage to ride the momentum?
*
Ya, will hold as long as market sentiments are good. For now, it looks like everybody forgot the events of the last few weeks. biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Sep 11 2015, 10:00 AM

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Looks like this run still has legs.... Yesterday's road block of 50,000 lots at 1.20 just rammed thru with ease.....
kmarc
post Sep 18 2015, 08:19 PM

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QUOTE(cdspins @ Sep 18 2015, 08:58 AM)
Wah... 1 month didn't check out this counter, raise so much... But unfortunately my account still red.
*
Will be green soon? biggrin.gif

Waw! Final 15 mins, 70,000 lots gobbled up. shocking.gif

As mentioned on today's announcement - Proposed share buy back : http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...stock_code=5099

Good? hmm.gif

This post has been edited by kmarc: Sep 18 2015, 08:22 PM
kmarc
post Sep 19 2015, 12:52 PM

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AirAsia flying high again : http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...gain/?style=biz

QUOTE
AirAsia Bhd has been facing strong headwinds lately. The budget carrier’s share price has been on a roller-coaster ride over the past couple of months, fluctuating dramatically.

The airline’s shares have been under pressure for some time and plunged to 78 sen on Aug 26. Its share price has since rebounded sharply from that recent low, with analysts calling it an overshooting of its price during the selldown. AirAsia became a penny stock at the end of last month and stayed below the RM1 mark for about two weeks. Its share price has since rebounded, closing at RM1.31 yesterday.

Year to date the counter has lost more than 50%.

What triggered the quick recovery?

Analysts say the recent selldown was overdone and the market has ignored the significant value of its portfolio comprising non-airline businesses within the group. In addition, they note that AirAsia’s fundamentals are intact and it is undervalued.

Maybank Investment Bank Bhd analyst Mohshin Aziz concurs that the selldown was overdone and maintains a “buy” call on AirAsia with a target price of RM2.05.

“It is a highly beaten down stock. Given the situation, it is the highest candidate (to be picked up by investors),” he tells StarBizWeek.

Mohshin notes that AirAsia has been very active this year engaging the investment community by having meetings, teleconferences and so forth but to no avail as it shares continued to be beaten.

“AirAsia is cheap. Cheapest in its history in US dollar terms and also the cheapest airline stock in the world currently,” he says.

Mohshin says there is no point talking about valuations of AirAsia, as it is beyond fire sale.

“We derived an alternative and tangible valuation methodology for AirAsia, given that the conventional ones are gaining no traction. We took the latest available appraised value of its fleet, net off its long-term debt and times it by the ringgit at RM4.3 to the dollar and we get an intrinsic value of RM1.34 per share. Basically, the metal value of the business is higher than the current market capitalisation.

“Shareholders can make a nice 18% gain by just selling off the fleet whilst keeping the RM4.8bil of equity,” he remarks.

It is worth noting that the US-based Wellington group of companies which had reduced their stakes in the low-cost carrier in June this year have started buying shares in AirAsia.

According to the latest filings with Bursa Malaysia, Wellington Management International Ltd has 200.74 million shares, or 7.214% stake in AirAsia. Wellington Management Global Holdings Ltd has an indirect 228.19 million shares or 8.2% stake, while Wellington Group Holdings LLP has an indirect 278.99 million or 10.025% stake.

The Employees Provident Fund (EPF) had on Sept 3 acquired 2.498 million shares in AirAsia but it disposed 892,500 on Sept 9.

“AirAsia took a beating but it is now a V-shape recovery. Wellington and EPF are back. They have been buying and hopefully the worst is behind for AirAsia. The counter has been attracting high trading volume,” an analyst say.

The turbulence comes not in just its shares being sold down. AirAsia is also battling with other issues such as the report by accounting research firm GMT Research that raised questions about related party transactions. GMT Research had highlighted problems with the company’s accounting practices and raised concerns regarding the firm’s cash flow, leverage and group structure.

News that PT Indonesia AirAsia (IAA) may be shut down by the end of July also caused a panic among investors.

