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 2008 to be OLED's break out year, be afraid LCD, be very afraid :p

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TSg5sim
post Apr 13 2008, 11:05 AM, updated 18y ago

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Just when we see LCD price moving to its saturation point, we see a 'new' flat display tehnology thrusting to the market. And according to NPD, 2008 will be the break out year for OLED and OLED Sales to Reach $3.1 Billion by 2012

I project that OLED will be built upon higher resolution to differentiate itselft with LCD and Plasma. So we are looking at probably beyond 1080p FULL HD. We are probably looking into QuadHD tongue.gif . Sony already intro its 27" OLED FullHD screen during the 2007 CES. and the baby has 1,000,000:1 contrast ratio (there is no typo in the figure tongue.gif ) and FullHD at 27"? what about 47"?

QUOTE
The biggest technical problem for OLEDs is the limited lifetime of the organic materials. In particular, blue OLEDs historically have had a lifetime of around 14,000 hours when used for flat-panel displays, which is lower than typical lifetime of LCD, LED or PDP technology - each currently rated for about 60,000 hours, depending on manufacturer and model. But in 2007, experimental PLEDs were created which can sustain 400cd/m2 of luminance for over 198,000 hours for green OLEDs and 62,000 hours for blue OLEDs.


Blue OLED problem solved tongue.gif

and oh the OLED TVs introduced by Sony have 1mil:1 contrast ration laugh.gif laugh.gif and its not dynamic contrast ratio sweat.gif


OLED Sales to Reach $3.1 Billion by 2012, Study Says

The OLED Technology Report expects sales to grow 380 percent in 2008.

http://www.cepro.com/article/oled_sales_to...2_study_says/K5

04.11.2008 - OLED display sales are expected to reach over $3.1 billion by 2012, says a new report by DisplaySearch.

"The OLED Technology Report" expects a five-year compound annual growth rate of 96 percent, saying OLED displays are expected to surge 69 percent to more than $826.5 million in 2008, and then by 83 percent in 2009 and 53 percent in 2010.

"2008 will be a break-out year for AMOLED displays as Samsung SDI, LG Display, Sony and CMEL deliver almost 17M displays, which is up over 380% compared to 2007," says DisplaySearch senior advisor and consultant Barry Young.

"The displays will be used in products such as mobile phones, digital cameras, digital photo frames, handheld TVs and free standing TVs.

"By 2009, OLED display manufacturers are expected to commence shipments of displays for notebooks and then move rapidly into TVs."

for more on OLED: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organic_light-emitting_diode


TSg5sim
post Apr 13 2008, 11:15 AM

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http://www.oled-display.net/oled-is-emergi...-across-sectors

With liquid crystal display (LCD) technology having reached a point of maturity from where there can only be evolutionary changes rather than revolutionary, the field is open to disruptive, cost-effective technologies. Some of these include organic light emitting diodes (OLEDs), 3D and holographic displays, as well as multi-touch interfaces.

New analysis from Frost & Sullivan (http://www.technicalinsights.frost.com), Innovations in Display Technologies, finds that OLED and 3D holographic display technology likely to revolutionize the display arena in the coming years.

If you are interested in an analysis, which provides manufacturers, end users, and other industry participants with an overview, summary, challenges, and latest coverage of Innovations in Display Technologies send an e-mail to Mireya Castilla, Corporate Communications, at mcastilla_ti@frost.com with your full name, company name, title, telephone number, company e-mail address, company website, city, state and country. Upon receipt of the above information, an overview will be sent to you by e-mail.

3D holography is a much-vaunted technology, since scalability issues do not limit it. Once perfected, it could be the most viable solution for terrain mapping, civil planning applications, and entertainment applications such as game consoles, cinema, and billboards. The medical industry can also benefit from 3D displays in surgical guidance equipment and areas such as radiation oncology.

Of all display technologies, OLED expects to find extensive adoption in a variety of portable consumer electronics, home entertainment, and automotive applications. However, for all its advantages, OLEDs might find the going tough in the large-screen displays. Even in the small- and medium-sized displays, LCD still dominates. "To pose a serious threat to LCDs, the technologically superior OLEDs will have to resolve certain issues such as its color element lifetimes and manufacturing techniques," says Technical Insights Research Analyst Prithvi Raj.

"OLED displays are limited by the relatively short lifetimes of blue OLED and this makes such displays currently unsuitable in a primary television unit," notes Technical Insights Research Analyst Sharmishta S. "However, it should be noted that the half-life of the color elements (including blue) have vastly improved over the past few years and it is likely that it will soon achieve acceptable standards."

OLEDs are ideal for smaller displays on space/power-critical portable applications such as mobile phones and mp3 players. This is because OLEDs draw far lesser power than LCDs and as they do not require backlighting, these displays can be made extremely thin.

Once OLEDs replace LCDs in the portable consumer electronic displays sector, they can try to forge a path in the larger display segment, provided they employ scalable manufacturing methods. Although OLED technology prices are not likely to drop anytime soon to match LCD displays, its advantages of higher viewing angles, thinner displays, and increased contrast, offers OLED the upper hand.

"OLEDs with their wide viewing angle, high contrast ratio, and absence of backlighting allow for the realization of ultra-slim displays," says Sharmishta S. "3D holography also has tremendous potential and along with OLEDs, is likely to revolutionize the display landscapes in the coming years."

Meanwhile, multitouch display interfaces offer multi-user, multi-input functionality and have been making waves for its simple interface. Applications for this technology range form infrastructure planning to navigation and mapping. This technology could also find applications as a table-top interface in a variety of locations like hotels, clubs, offices, and homes.

