Haha, I think I have misunderstood you previously on your meaning of exposure with my own. I believe your "exposure" means the exposure to the Phil casino to the Phil market, in this case, the exposure is huge as the Resorts World at Manila is actually part of the Phil govt plan to develop a similar Singapore IR-style resort. While I have misunderstood your definition of exposure as the exposure of GENM to RW Philipines earnings, in this case, the exposure is rather small as GENM owns 19+% of GEN HK while GEN HK in turns own roughly 50% of RW Phil, so in total the exposure to GENM is around 10% while to Genting it is even smaller at less than 5%.
But, this exposure is not exposure in accounting sense as GENM ownership in GEN HK is less than 20%, hence,based on accounting rule, it is not consolidated into GENM earnings, so no matter how well RW Phil did, it will not be reflected in GENM P &L. GENM ownership in GEN HK is actually classified as Available-for-Sale Securities(AFS). As an AFS, any changes in the share price of GEN HK need to be reflected in GENM P&L, so, you will see a huge fair value gain or losses in GENM P&L every quarter due to changes in GEN HK share price. But, if RW Phil did well, GENM should benefit from the increase in share price of GEN HK.
Actually, the accounting treatment of GEN HK kinda answer your question on the state of Star Cruise or GEN HK as it is called now. GEN HK performed so badly that it has been a drag on GENM earnings and share price that I believe the Lim family actually secretly funded famous Malaysian financier Datuk Chua Ma Yu(CMY) to take over 14% of GEN HK shares from GENM so that the result of GEN HK will not be consolidated in GENM books. This is merely cosmestic changes on GENM accounting treatment, the fundamentals of GEN HK remains bad. But, it did hide the fact somewhat from GENM shareholders that GEN HK is burning cash.I have a reason to think so as I don't think CMY have so much money to buy 14% of GEN HK plus I don't see any reason for him to splurge a significant part of his wealth to buy a NON-CONTROLLING and minority stake in GEN HK, so I think it should be funded secretly by Lim family. Haha..that's my conspiracy theory but I think it is rather valid as I don't see any other motive for CMY to spend a huge chunk of his wealth on a non-controlling stake in a cash-burning company.
As for the state of Star Cruises now, well, they have brought in quite famous private equity firm, Apollo as a co-investor for Norweigian cruise line(NCL). Hopefully, the PE firm will help them streamline NCL activities and hopefully turn it around. As PE firm exit strategy is to do IPO, perhaps we may have another Genting vehicle being listed next time. As for the rest of Star Cruises, I believe the fundamentals is still bad. Buying Star Cruise is a bad call by LKT. Perhaps, his ideas is too forward for our generation? haha..or a more valid one is that he is a pale shadow of his father.
A legal gambling business is actually not as profitable as most people think it is. Genting is so profitable because it is a monopoly. A lot of casinos in Macau apart from the big 3 (Wynn, SJM and LVS) loss a lot of money during the previos FY. This is due to the fact that a legal casino have a lot of overheads cost. Just imagine the cost of setting up those entertainment and other activities that are not profitable to attract people to gamble at their casino. All these attractions forms a huge chunk of their operating cost and is usually not profitable activities. So, legal casino is not that profitable in an ultra-competitive environment.
wow CMY is in play? That's very old news but I kinda forget about it until you just mention. Well sorry for the misunderstood about exposure. We can only hope that if RWM is famous it's sister casinos can somehow get the spill over effect