QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 10 2008, 09:34 PM)
BLR is fixed at a ceiling level by BNM, currently 6.75%, yes correct. But the fixed rate can be changed from time to time by BNM depended on economy situation. Just for the last 2-3 years, economy is not moving in either direction, so the BLR is being left at 6.75% for this period of time but it doesn't mean future BLR will be the same especially current economy condition and inflation situation will have big impact on the macro-economy side.
So BLR is not fixed but fixed at a ceiling by BNM
and can be reviewed from time to time, normally when BNM hold meeting, (about a month plus for every meeting interval), only when there is emergency situation, then BNM will act accordingly which is same across various countries central bank or Fed Reserves.
I hope my explainatin is clear enough.
personally speaking, as one who did not delve any deeper into international finance than the macroecon level, should not the reduction in gov spending allow the bank some space to reduce rates? to be sure, this is counter-acted by the inflationary effects of oil, yet with governemnt spending, as well as public spending lower nowadays, and seeing that there is going to be a freeze on new gov projects, surely public savings is up which in turn allow banks to offer cheaper rates to spur growth? So BLR is not fixed but fixed at a ceiling by BNM
I hope my explainatin is clear enough.
and in contrast with what dreamer opines, if we have a large amount of savings despite the low rates, then it means that its quite inelastic, then. if we lower it further, it won't move by much, stands to reason. furthermore, i see nothing wrong with national money going out. any earnings from that money invested outside that is thus repatriated counts into the intangible exports section of the national accounts.
i am a bit confused, though. what do you refer to by 'demand for money'? is it money demand, as in the economic sense where it is the amount of currency one wishes to hold in proportion to savings, or money demand in terms of something else? this is because, in times of recessions, with the uncertainty of banks, money demand goes up, as in more money is in the hands of the public.
of course, it is all a muddle to me, currently. (drunk again, barbecue.).
Jun 11 2008, 05:46 AM
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