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 Why I haven't feel the effect of tariff war?

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TSsamftrmd
post Sep 15 2025, 02:14 PM, updated 3 months ago

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Based on current developments, the U.S.–Malaysia tariff war is likely to conclude within the next 1–2 months, barring any legal or political delays. Here's why that estimate holds weight:

đź§­ Key Signals Pointing to Resolution

- Negotiations Concluded: Malaysia’s trade minister confirmed that bilateral tariff talks wrapped up on July 31, 2025, and both sides are awaiting President Trump’s official response. That’s a strong indicator that the groundwork is done.

- Legal Pressure in the U.S.: The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on whether Trump’s emergency tariffs were lawful under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. If the court rules against him, the tariffs could be struck down or require a formal sunset clause.

- Trump’s Leverage Play: Trump has hinted that if the U.S. loses the case, it may need to “unwind” recent trade deals with the EU, Japan, and South Korea. That raises the stakes and incentivizes a quick resolution to avoid broader economic fallout.

- Malaysia’s Strategic Posture: MITI is actively working to preserve foreign direct investment and minimize economic disruption through incentives and infrastructure upgrades. That suggests Malaysia is preparing for a post-tariff landscape.

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🕰️ Estimated Timeline

If Trump issues a formal response in September—as expected—and the Supreme Court hearing proceeds in November, we could see:

Milestone                        Estimated Date       
----------------------------------------------------------
Trump’s official response        Mid–Late September 2025
Joint statement with Malaysia    Late September–Early October
Supreme Court ruling (if fast-tracked) November–December 2025
Tariff rollback or adjustment    December 2025–January 2026

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If you're modeling sourcing strategies or margin risk for Q4, this timeline suggests you may want to hedge through November, but prepare for potential normalization by year-end. Want help building a phased sourcing model or supplier communication strategy around this forecast? I’ve got ideas.
hoonanoo
post Sep 15 2025, 02:17 PM

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I see job market so bad

my friend in marketing apply for job, will get like 5 job interview calls in 1 week time

now not even one job, must wait 1 month per job interview call
MGM
post Sep 15 2025, 02:23 PM

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The deglobalistion n tariffs have cause uncertainties, disruption, stalled projects. Companies r taking excuses to put recruitment on hold, some started retrenchment.
Tighten your waist n seat belt cos we r facing serious financial storms.
ZeaXG
post Sep 15 2025, 02:24 PM

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Tariffs only started on 1 Aug. Before that only kicik miao tariff. US consumers haven't feel the full effect yet. Have to wait for more defaults on credit card debts then we will see the knock on effect to our exports.
TSsamftrmd
post Sep 15 2025, 02:26 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 15 2025, 02:23 PM)
The deglobalistion n tariffs have cause uncertainties, disruption, stalled projects. Companies r taking excuses to put recruitment on hold, some started retrenchment.
Tighten your waist n seat belt cos we r facing serious financial storms.
*
I heard this like every decades of my life if not every few years. Not saying you are wrong, but it's not the first time I heard the exact same thing.
jaycee1
post Sep 15 2025, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(samftrmd @ Sep 15 2025, 02:26 PM)
I heard this like every decades of my life if not every few years. Not saying you are wrong, but it's not the first time I heard the exact same thing.
*
Not yet and depends on which sectors are involved in US trade. Local companies that does trade with US will be affected, we are still relatively lucky as our subjected tariffs are relatively not high.


This is going to affect US citizens more than it will affect us. But affect us it will. There is no doubt we will feel the ripple effects.
Ayambetul
post Sep 15 2025, 02:54 PM

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QUOTE(hoonanoo @ Sep 15 2025, 02:17 PM)
I see job market so bad

my friend in marketing apply for job, will get like 5 job interview calls in 1 week time

now not even one job, must wait 1 month per job interview call
*
Can get 5 interview mean there is high demand for the job


Ohwait, it was before. LELELELELEL

This post has been edited by Ayambetul: Sep 15 2025, 02:55 PM
GreenSamurai
post Sep 15 2025, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(hoonanoo @ Sep 15 2025, 02:17 PM)
I see job market so bad

my friend in marketing apply for job, will get like 5 job interview calls in 1 week time

now not even one job, must wait 1 month per job interview call
*
Honestly that is perfect for people like who is always looking for but really in a rush to switch jobs. Interviews and form filing is so tiring and wastes my time. Since I am not in a rush to leave I also judge them and can afford to be more lansi too lol.
netmatrix
post Sep 15 2025, 03:01 PM

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Raise in product prices are indicator companies are jacking the price up before the tariffs start taking effect. Thats why stuff prices have been going up lately.
Penamer
post Sep 15 2025, 03:01 PM

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Because the institutions and the market makers haven't finish dumping their non-AI equity holdings on retail bag holders yet.

This post has been edited by Penamer: Sep 15 2025, 03:02 PM
kamfoo
post Sep 16 2025, 03:19 AM

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boycott american computer parts
empyreal
post Sep 16 2025, 09:45 AM

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us tariffs' main affect on malaysia is less business and fewer jobs. possibly things that you want to import from the us (whose costs went up due to tariffs) becomes more expensive.

but assuming no changes to company pricing strategies, tariffs on goods coming into the us doesnt directly raise, say, chinese goods coming into malaysia.
mushigen
post Sep 16 2025, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(empyreal @ Sep 16 2025, 09:45 AM)
us tariffs' main affect on malaysia is less business and fewer jobs. possibly things that you want to import from the us (whose costs went up due to tariffs) becomes more expensive.

but assuming no changes to company pricing strategies, tariffs on goods coming into the us doesnt directly raise, say, chinese goods coming into malaysia.
*
I think when the US population feels the impact of the tariffs, they will cut down on consumption and this affects everyone whether directly or indirectly.
Atrocious
post Sep 16 2025, 10:14 AM

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In short, enjoy while you still can..
boonwuilow
post Sep 16 2025, 10:55 AM

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I have never felt the rise of cost of living yawn.gif
upcars
post Sep 16 2025, 10:56 AM

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More tariff less the buying, less the selling less the jobs, less the jobs more the snatch thieves
novblaze
post Sep 16 2025, 10:57 AM

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I can feel the sst affects stronger
submergedx
post Sep 16 2025, 10:58 AM

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lol bro

tariff charging on you or US citizen?



 

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