QUOTE(mcoriole @ Mar 14 2018, 10:18 PM)
Hi guys, I have an ASB loan worth 202,177 (199000 for ASB and 3177 for takaful) over 30 years. Monthly repayment is 1060.75. Interest rate was 4.8% (now 5.05% from my CIMB click). I added 1k to make it 200k in my ASB account.
I'm trying to work out if it's worth it if I pay the loan over 30 years compared to saving on my own without touching the money for 30 years.
Basically I got:
Final ASB account balance = RM 200,000*(1.07^29) = RM RM 1,422,851.41
Total monthly payment = RM 1,060.75*12*30 = RM 381,870.00
Loan nett gain = RM RM 1,422,851.41 - RM 381,870.00 = RM1,040,981.41
Now, if I save on my own for 30 years, I got RM1,202,391.35.
Basically I calculated like this:
First year: RM1,060.75*12 = RM12,729.00
Second year: RM12,729.00*1.07 + RM12,729.00 = RM26,349.03
Third year: RM26,349.03*1.07 + RM12,729.00 = RM40,922.46
.
.
.
30th year: RM1,111,833.97 + RM12,729.00 = RM1,202,391.35
With this calculation, it seems like I'm going to lose around 160k by taking the loan instead of saving on my own:
Loan nett gain - Saving gain = RM1,040,981.41 - RM1,202,391.35 = -RM161,409.94
Is something wrong with my calculation, or am I using the wrong strategy?
You’re missing one very important point, ASB has a limit of 200k deposit, and any further than that, your money in ASB can only increase by dividend compounding. I'm trying to work out if it's worth it if I pay the loan over 30 years compared to saving on my own without touching the money for 30 years.
Basically I got:
Final ASB account balance = RM 200,000*(1.07^29) = RM RM 1,422,851.41
Total monthly payment = RM 1,060.75*12*30 = RM 381,870.00
Loan nett gain = RM RM 1,422,851.41 - RM 381,870.00 = RM1,040,981.41
Now, if I save on my own for 30 years, I got RM1,202,391.35.
Basically I calculated like this:
First year: RM1,060.75*12 = RM12,729.00
Second year: RM12,729.00*1.07 + RM12,729.00 = RM26,349.03
Third year: RM26,349.03*1.07 + RM12,729.00 = RM40,922.46
.
.
.
30th year: RM1,111,833.97 + RM12,729.00 = RM1,202,391.35
With this calculation, it seems like I'm going to lose around 160k by taking the loan instead of saving on my own:
Loan nett gain - Saving gain = RM1,040,981.41 - RM1,202,391.35 = -RM161,409.94
Is something wrong with my calculation, or am I using the wrong strategy?
The main point of ASB loan is to reach that deposit limit at the first year itself, as this gives you two main advantage over own savings - a) higher base for dividend compounding from the start, and b) MUCH MUCH faster way to increase your deposit limit (as deposit limit is only increased by dividend after your ASB has reached 200k) which might not give you benefit in terms of monetary benefit, but it gives you a great opportunity to invest in the future if you have extra money (sold a house or something).
In essence, you can not keep on depositing 12k++ each year for 30 years as that would mean you’re depositing around 360k++.
Your deposit limit will only increase based on any dividend growth after you’ve hit the 200k limit, so you can deposit until the 16th year or so, and then your growth is only limited by the dividend that you earn. That’s why your calculation is wrong.
Put in the scenario whereby you can not deposit any further once you’ve hit 200k on your ASB and then see how much balance you’ll get at the end of 30 years and it will be a whole different story.
Of course you can always open ASB 2 and then put in another 200k there, but again, it’s limited to 200k only, and the units are limited unlike ASB.
A better comparison should be ASB loan vs TH own savings, as Tabung haji has no limit on deposit, but of course lower dividend and bonus too.
This post has been edited by xeda: Mar 15 2018, 01:54 AM
Mar 15 2018, 01:48 AM

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