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 Genting Malaysia, Resorts World

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the snowball
post Jul 3 2010, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(ruztynail @ Jul 3 2010, 06:39 PM)
i understand where u are coming from. but i guess there must be a reason for all of these to happen as well. IF its a loss making company... wouldnt thy hv offered it out to some other 3rd party to buy it and most probably get a better offer? once and for all get rid of the bad business?

anyways look at WDG.. jardon, and its subsi, american playing cards are joining hands.. thy are getting their involvement. so my guess is things are working out for WDG?
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I think they will get rid of it if they have a chance. But, the current operating environment in UK is so harsh that no one is willing to give them a fair bid. Or perhaps UK govt may finally legalize super casinos to cover their budget deficit. As you said, the top bracket gaming tax is 50%, so, if the UK govt can create at least an additional GBP 2b dollar gaming industry, they can get extra GBP 1b in tax. If it really turn out that way, then, it has a good ending. So, the only reason for GENM to justify this acquisition is that they are holding an option of UK finally legalizing super casinos, if the option turn out that way, then, it is a great deal for GENM. I am not sure whether the current coalition government can make such a decision.

But, if situation remains the same, Gen Uk may be profitable when the economic situation get better and their strategy of closing down more casinos starts to bear food. There are signs that closing down unprofitable casino is doing good for their bottom line. But the profitability generated when economy recover will still be negligable. Hopefully, the casino complex GEN UK is building in Birmingham turn out well. Then, at least those shareholders in GENM can have some returns on their investment.

For WDG, I have to admit that I do not follow it that closely. But, I guess, even they manage to turn it around, the improvement will not justify the initial investment GENM pay when taking it over from the Lim family arm.

So, i think GEN UK is currently a bad deal, but, with an option to turn out well. WDG is a bad deal.

But, I think the decision to buy over GEN Uk is to mainly unlock the value of GENS. Cz the Genting group will still hold this option regardless of whether GENUK is in GENS or GENM hands. But, GENM can justify this acquisition that they do not buy the GEN UK for its current state of operation, but, also for an option of to build UK super casinos in view of worsening budget deficit in the UK govt.

This post has been edited by the snowball: Jul 3 2010, 08:04 PM
cherroy
post Jul 3 2010, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(ruztynail @ Jul 3 2010, 06:39 PM)
i understand where u are coming from. but i guess there must be a reason for all of these to happen as well. IF its a loss making company... wouldnt thy hv offered it out to some other 3rd party to buy it and most probably get a better offer? once and for all get rid of the bad business?

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This was the comment put up by analysts.

QUOTE(cwhong @ Jul 2 2010, 11:05 AM)
this news from singapore..... they escape we suffer... not fair lah
DJ MARKET TALK: Genting Singapore +1.7%; Fortunate UK Exit -Citi
Dow Jones Newswires | 02 Jul 2010 9:50am



0150 GMT [Dow Jones] Genting Singapore (G13.SG) +1.7% at S$1.20 as proposed GBP340 million (S$688.8 million) sale of money-losing U.K. operations to sister company Genting Malaysia (4715.KU) fuels hopes for stronger earnings profile. While Genting Singapore will book FX translation loss of S$338 million this year, bottom-line excluding exceptional item expected to improve. "Considering that the U.K. gaming operating business remains very tough, we view this exit as an escape for Genting Singapore and we view it as fortunate in that there was a buyer in the market," says Citigroup; "it means Genting U.K. will no longer drag on the performance of Resorts World Sentosa." Still, keeps Sell call, S$0.65 target on valuation grounds. Orderbook quotes suggest minimal upside beyond S$1.23. (frankie.ho@dowjones.com)
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This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 3 2010, 11:52 PM
ooyah98
post Jul 4 2010, 12:05 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 3 2010, 12:46 AM)
But don't you think it is not fair to GenM shareholders? Whom are getting not much dividend despite very good profit being made throughout.

