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Airasia, Airasia
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andrewckj
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Nov 23 2009, 04:19 AM
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QUOTE(mazda626 @ Nov 23 2009, 01:26 AM) Better stay away from this counter awhile. Put capital somwhere but NOT airasia. Current price $1.28 ; better wait 0.90 or 1.00 to be really sure. I agree. As an investors, it's always good not to put money into high risk business. AA is one of them since its operating in airlines industries. Capital intensive, high in debts, great competition, fluctuations of oil prices..all this does't rhyme well for a business to be successful. It will be sometime before AA will declare dividend. Even you are a supporter of AA, better invest in other counter to reap the rewards and use the reward to buy AA tickets. Isn't this better?
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andrewckj
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Dec 6 2010, 12:46 AM
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The stock will undoubtedly grow due to the growth potential of Air Asia. However with the aggressive expansion comes the danger where currently Air Asia is high on gearing due to the large borrowing. Hopefully it will the years will be a smooth year without any disease outbreak such as H1N1 or SARS, or else Air Asia will be in a difficult position.
Oh well, outbreak of disease won't come with a warning, so aviation industry stock is not my cup of tea. Just my 2 cents.
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andrewckj
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Jan 20 2011, 12:49 AM
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QUOTE(escargo75 @ Jan 19 2011, 05:29 PM) I have feeling going in now is suicide... With the crude oil rising, it will surely have an adverse effect on aviation industry, unlese Air Asia did well with their oil hedging. Don't get me wrong, I love Air Asia flights and they r still growing but in a very aggressive way. Gearing ratio are very high and I afraid that crude oil might just affect their profit margin and eventually debt repayment. For those that hold on to this stocks, do monitor it closely and check out for the related news. Air Asia is not the kinda stock that you can sit back while waiting for it to grow, because any news can seriously affect the price badly. Good luck brothers!
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andrewckj
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Apr 29 2011, 01:57 PM
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QUOTE(ivan1128 @ Apr 29 2011, 01:48 PM) Hopefully next month after they announce their quarter profit, will go up to rm3.  It will fly further if the oil price keeps on going down and the Libya protest is put to rest. i love AirAsia but I don't like the volatility of the oil price, hence I skip from this counter. But I wish you guys good luck!
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andrewckj
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May 13 2011, 11:17 AM
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Market is green and oil price is stabilizing. Any brothers entering at current price?
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andrewckj
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May 21 2011, 01:53 AM
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QUOTE(ronn77 @ May 20 2011, 09:48 AM) The good run continues today with now the shares are hitting $3.14. Have u guys heard of news that Airasia going to move the regional office from Malaysia to Indonesia? If that happened then it definitely delivering big blow to our country. That tell you what, Malaysian company don't even have faith with it's own country. How bizzare
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andrewckj
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May 25 2011, 12:25 AM
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Air Asia net profit drop, will it affect the share price come tomorrow? I guess maybe will. » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « KUALA LUMPUR: AIRASIA BHD []’s net profit fell 23.2% to RM171.93 million for the first quarter ended March 31, 2011 from RM224.11 million a year ago as it was affected by rising operational costs.
It said on Tuesday, May 24 that revenue rose 20.3% to RM1.048 billion from RM870.60 million while earnings per share slipped to 6.2 sen from 9.1 sen.
The low-cost carrier said staff costs increased to RM118.53 million from RM90.43 million while aircraft fuel expenses rose to RM376.54 million from RM308.83 million. It also said the maintenance, overhaul, user charges and other related expenses increased to RM146.73 million from RM110.63 million.
Revenue growth was supported by 17% growth in passenger volume offset by an average fare that was 5% lower at RM164 as compared to RM173 achieved in 1Q10.
Ancillary income per passenger year-on-year rose by 31% to RM50 from RM38. Seat load factor was 6 percentage points higher at 80% compared to 74% a year ago.
The group’s total debt as of end March 31, 2011 was RM7.77 billion. The group’s net debt after offsetting the cash balances amounted to RM5.97 billion. This translated to a net gearing ratio of 1.57 times, 10% lower than the 4Q2010.
“The outlook for the second quarter and beyond should be seen in the context of the recent volatility in the price of oil and aviation fuel.
“To mitigate the impact of higher fuel prices AirAsia introduced a fuel surcharge with effect May 3, 2011 and the company will continue to closely monitor fuel price movements. The introduction of a fuel surcharge is expected to significantly offset any effect of higher fuel prices in the second half of the year, but in the second quarter it is not expected to fully offset higher fuel costs,” it said.
AirAsia said based on the current forward booking trend, the underlying passenger demand in the second quarter for the Malaysian, Thai and Indonesian operations remains positive.
“Load factors achieved in the month of April were ahead of the prior year for all three carriers, with average fares higher in Thailand and Indonesia and slightly behind the prior year for the Malaysian operations,” it said.
AirAsia said said in Malaysia, forward loads for the remaining months of the second quarter and beyond remain ahead of the prior year, indicating that demand remains strong.
“Passenger numbers are expected to continue increasing ahead of capacity growth, while new sources of ancillary income will maintain yields in combination with improved load factors,” it said. http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business/18...ting-costs.html
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andrewckj
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May 25 2011, 01:12 PM
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RHB research rate Air Asia as underperfom (Sell), put it's fair value target price at RM 2.60. OSK reseach meanwhile rate Air Asia as a BUY now, upgraded it's fair value from RM 3.50 to RM 3.80 Current price is at RM 3.01, so trust who in the end? Time will tell. Trust yourself. Both research papers are released today. Attached File(s)
air110525.pdf ( 76.6k )
Number of downloads: 12
AIRASIA_1QFY11_Results_Review_20110525_OSK.pdf ( 102.01k )
Number of downloads: 12
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andrewckj
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May 25 2011, 02:35 PM
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QUOTE(schumywan @ May 25 2011, 01:38 PM) Hi, May i know where can get those research paper? thanks I did attached d. Btw, I got the OSK research paper from my broker, OSK. As for the RHB research paper, I don't have the access and I got it from d/ling it via one of the forumers in the Stock Exchange trade. Each research house have their own research paper. ECM, Maybank, CIMB, Jupiter, HLbank and etc.
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andrewckj
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May 26 2011, 02:53 AM
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QUOTE(mletee @ May 26 2011, 12:59 AM) hmm..RM3 is quite high also wat.. If you think AirAsia will continue to grow and oil price will not affect their Earnings, then Rm 3 is not high. If you think MAS will soon introduced the cheap air fare and start to compete neck to neck with Airasia, then RM 3 indeed is high. I'd always use PEGGY to do a simply analysis on stock PE =PE ratio G= Gearing G= Growth Y=Yielding of dividend Lastly, after doing the analysis above, ask yourself, does the risk justify your appetite? Are u for long term or short term. Then only choose to jump in. my 2 cents. Cheers~!
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andrewckj
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Aug 8 2011, 04:39 PM
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I hope MAS won't be a liability to Air Asia. We shall see. What I'm most afraid is that Air Asia is over geared. God bless all the shareholders.
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