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 Tarriff slam shut China-vietnam export route to US

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TSdiffyhelman2
post Apr 3 2025, 06:13 PM, updated 9 months ago

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TLDR: after first trump term tariff on china, china rejigged their supply chain to use vietnam laos cambodia etc as an intermediary country to bypass tariffs and export to USA. Now USA impose 50% tariffs on those countries to close this loophole.

QUOTE
Supply chain hit

Trump also imposed heavy tariffs, ranging from 46% to 49%, on Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia.

This represents "a full-frontal assault on Beijing's extended supply chain," said Stephen Innes from investment firm SPI Asset Management.

"Vietnam... and others in the periphery are collateral damage in what is shaping up to be the most aggressive realignment of US trade policy in a generation," he added. "This isn't tit-for-tat - it's strategic containment via tariff warfare."

Laos and Cambodia, which are among the poorest countries in the region, are heavily dependant on Chinese investment in supply chain infrastructure. The high tariff rates are expected to hit both countries hard.

China is Vietnam's largest trading partner. It was one of the key beneficiaries of US-China tensions during Trump's first term.

In 2018, Trump hit China with tariffs, causing some businesses to rethink where they made their products. Some chose to shift manufacturing to Vietnam.

This has led to an increase of exports from Vietnam to the US, with Chinese companies that have moved production to there contributing to that figure.


"Vietnam was clearly targeted [by Trump] due to its role as a conduit for China's circumvention of previous tariffs", former US trade negotiator Stephen Olson told the BBC.

While the US remains Vietnam's biggest export market, China is its largest supplier of goods, accounting for more than a third of imports, according to the latest official data.

Chinese firms were also behind nearly one in every three new investments in Vietnam last year.

Pushan Dutt, a professor at the INSEAD business school, said the new taxes on South East Asia will be "prohibitive" for China.

"China has a problem with demand and in the last Trump administration their firms had nimbly reacted to tariffs by rejigging supply chains and moving them to [South East Asian Nations]. This door has been slammed shut," he added.


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgm8vxevyplo

This post has been edited by diffyhelman2: Apr 3 2025, 06:14 PM
TSdiffyhelman2
post Apr 3 2025, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(brian81st @ Apr 3 2025, 09:22 PM)
This has nothing to do with china, it is just trade deficit.

South Korea has higher tarif compare to Malaysia. S korea n Japan is like US vessel state. How to explain that?

And Japan just announced that they would invest 100 b few weeks ago due to trump request.

Really kena game
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It’s just a starting point. Foresee tariffs on allies will be adjusted after some hard bargaining while rival states will be the last To be adjusted if at all

This post has been edited by diffyhelman2: Apr 3 2025, 09:38 PM
TSdiffyhelman2
post Apr 3 2025, 10:17 PM

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QUOTE(loserguy @ Apr 3 2025, 10:16 PM)

Xi Da Ge say sit, Big Brother Trump say stand. Many SEA  countries are going to sit.
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hobbez having panic attack
TSdiffyhelman2
post Apr 3 2025, 11:34 PM

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QUOTE(Hobbez @ Apr 3 2025, 11:13 PM)
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trumps-...ade-2025-04-03/

Trump's global tariffs hurt China with 'all-round blockade'

Summary:

China is the economy most exposed to global demand shocks
No place to hide for Chinese exporters offshoring production
Growth, deflation risks mount in China
Beijing faces pressure to unleash more stimulus
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great link, should have expanded the whole article
TSdiffyhelman2
post Apr 4 2025, 04:15 PM

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QUOTE(70U63 @ Apr 4 2025, 04:13 PM)
Remember last time (trade war ver.1 and covid) AMDK laughing at CCP, said CCP gonna collapse and manufacturing jobs will move to Vietnam.

Now, CCP lagi stronger than before.  rclxms.gif
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but manufacturing jobs did move to vietnam....CCP themselves set up factories there....

 

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