People bought GenM share, mainly because its cash generation and good profit from Genting Highlands.
Now 1/3 of cash is gone into GenUK which has been doing poorly over the years.
It may turns around or may not, but 1.6 billion cash acquisition with no visibility of profitable, is something existing GenM would not like to see.

Just like take a smaller scale, would you venture into a business while you don't know you able to make a profit or not?

If investors would like Genting as a group, then those investors will buy Genting share directly, not GenM.

When you separated out two listing company especially listed sister company/subsidiaries company, then it has its purposes, aka offering alternative to investors to own or enjoy a specific business profitability.

GenM shareholdes won't mind if the UK business is contributing to the GenM after the acquisition or have proven record of profitability.

While if the acquisition is done from third party, then it might have lesser issue to start with.  It is the RPT issue that concern the most for existing shareholders, while the deal is about 1.6 billion cash involved.
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Hi
I can see GenM minority interest is totally disregard in this case.

However I don't understand how the 'Listed Group' will benefit? GenS gained & GenM suffered. Investor in S'porean stock gained & M'sian stock suffered. Why the 'Controlling person or group' do this?

Or is it all just for someone or small group's benefit?


Added on July 4, 2010, 12:41 pm
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 3 2010, 10:17 AM)
I think they are killing two birds with one stone.

GenM share price to fall further, making it more ideal for them to take it to private.

And they would say in response to unhappiness of small fish, they decide to take GenM into private, and they think the current share buy back ( in exchange for Genting share ) would be Fair to all, bla , bla ..

And finally Holding Genting mother share ( instead of GenM )  should be a long term consideration for all.

Put a note here just in case it happens in the near future.
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This will make a very 'good' (dirty) story in Corporate game. Do the RPT not once but twice to really slam the price down & eliminate completely investor confidence. Now by offerring a slight premium to take it private (say RM3), ppl will accept it without much hesitate. This is still very cheap consider company SOP & the 'remaining' 2/3 cash pile of 3.2 billion.

Once in private, transfer the CASH to my account, sell all valuable assets AND after 1~2years re-list it by taking loans (more cash for me) to 'leverage' on the balance sheet debt ratio.

Wa la la this how 'I' can transform from Super rich to Incredible Rich!

P/S: Gov might changed anytime & gambling license can be granted but taken back too. So why not take the money & run?
my fren the sugar king orede cash out & run. I better hurry up!


This post has been edited by ooyah98: Jul 4 2010, 12:41 PM
cherroy
post Jul 4 2010, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(ooyah98 @ Jul 4 2010, 12:05 PM)
Hi
I can see GenM minority interest is totally disregard in this case.

However I don't understand how the 'Listed Group' will benefit? GenS gained & GenM suffered. Investor in S'porean stock gained & M'sian stock suffered. Why the 'Controlling person or group' do this?

Or is it all just for someone or small group's benefit?


Added on July 4, 2010, 12:41 pm

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There are several reason which I can easily think of, I don't mean it is the intention of the resolution or not, just my pure guess.

GenM has lot of cash, GenSP needs some cash.

So in ordinary sense, GenSP if needs cash further, they may need to raise it through bank borrowing which may incur interest charges.

With the disposal resolution, GenSP can get extra cash, at the mean time, GenM just having lesser cash which previously is just sitting in the bank doing nothing one.

So as parent company of both, it seems quite a ideal deal. GenSP can get cash without borrowing, while it doesn't hurt the benefit of parent company, instead saving potential borrowing cost is beneficiary to the parent company.

If you think from the parent company perspective, then the resolution seems quite ok and brilliant, but not on GenM perspective.

That's why Genting share is not affected in the market after the resolution being proposed.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 4 2010, 04:38 PM
kelvinyam
post Jul 4 2010, 04:59 PM

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Does anyone think that a company shall pay more dividend to its shareholder if it's earning more (growing yoy) or having tons of cash?

