That's very like to happen, given yesterday's proceedings; bar any direct mishaps of course.

Heikki, assuming that he is running heavy, has a real chance of overtaking Massa in the first round of pitstops if he can keep a reasonable distance to him during his first stint (which he should be able to do, given McLaren's clear speed advantage).

A McLaren 1-2 later today is a very realistic prediction.

He very well would have been. Maybe even closer than he was. Not to mention at a speed that's faster than Kimi, instead of 6km/h slower.

Lewis' acceleration going out of corners were much much faster than Kimi's, coz his tyres generated way more grip than the Finn's. More heat in the tyres - more grip/traction - faster acceleration - better braking.

It was obvious that Kimi struggled to accelerate coming out of the chicane. And he had comparatively cleaner tyres, as Lewis would have picked up lots of dust/rubble while cutting the chicane. McLarens' superiority in low temperature conditions is mega.

Yeah they were both on the same tyres at that point.

But tyre performance vary significantly in changing temperatures. It's well known that the Ferraris are much easier on its tyres compared to the McLarens. When the track temperatures are low like it was in Spa (plus it rained a lil bit near the end, which lowered the temperature even more), the Ferraris would struggle to generate enough heat into their tyres. The McLarens on the other hand, are harder on their tyres, means it was easier for them to keep their tyres in the optimum temperature range, that would enable them to generate as much grip as possible.

On the downside though, being hard on their tyres means the wear rate increases, so on tyre demanding tracks, their tyres would be totally worn out by the end of the stints. And this might have a detrimental effect on their race strategy.