AirAsia’s 49%-affiliate IAA has received a letter from Indonesia’s Transport Ministry laying out terms for it to ensure a positive equity position by July 31.

Indonesia’s Transport Ministry has ordered 13 airlines to raise funds to reach positive equity positions out of concerns that a negative equity would affect safety oversight.

Futhermore, the company’s latest quarterly results provided little cheer to investors. In the first six months to June 30, AirAsia’s net profit fell to RM392.36 mil from RM506.87 mil a year ago, with a relatively flat revenue of RM2.6bil.

AirAsia is also battling the Malaysia Airport Holdings Bhd (MAHB) over its operations at KLIA2. It was reported that AirAsia and MAHB would be having a “peace dinner” at the end of the month to resolve their disputes.

Analysts, however, are not too optimistic that their differences could be resolved over a dinner. “One dinner cannot bury the hatchet. We will just have to wait and see,” one analyst says.

Analysts believe that another concern weighing down AirAsia is the continued weakening of the ringgit against the strong greenback as about 70% of operating expenses and 80% of debt are US dollar-denominated. So far this year, ringgit has weakened by about 20% year-to-date.

“We believe that one overhang over AirAsia’s share price performance year-to-date is the weakening of the ringgit against the US dollar.

“We estimate that 64% of operating expenses (jet fuel, MRO and aircraft leasing) are US dollar denominated. As 8% of operating costs are hedged to reduce the impact from US dollar over ringgit volatility, the impact of every 5% drop in the ringgit equals to an increase in operating cost by 3%. Separately, 73% of its US dollar borrowings are hedged,” MIDF Research says.

At 50%, jet fuel constitutes the largest operating cost component for AirAsia.

AirAsia’s exposure to spot jet fuel is 49% in fourth quarter 2015 (51% hedged) and 100% in FY16 (fully unhedged). Thus, the impact on a 5% drop in jet fuel price reduces operating cost by 1.2% in fourth quarter 2015 and 2.5% in FY16.

MIDF Research also notes that daily short value on AirAsia has reduced from a daily average of RM706,000 in the first week of September to RM335,000 in the second week of September.

“This is also a major improvement from RM1mil to RM2mil average seen in previous months. We also believe that short sellers have been covering their positions by buying back the stock as share price rose 60% off its 77 sen low, typical in a short-squeeze situation,” it says.
kmarc
post Sep 21 2015, 04:24 PM

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QUOTE(JasonW13 @ Sep 21 2015, 01:58 PM)
to sell or to hold...already make 28% earning hmm....
*
Great but nobody can tell you what to do. wink.gif

My own superficial analysis is that this stock has more room to fly. Unchanged fundamentals but dropped so much. Top volume stock past few weeks. Institution buying in. Indonesia problem more or less settled. Proposed buyback shares. Gaining back investors' confidence. Ramming thru roadblocks like nothing.

For me, this is my first non-reit stocks for such a long time. Will ride it until it is out of steam! biggrin.gif

Note : Don't take my word for it. I didn't do any due diligence for this stock. Just gut feeling..... whistling.gif
kmarc
post Sep 21 2015, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Sep 21 2015, 04:28 PM)
in simple word. goreang-able stock  tongue.gif
*
thumbup.gif

Let's see whether it can ram thru 1.40 roadblock. If so, I will hold it more tight tight. biggrin.gif
kmarc
post Sep 29 2015, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(JasonW13 @ Sep 28 2015, 08:48 PM)
can't break 1.4 still. sad
*
Markets dropping past few days. Sentiments changed again. Parted ways with AAsia. Thanks for the free ticket. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by kmarc: Sep 29 2015, 11:28 AM
kmarc
post Oct 7 2015, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 6 2015, 07:15 PM)
AirAsia sounding out investors to take company private
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...vate/?style=biz

Buy n hold on to news?
*
AA is flying!!! Buy buy buy!!!

* back to sleep-not-playing-stock mode *
kmarc
post Oct 7 2015, 12:31 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Oct 7 2015, 12:00 PM)
laugh.gif  tongue.gif  biggrin.gif  thumbup.gif
*
Hehe.... True la.... Not playing stocks, just see see....

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