No offense, but if you do, you are being naive.
whizzer
post Jul 4 2010, 06:42 PM

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The market seems forgiving about Genting's RPT. From previous RPT, it seems like share price will recover after the market "forgets"? I think that's why Genting not afraid to do RPT. On the plus side, those who can get the shares at the lowest point when the market factors in the RPT stand to gain when price recovers tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 4 2010, 09:42 PM

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Not sure whether GenM share price has been fully factored in or not, with current RPT.

But I do know one analyst has cut the Fair Value of GenM from about rm 8 to as low as rm 4. I believe some analysts think at current price of GenM is fully valued.

Note: Fair Value is just a pure guideline. But something to guide is better than none if you are a value investor.

If you are a value investor, you may want to give some further discounts to future RPTs ( probably ) , then you may have concluded GenM is in fact not very undervalued as before. And the risk is getting higher.

Just my view.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 4 2010, 09:46 PM
teehk_tee
post Jul 4 2010, 11:54 PM

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current restructuring is a matter of cleaning up GenS' balance sheet. too bad for GenM shareholders though.
ruztynail
post Jul 5 2010, 12:38 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 4 2010, 09:42 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
are u talking about GENT? GENM shares where got at tat price ler.. its now only RM2 somthin....
Pip_X
post Jul 5 2010, 08:19 AM

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What ya think of GENM price gonna be today?
Is it a good buy if it drop very much by the end of the day?
smartly
post Jul 9 2010, 11:56 AM

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Genting Malaysia is the last bidder remaining for Aqueduct Racetrack
after two other bidders were disqualified. SL Green Realty Corp-Hard
Rock International- Clairvest JV consortium and Penn National Gaming were disqualified as the proposals did not conform with the equirements but attempted to nego tiate for terms more favourable to the bidders.

Can this news boost GENM share price up ?? still got to wait till 3/8/2010 for outcome.
ooyah98
post Jul 15 2010, 11:30 PM

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Hi
Anyone has access to below Morgan Stanley report? why the overweight call?

Genting rises on 'overweight' call
http://www.btimes.com.my/articles/20100713090947/Article

Genting Malaysia Bhd, the country’s sole casino operator, rose the most in three weeks in Kuala Lumpur trading after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the stock with an “overweight” call and RM3.05 share forecast.

The stock rose 1.1 per cent to RM2.69 at 9:05 a.m. local time, set for its biggest gain since June 18. -- Bloomberg




Alan Soo
post Aug 17 2010, 09:49 AM

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Finally genm start boost. rclxms.gif
Darkmage12
post Aug 17 2010, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(ooyah98 @ Jul 15 2010, 11:30 PM)
Hi
Anyone has access to below Morgan Stanley report? why the overweight call?

Genting rises on 'overweight' call
http://www.btimes.com.my/articles/20100713090947/Article

Genting Malaysia Bhd, the country’s sole casino operator, rose the most in three weeks in Kuala Lumpur trading after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the stock with an “overweight” call and RM3.05 share forecast.

The stock rose 1.1 per cent to RM2.69 at 9:05 a.m. local time, set for its biggest gain since June 18. -- Bloomberg
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They just hit the forecast price today
whizzer
post Aug 17 2010, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(Alan Soo @ Aug 17 2010, 09:49 AM)
Finally genm start boost.  rclxms.gif
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The octopus predicted this a few post back tongue.gif laugh.gif
coconutzz
post Aug 17 2010, 10:55 AM

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Guys any idea whats the reason? After holding for 3 years....finally...
Dulaming
post Aug 17 2010, 11:16 AM

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What a surprise today.. blink.gif
Alan Soo
post Aug 17 2010, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(coconutzz @ Aug 17 2010, 10:55 AM)
Guys any idea whats the reason? After holding for 3 years....finally...
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i also wonder how come suddenly boast...good news anywhere.
aaron1kee
post Aug 17 2010, 12:51 PM

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What a sudden surge! I missed it when it was RM8.20.
Brotherjoe
post Aug 17 2010, 01:00 PM

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Any idea what's happening?

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