QUOTE(ScooterBoi @ Jan 14 2025, 12:38 AM)
LoL ๐
Let me explain the calculation in the post you mentioned.
That calculation was... (58x57x56x55x54x53) รท (6x5x4x3x2x1).
It was divided by (6x5x4x3x2x1), because it was assumed there are 6 separate pots. So, the same number (or ball) has 6 possiblity of being drawn.
Why this (flaw) assumption? Because he was thinking of the 6 numbers he selected. The 1st number he selects, has 6 chances (because of 6 draws). The 2nd number, has 5 chances (5 draws remaining), etc. etc.
But in hitting the jackpot, one must match all 6 numbers, so in reality the 1st number you wrote don't have 6 chances, your 2nd number don't have remaining 5 changes of being drawn, etc. etc
So, the probability is still 1 in 29 billion. (Without divided by 6x5x4x3x2x1 times.)
Why cant you just admit you are stupid? The sequence of the number drawn DOES NOT MATTER SINCE they dont repeat.
For your calculation, you didnt take into account of repeated combi because of out of sequence.
4,5,6 can be drawn as 4,5,6 or 6,5,4 or 4,6,5, or 5,6,4 or 5,4,6 or 6,4,5 but the end result is still 4,5,6 is 3 of the winning number. Your calculation did not emit these errors. Instead of grouping them as 1 possibility, it become 1/6 possibilities in your calculation. If you still cant accept defeat, go back to secondary school and look for your math teacher.
This post has been edited by andrekua2: Jan 14 2025, 12:47 AM