"Projection technology has also progressed a great deal with MEMS-based micro-mirrors," says Raj. "Developments are underway to miniaturize current projectors down to levels where they can be housed within mobile devices, thereby opening up new avenues in portable entertainment."

Innovations in Display Technologies, a part of the Technical Insights subscription, provides a technology overview and outlook for display technologies. The study covers OLEDs, 3D display technology, carbon-nanotube-based FED, and MEMS-based displays. Furthermore, this research service includes detailed technology analysis and industry trends evaluated following extensive interviews with market participants. Interviews with the press are available.

Technical Insights is an international technology analysis business that produces a variety of technical news alerts, newsletters, and research services.

Frost & Sullivan, the Global Growth Consulting Company, partners with clients to accelerate their growth. The company's Growth Partnership Services, Growth Consulting and Career Best Practices empower clients to create a growth focused culture that generates, evaluates and implements effective growth strategies. Frost & Sullivan employs over 45 years of experience in partnering with Global 1000 companies, emerging businesses and the investment community from more than 30 offices on six continents. For more information about Frost & Sullivan's Growth Partnerships, visit http://www.frost.com.

clngu
post Apr 13 2008, 12:11 PM

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OLED is replacing LCD ... cause LCD technology already reached its limit ... OLED and Plasma ... both are different technology ... Plasma still has many new areas to explore ... so future is OLED and Plasma smile.gif
Sieg
post Apr 13 2008, 12:51 PM

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I'm waiting for SED to replace LCD monitor brows.gif icon_idea.gif

This post has been edited by Sieg: Apr 13 2008, 12:57 PM
rx330
post Apr 13 2008, 04:55 PM

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future is projector
the rest can go kiss my arse
runemastertan
post Apr 13 2008, 05:03 PM

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I don;t think OLED tech will be as good as LCD or Plasma in the next 2 - 5 years. By that time it matures and price become somewhat affordable, you already missed a lot of movies
rx330
post Apr 13 2008, 05:04 PM

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hopefull once oled is mature, g5sim would start to buy a lcdtv biggrin.gif
defaultname365
post Apr 13 2008, 07:25 PM

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2008, break out year.... no way....

LCD TVs, Plasma, Standard definition TVs are here and to stay... perhaps "other" gadgets.

This is a brand new technology and it will be like Malaysians going out and buying it by the bucket load.

But yes, a nice tech for the future.
clngu
post Apr 13 2008, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 13 2008, 04:55 PM)
future is projector
the rest can go kiss my arse
*
future is mega-size Plasma ... projector would be history by then laugh.gif
TSg5sim
post Apr 13 2008, 08:13 PM

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QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 13 2008, 05:04 PM)
hopefull once oled is mature, g5sim would start to buy a lcdtv biggrin.gif
*
rclxms.gif yeah .. when LCD technology is already matured and price nearing saturation point, i get CRT. then after OLED technology had matured and price nearing saturation point, i get a LCD. I am an unique technology adopter. I am basically one technology behind laugh.gif laugh.gif
clngu
post Apr 13 2008, 08:51 PM

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alamak ... doh.gif
rx330
post Apr 14 2008, 09:18 AM

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but posting news, u definitely one step ahead biggrin.gif

clngu, judging from the way price are going, huge plasma aint replacing projector anytime soon, i guess
TSg5sim
post Apr 14 2008, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 14 2008, 09:18 AM)
but posting news, u definitely one step ahead biggrin.gif

clngu, judging from the way price are going, huge plasma aint replacing projector anytime soon, i guess
*
problem with PJ is space! not everybody got a living room big enough for to put a PJ - the throwing distance tongue.gif

big screen displays do not have this problem
JiauBoy
post Apr 14 2008, 09:26 AM

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hoho looking forward to get yr 42' tv for less then 1.5k
azbro
post Apr 14 2008, 10:07 AM

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QUOTE(JiauBoy @ Apr 14 2008, 09:26 AM)
hoho looking forward to get yr 42' tv for less then 1.5k
*
RM1.5k for a 42inch maybe the manufacturing cost, but sale price would still be high...maybe RM3K minimum in the future...or else how to pay the workers salary...



rx330
post Apr 14 2008, 10:12 AM

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if ur room to small, ppl also wont place a 60 inch plasma either
ar188
post Apr 14 2008, 11:52 AM

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QUOTE(g5sim @ Apr 13 2008, 08:13 PM)
rclxms.gif  yeah .. when LCD technology is already matured and price nearing saturation point, i get CRT. then after OLED technology had matured and price nearing saturation point, i get a LCD. I am an unique technology adopter. I am basically one technology behind  laugh.gif  laugh.gif
*
that's very unique alright! biggrin.gif
sunauto
post Apr 15 2008, 12:58 AM

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QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 13 2008, 04:55 PM)
future is projector
the rest can go kiss my arse
*
But projector can't be used in a brightly lit place, that's the problem

QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 14 2008, 09:18 AM)
but posting news, u definitely one step ahead biggrin.gif

clngu, judging from the way price are going, huge plasma aint replacing projector anytime soon, i guess
*
Huge plasma is more expensive than a projector so cost wise, not a good move.
rx330
post Apr 15 2008, 01:17 AM

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some projector can be used in a lit place wub.gif
sunauto
post Apr 15 2008, 02:27 AM

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QUOTE(rx330 @ Apr 15 2008, 01:17 AM)
some projector can be used in a lit place wub.gif
*
But the colours looked washed out a lil.

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